Tag Archives: Javier Castellano

BetPTC.com Graded Stakes Preview – Aug. 31

BetPTC.com / Weekend Stakes Preview

by: Ed Meyer

 

Saratoga

Race #10 – The G2 Glens Falls – 1 3/8 on the turf – 5:27 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #4 – Santa Monica / #2 – Fools’ Gold / #1- Empress of the Nile

#4 Santa Monica is a daughter of Mastercraftsman (IRE) for trainer Chad Brown with Irad Ortiz in the saddle. This is her 2nd off the layoff where Brown wins 25% and is two for two ITM at the Spa. She is a stout closer and had to steady sharply last out. She regained her momentum and finished a game third. Look for a strong finish by Ortiz down the lane. #2 Fool’s Gold is a daughter of Medaglia d’ Oro for Chad Brown and Javier Castellano. She is 2 for 2 ITM at the  Spa and won the G3 Waya last out. Her solid late kick will fit in with well with the distance. Castellano wins 23% on the greensward. #1 Empress of the Nile is a daughter of Pioneer of the Nile for trainer Graham Motion and Irad Ortiz. Motion is 4 for 6 ITM the past couple weeks as she makes a 3rd off the layoff move capped with a 7 wide late rally win last out. She is 2 for 3 ITM at Saratoga and Ortiz in the irons is ultra attractive.

Race #11 – The G1 Woodward – 1 1/8 – 6:00 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #7 – Yoshida / #3 – Vino Rosso / #9 – Tom’s d’Etat

#7 Yoshida is a son of Heart’s Cry (JPN) for trainer Bill Mott and Joel Rosario in the driver’s seat. 2nd off shipping in from Churchill Downs and his last effort in the G1 Whitney was strong. He is 2 for 2 ITM at the Spa and runners coming through Kentucky have been doing well at the Spa. Rosario fits and Mott is dangerous every time he saddles. He won this race last year on his way to the Breeders’ Cup. #3 Vino Rosso is a son of Curlin for trainer Todd Pletcher and Johnny V. Blinkers off today and the barn wins 23% on this equipment move. They are coming off a short 25 day layoff and Pletcher has a maturing runner looking for a sharp effort. #9 Tom’s d’ Etat is a son of Smart Strike for trainer Al Stall and Irad Ortiz. He’s a horse for the course going a perfect three for three at the Spa. Ortiz should have him up close leading the train. Ortiz wins 24% with early runners and has a solid win in the Alydar Stakes.

Del Mar

Race #7 – The G2 John C. Mabee – 1 1/8 on the turf – 8:00 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #1 – Vasilika / #9 – Elysea’s World / #4 – Toinette

#1 Vasilika is a daughter of Skipshot for trainer Jerry Hollendorfer. She reunites with Flavien Prat and makes her 2nd off the layoff move. She was a beaten favorite in the G2 Yellow Ribbon and stretches out to a preferred distance where she’ll stalk mid pack and pounce. #9 Elysea’s World is a daughter of Champs Elysees (GB) making her 2nd off effort for Richard Baltas. She’s a stone cold closer and the added ground should be welcome. She’ll be in high gear turning for home. #4 Toinette is a daughter of Scat Daddy for trainer Neil Drysdale and Rafael Bejarano. She is 1 for 1 at Del Mar and gets added distance. This is her 2nd start of the year and is 5 for 6 with wins on the green. She’ll be stalking the speed and make a big run around the far turn. Bejarano wins 19% with stalking type runners.

Race #9 – The G1 Del Mar Debutante – 7f – 9:00 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #5 – Bast / #7 – Inspiressa / #2 – Comical

#5 Bast is a two yr old daughter of Uncle Mo for trainer Bob Baffert winning 25% with Drayden Van Dyke in the driver’s seat. They add blinkers today and that yields a 35% win clip for the barn. She was off slow last out and came flying four wide in the lane closing stoutly. The blinkers should keep her focused and stretching out in distance should be a real bonus. The rider and trainer have been five for five the past two weeks and owns a sharp work to have her ready. #7 Inspiressa hails from the barn of Peter Eurton with Joe Talamo in the irons. This daughter of Commissioner wins 33% with his firsters and she did not disappoint. She was forced out in the G2 Sorrento with 1st Lasix and second time Lasix gets a 29% win clip for the barn. She takes her game to the next level and I’m looking for a big effort. #2 Comical comes from the Doug O’Neill barn with Norberto Arroyo. 3rd off the shelf and this speedy gal should be dangerous with a new rider today. She should have a garden trip just off the leader and take over the engine down the backstretch. O’Neill wins 17% with his sprinters.

 

BetPTC.com Travers Stakes Day Preview – Aug. 24

BetPTC.com / Weekend Stakes Preview

By: Ed Meyer

 

Saratoga

Race #8 – The G2 Ballston Spa – 1 1/16 on the turf – 3:35 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #3 – Secret Message / #8 – Starship Jubilee / #2 – Fifty Five

#3 Secret Message is a daughter of Hat Trick (JPN) making her second trip off the layoff while dropping down a notch in class. She gets a rider change to Jose Ortiz who is winning 23% at the Spa. His dam Westside Singer has 2 starters, 2 winners, 1 stakes winner, and 2 turf winners to her credit. She’s a closing type and owns a bullet work while cutting back to a perfect distance. #8 Starship Jubilee ships in from Woodbine off a 56 day layoff. She is bred to relish the greensward and her works are solid. Jose Lezcano in the saddle and trainer Kevin Attard wins 18% with graded stakes. The forecast calls for sunny and dry conditions and she hasn’t seen a firm turf since January at GP. A stalker who should be just off Scottish Jig getting a garden trip. Two back she was a beaten favorite to Secret Message and they know each other well. #2 Fifty Five comes from the barn of Chad Brown with Javier Castellano winning 26% together. She is 18 for 19 ITM on the turf and the New York bred can get motoring late in the lane. Look for her at the quarter pole skimming the hedge.

Race #9 – The G1 Personal Ensign – 1 1/8 – 4:12 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #4 – Elate / #1 – Midnight Bison / #5 – Wow Cat

#4 Elate comes in for trainer Bill Mott and Jose Ortiz who are winning at 33% as a team. She is 3 for 3 ITM at the Spa and makes her 3rd off the shelf cutting back in distance. After winning the Fleur De Lis at CD she has stepped up her game. She’s been knocking heads with Midnight Bisou and has been finishing behind her. Today is her turn and look for a strong late kick with Ortiz who wins 21% with late runners. #1 Midnight Bisou is a daughter of Midnight Lute for trainer Steve Asmussen with Mike Smith in the saddle. She’s hit the board at the Spa but hasn’t been able to seal the deal. She is seeking her 6th straight win drawing the rail post into the short first turn run. Smith will get her in good shape and look for a renewed battle with Elate. #5 Wow Cat is a daughter of Lookin At Lucky for Chad Brown and John Velasquez in the irons. 2nd start of the year as she is 3 for 3 ITM at Saratoga. This gal was a beaten favorite in the G3 Shuvee and that may have been a perfect prep for today. She shows a snappy work on August 17 and faced some pretty tough gals coming into the race. She’ll be calling late in the lane.

FINALS DAYS!

Race #10 – The G1 Sword Dancer – 1 1/2 on the turf – 4:49 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #6 – Ya Primo / #8 – Channel Maker / #9 – Sadler’s Joy

#6 Ya Primo is a son of Mastercraftsman (IRE) for Chad Brown and Jose Ortiz. He gave a solid account of himself in the G2 Bowling Green first time in the states getting Lasix. Draws the rail and owns two bullet works looking to stalk the speed and turn it loose down the lane. #8 Channel Maker comes in for Bill Mott and Joel Rosario. 2nd off the layoff and was wide most of his last trip in the G2 Bowling Green. He still managed a solid 4th as the race was better than appeared on paper. He shows good works and Mott wins 22% off a beaten favorite loss. Look for a mid flight trip moving around the far turn. #9 Sadler’s Joy is a son of Kitten’s Joy for trainer Thom Albertrani and Jose Lezcano. He is 4 for 7 ITM at the Spa and makes his 2nd start of the year. It looks like the Breeders’ Cup is on his mind and was closing quick last out only to get blocked multiple times down the lane. A clean trip and a new rider may make a big difference today.

Race #11 – The G1 Travers – 1 1/4 – 5:44 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #6 – Tacitus / #7 – Mucho Gusto / #2 – Code of Honor

#6 Tacitus comes from the barn of Bill Mott and Jose Ortiz. Blinkers on today and was a beaten favorite last out where the barn comes back to win 23%. 2nd time off the layoff, and if that bullet work is any indication I think we’ll see a tough son of Tapit kicking in late. He runs solid every time and the blinkers should keep his mind on business. #7 Mucho Gusto comes from the barn of Bob Baffert with Joe Talamo in the saddle. 2nd best in the Haskell Stakes and Baffert is 1 for 1 at the Spa. He went home to Del Mar to work and comes back fresh and ready. Look for a closeup trip and Talamo wins 20% with early style runners. This son of Mucho Macho Man should be right near the engine as soon as the gates open. #2 Code of Honor hails from the barn of Shug McGaughey with John Velasquez in the saddle. He’s been off 49 days and 1 for 1 at the Spa. He cruised in the G3 Dwyer as a prep and should be right in the mix. He broke his maiden at the Spa and Johnny V knows this son of Noble Mission well. I like his work tab and Shug comes out strong on marquee days.

BetPTC.com Arlington Million Preview – Aug 10th

BetPTC.com / Weekend Stakes Preview / Ed Meyer

Arlington Park

Race #9 – The G1 Beverly D – 1 3/16 on the turf – 5:53 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #7 – Sistercharlie / #1 – Fleeting / #6 – Magic Wand

#7 Sistercharlie comes in for Chad Brown with John Velasquez in the irons. Her 2nd off move gets the barn a 24% win clip as she rolls in with an impressive win in the G1 Diana. She is 1 for 1 at AP and looks for a repeat in this race. She’s a long range closer with solid work tabs. #1 Fleeting is a daughter of Zoffany (IRE) from the Aidan O’Brien yard. Ryan Moore makes the trip and finished a game 2nd in the Gr2 Ribblesdale Stakes at Ascot. She is 6 for 8 ITM lifetime and adds Lasix drawing the rail. #6 Magic Wand is a daughter of Galileo from the Aidan O’Brien yard with Wayne Lordan in the irons. She had a dismal outing in the Gr1 King George & Queen Elizabeth and adds Lasix for her rebound. O’Brien wouldn’t send her if he felt she wasn’t ready.

 

Race #10 – The G1 Secretariat – 1 mile on the turf – 6:28 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #9- Crafty Dandy / #6 – Fog of War / #7 – Valid Point

#9 Crafty Dandy is a son of Scat Daddy for Brad Cox and Florent Geroux in the saddle. He was rolling in the G3 American Derby for a trip over the track and a sharp work following his last race. #6 Fog of War is a son of War Front for Chad Brown and Irad Ortiz. He steps up the class ladder off a beaten favorite effort at Belmont. A rider change from Castellano to Irad Ortiz who excels with fast closing runners. 3rd off the layoff and has sharp morning works to make him a player. #7 Valid Point is a son of Scat Daddy for Chad Brown with Javier Castellano in the driver’s seat. He’s a perfect 2 for 2 coming off a two month layoff. He’s moving up in class and Brown spots his runners very well when they are ready to step up.

FINALS DAYS!

Race #11 – The G1 Arlington Million – 1 1/4 on the turf – 7:12 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #3- Bricks and Mortar / #1 – Robert Bruce / #8 – Captivating Moon

#3 Bricks and Mortar is a son of Giant’s Causeway for Chad Brown and Irad Ortiz in the irons. Ortiz won this race last year on his birthday aboard Robert Bruce. They are looking for his 6th straight win and beat Robert Bruce in the G1 Manhattan last out. He is 2 for 2 at the distance and comes off a two month layoff. Ortiz wins 21% with late runners and this guy is something special. #1 Robert Bruce is a Chad Brown trainee with Javier Castellano in the saddle. Game effort in the G1 Manhattan which is the same race he used last year to prep for the Million. Castellano wins 24% with Chad Brown and they are 1 for 1 at AP. Look for a solid pace from Hunting Horn and the top two will come calling late in the lane. #8 Captivating Moon is a son of Mailbu Moon for trainer Chris Block. He’s a long range closer and Jose Valdivia is 51% ITM on the turf. He will be a player at a square price to complete your exotics.

Saratoga

Race #9 – The G1 Fourstardave – 1 mile on the turf – 5:46 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #4 – Raging Bull / #8 – Hembree / #3 – Uni

#4 Raging Bull is a son of Dark Angel (IRE) for Chad Brown and Jose Ortiz. Exits the G1 Manhattan finishing 3rd against the top two selections in the G1 Arlington Million. This colt loves the Spa going 2 for 2 off a two month layoff. There are solid morning works and Ortiz picks up the mount winning 18% on the turf. Look for this colt to launch a strong late bid. #8 Hembree comes from the barn of Mike Maker with Luis Saez aboard. 3rd off the layoff and 4 for 5 ITM at the Spa. Steps up a notch on the class ladder and Saez wins 31% for Mike Maker. He’ll be running quickly late in the lane. #3 Uni is a daughter of More Than Ready for Chad Brown and Joel Rosario. She always comes running and is 2 for 2 ITM at the Spa. 2nd off the shelf and Brown wins 24% on this move. She seeks her 6th straight win.

BetPTC.com Graded Stakes Preview- Aug. 3

BetPTC.com / Weekend Stakes Preview / Ed Meyer

Saratoga

Race #8 – The G1 Test – 7f – 5:06 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #5 – Royal Charlotte / #2 – Bellafina / #3 – Covfefe

#5 Royal Charlotte is a daughter of Cairo Prince for Chad Brown who is winning 21% with Javier Castellano in the irons. She’s a perfect 4 for 4 and gets added ground with a field loaded with speed. She is stepping up, and Castellano stalked and powered right past in the G3 Victory Ride last out. The faster they go the better she’ll like it. #2 Bellafina is a daughter of Quality Road with Flavien Prat coming in from the left coast. She’s been off 3 months and backs up to a distance where she’s a perfect 2 for 2. Her early foot should allow her to be right on the engine and Prat wins 25% with early speedrunners. #3 Covfefe comes in for trainer Brad Cox and Joel Rosario in the saddle. They ship in from CD as a beaten favorite and Cox wins 31% looking for payback. Rosario is an excellent reinsman and should send right from the gate break. She has a solid work at CD and that should have her ready to strut her stuff.

Race #9 – The G1 Whitney – 1 1/8 – 5:46 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #8 – Preservationist / #6 – McKinzie / #4 – Thunder Snow

#8 Preservationist is a son of Arch for James Jerkins and Junior Alvarado. This is his 3rd off the layoff where the barn wins 17% as they seek his 4th straight win. Cuts back in distance and his form cycle is hard to argue. Alvarado fits like a glove and should be laying just off the speed. #6 McKinzie is a son of Street Sense for Bob Baffert and Mike Smith. Been off 56 days and was blocked and forced to steady in the G1 Met. A perfect stalker with solid works coming in from Del Mar. He was a beaten favorite last out and Baffert comes back to win 24% on this move. #4 Thunder Snow hails from the barn of Saeed bin Suroor with Christophe Soumillon in the irons. He’s a hard knocker who’s been off 56 days. He always gives a strong effort but falls a bit short. He worked 7f at Belmont to prepare and will come calling late in the lane. If he wins it would not be any surprise in this solid field.

Mountaineer

Race #8 – The G3 West Virginia Derby – 1 1/8 – 5:35 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #9 – Mr. Money / #8 – Math Wizard / #1 – Chess Chief

#9 Mr. Money is a son of Goldencents and winner of the G3 Indiana Derby as he seeks his 4th straight win for Bret Calhoun. Gabriel Saez in the irons and worked a bullet off his last win. He should be a major pace player and be hard to handle for a track that plays kindly to speed. #8 Math Wizard was rolling late in the G3 Indiana Derby. Florent Geroux picks up the assignment making the 3rd off the layoff move. His bullet work coming out of the Indiana Derby is a strong sign. He will come running late and Geroux will push the button just at the right time. #1 Chess Chief comes in for trainer Dallas Stewart and Miguel Mena. 3rd off the layoff and was rolling for a minor award in the G3 Indiana Derby. Love his work over the deep CD oval and plays the role of a longe range closer. If the pace falls apart he’ll be a major player.

Del Mar

Race #8 – The G2 Yellow Ribbon – 1 1/16 on the turf – 8:30 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #4 – Vasilika / #1 – Beau Recall / #9 – Elysea’s World

#4 Vasilika comes from the barn of Jerry Hollendorfer with Julien Leparoux taking over for Flavien Prat who is at Saratoga. She is seeking her 5th in a row and loves Del Mar going 2 for 3 ITM. The barn wins 22% off the last race win and had two months to come in rested. #1 Beau Recall hails from the barn of Brad Cox and Drayden Van Dyke winning 30% at the meet. They ship in from Belmont and his dam Greta D’argent has 8 starters, 6 winners, and 5 turf winners to her credit. She’s a strong closer and will come rolling late for Slam Dunk Racing. #9 Elysea’s World is a daughter of Champs Elysees for Richard Baltas and Joe Talamo. Her strong late kick notched her a 4th place effort in the G1 Gamely and some sparkling works on the turf have her ready to fire.

BetPTC.com Graded Stakes Preview – July 13

BetPTC.com / Weekend Stakes Preview / Ed Meyer

Saratoga Race #3 – The G3 Sanford – 6f – 2:10 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #3 – Cucina / #5 – By Your Side / #2 – Raging Whiskey

#3 Cucina hails from the Mark Casse barn with Tyler Gaffalione in the saddle. This son of Northern Afleet should be right with the leaders from the break. Solid maiden win in the slop at Belmont and should relish the added ground. #5 By Your Side comes from the barn of Eddie Kenneally with Irad Ortiz in the saddle. They came flying late in the lane to grab a maiden win at CD and should get another strong late kick with Ortiz in the saddle. His sire Constitution wins 44% with first timers and did not disappoint in Louisville. I’m looking for a strong late punch at the top of the lane. #2 Raging Whiskey is a son of Bourbon Courage for trainer Doug O’Neill and Javier Castellano in the driver’s seat. They are shipping in from SA going 4.5f last out and the added distance should give a perfect stalking trip.

Race #9 – The G1 Diana – 1 1/8 on the turf – 5:46 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #6 – Homerique / #4 – Sistercharlie / #2 – Rushing Fall

#6 Homerique is a daughter of Exchange Rate for Chad Brown. Irad Ortiz in the saddle makes a 3rd off the layoff move where they win 23%. She cuts back in distance and seeks her 3rd in a row. She’s a closer and Irad wins 23% with strong late runners. #4 Sistercharlie hails from the Chad Brown barn with John Velasquez in the saddle. She’s been off for eight months since the Breeders’ Cup F&M Turf where she won. Brown wins 29% with runners off a long layoff. Her works are sharp as Johnny V looks to score her 3rd in a row. #2 Rushing Fall is a daughter of More Than Ready for trainer Chad Brown and Javier Castellano. She’s a speedy gal who is one for one at the Spa. She was ultra impressive winning the G1 Just A Game and now seeks her 5th straight win. She’s going to be ultra tough if she handles the inner turf.

Indiana Grand

Race #9 – The G3 Indiana Derby – 1 1/16 – 10:02 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #11 – Mr. Money / #10- Math Wizard / #5 – Frolic More

#11 Mr. Money is a son of Goldencents for trainer Bret Calhoun with Gabriel Saez in the irons. Calhoun is 2 for 2 ITM at Indy and he’s looking for three in a row in top form. His works are strong over the CD oval and he should stalk up close. #10 Math Wizard is a son of Algorithms with Edgard Zayas in the saddle. He’s a stalker cutting back in distance getting beat in the final strides. He should relish the lesser ground 2nd off the layoff. His dam Minister’s Baby has 7 starters, 6 winners, and a stakes winner to her credit. He’s come a long way since being claimed for $25k and looks to be finding his own stride. #5 Frolic is a son of More Than Ready for Dallas Stewart and Corey Lanerie aboard. He moves from a sprint to a route where they win 17% for the barn. Stewart is 38% ITM with his shippers and is known to come alive when the big money is on the table.

BetPTC.com Graded Stakes Preview – July 6th

BetPTC.com / Weekend Stakes Preview / Ed Meyer

Belmont Park Race #7 – The G1 Belmont Oaks – 1 1/4 miles on turf – 4:30 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #2 – Newspaperofrecord / #4 – Concrete Rose / #5 – Cafe Americano

#2 Newspaperofrecord hails from the Chad Brown barn winning 30%. Irad Ortiz in the saddle of this daughter of Lope De Vega who has four starts and two turf winners to her credit. She is a pure speedster and is 3rd off the layoff and a beaten favorite last out. She should grab the lead and carry it from start to finish. #4 Concrete Rose is a daughter of Twirling Candy for trainer Rusty Arnold. Julien Leparoux in the irons as she comes off a two month layoff. She’s looking for three in a row and is a perfect stalker. She beat “Newspaper” last out in the G3 Edgewood impressively and is four for five with wins lifetime. She’ll be a little closer with added distance. #5 Cafe Americano is a daughter of Medaglia d’ Oro for Chad Brown. She is a perfect two for two and been working lights out in the morning. Javier Castellano in the saddle and he is winning 23% on the turf. Look for her to launch a strong rally as she gets the acid test.

Race #8 – The G2 John Nerud Stakes – 7f – 5:05 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #7 – Do Share / #9 – Promises Fulfilled / #4 – Nicodemus

#7 Do Share is a son of Candy Ride for trainer Mike Maker with Tyler Gafflione in the saddle. He was bumped soundly last out in the G1 Churchill and still finished a game fourth. He is three for six ITM at Belmont and with a sharp 4f work coming into the race is looking for a top effort. #9 Promises Fulfilled hails from the Dale Romans barn. This son of Shackleford has Luis Saez in the saddle exiting the G1 Metropolitan. He has plenty of speed and turns back to 7f. Going from a route to sprint to route they win 35%. #4 Nicodemus is a son of Candy Ride for trainer Linda Rice and Jose Ortiz in the driver’s seat. He is a late closer and gets an added half a furlong to come rolling. Ortiz wins 14% on closers and Rice excels with sprinters winning 25%.

Race #9 – The G1 Belmont Derby – 1 1/4 on turf – 5:44 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #3 – Seismic Wave / #12 – Demarchelier / #8 – Social Paranoia

#3 Seismic Wave is a son of Tapit for trainer Bill Mott and Joel Rosario. He is a stone cold closer who is 2 for 2 ITM over the course. Rosario is winning 22% with closers and fits this colt like a glove. #12 Demarchelier is a son of Dubawi (IRE) for Chad Brown with Javier Castellano. This is his second off and is a perfect 3 for 3. He’s a strong late runner and look for him to come calling late in the lane. #8 Social Paranoia is a son of Street Boss for trainer Todd Pletcher and Manny Franco in the saddle. He’s been a beaten favorite in his last two trips and is looking to reward his backers. He should stalk mid flight and make a run at the pacesetters.

Race  #10 – The G2 Suburban – 1 1/4 miles dirt – 6:18 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #5 – Lone Sailor / #11 – Pavel / #3 – Rocketry

#5 Lone Sailor comes in for trainer Thom Amoss with Irad Ortiz aboard. He came flying in the G1 Gold Cup. A rider switch from Flavien Prat and Amoss adding blinkers where he wins 38% on the equipment change. Look for him late on the scene with a rider who wins 22% with closers. #11 Pavel hails from the Doug O’Neill barn with Mario Gutierrez in the saddle. 2nd off the layoff and shipping back from the Dubai World Cup as the barn wins 22% making the second time off the shelf. This son of Creative Cause will get a good stalking trip from the outside waiting from the rider to give the cue. #3 Rocketry is a son of Hard Spun for trainer James Jerkins with Joel Rosario. He can roll quickly in the lane and his last bullet work shows he is locked and loaded. Rosario wins 22% with stout closing types.

BetPTC.com Stakes Preview – June 8th Belmont Stakes

BetPTC.com / Weekend Stakes Preview / Ed Meyer

Belmont Park Race #8 – The G1 Woody Stephens – 7f – 4:04 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #4 – Complexity / #1 – Honest Mischief / #8 – Hog Creek Hustle

#4 Complexity comes from the barn of Chad Brown with Jose Ortiz in the irons. They are winning 26% together as a team. He’s been off for 7 months since the BC Juvenile where he was bumped soundly. He’s been training over the Oklahoma Training Course at Saratoga and cuts back in distance. This colt looks to benefit from a quick early pace stalking in mid pack. #1 Honest Mischief is a Chad Brown trainee with Javier Castellano in the saddle. He’s been off for two months after an impressive maiden win at Keeneland. He owns a sharp work as they team up to win 35%. He’s a closer and should get a piece of the pie. #8 Hog Creek Hustle is a son of Overanalyze for trainer Vickie Foley. Corey Lanerie always makes a run with him, and this colt should come flying late to light up your exotic payoffs.

Bangor ates

Race #9 – The G1 Metropolitan – 1 mile – 4:46 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #7 – Firenze Fire / #3 – Mitole / #2 – McKenzie

#7 Firenze Fire comes from the barn of Jason Servis with Irad Ortiz in the driver’s seat. 3rd off the layoff with an impressive win in the Runhappy at Belmont. He is 3 for 3 with wins and should appreciate the added ground and strong finishing Ortiz in the saddle. #3 Mitole is a speedy son of Eskendreya looking for his 7th straight victory. His win in the G1 Churchill Downs was solid and Steve Asmussen brings his go to rider in Ricardo Santana looking to wire the field. #2 McKenzie is a son of Street Sense with Mike Smith in the irons for Bob Baffert. His 3rd off the layoff move yields a 26% win clip. He is a perfect stalking type cutting back to a one turn mile.

Race #10 – G1 Manhattan – 1 1/4 on the turf – 5:36 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #8 – Bricks and Mortar / #10 Channel Maker / #4 Qurbaan

#8 Bricks and Mortar is a son of Giant’s Causeway for trainer Chad Brown. 3rd off the layoff looking for his 5th straight win. When he won the G1 Pegasus World Cup Turf he found another gear that day. He is 3 for 3 ITM at Belmont and 1 for 1 at the distance. Look for a late rush in the lane. #10 Channel Maker from the barn of Bill Mott with Joel Rosario in the irons. This is his 2nd off the layoff and should be right on the pace. Winning the G1 Man O’ War shows he is in great form and should be right in the mix turning for home. #4 Qurbaan comes from the barn of Kiaran McLaughlin with Mike Smith. 3rd off for the son of Speightstown who ran a game second to the favorite. He should be a little closer with one of the best riders in the business.

Race #11 – The 151st Belmont Stakes – 1 1/2 – 6:37 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #10 – Tacitus / #8 – Intrepid Heart / #6 – Spinoff

#10 Tacitus is a son of Tapit for Bill Mott and Jose Ortiz. He’s as honest as they come and is always knocking on the door. He should be able to run the distance and the outside post will allow him to drop over and settle. He has a nice late punch and a bullet work to show readiness. #8 Intrepid Heart comes from the Pletcher barn with John Velasquez in the irons. 3rd off the layoff and adds blinkers where they win 20% on this equipment change. He stumbled at the start in the G3 Peter Pan as the post time chalk. He’ll stalk the pace and wait for his cue to take off in high gear. #6 Spinoff is a son of Hard Spun for Todd Pletcher. Javier Castellano is aboard and I would toss out his Derby trip. He should be closer than normal and Castellano wins 20% with early runners. I’m looking for an up close trip navigating the sweeping turn for home.

 

 

 

 

BetPTC.com Preakness Stakes Preview – May 18

BetPTC.com / Weekend Stakes Preview / Ed Meyer

Pimlico Race #10 – The G3 Gallorette – 1 1/16 on the turf – 4:05 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #4 – Mitchell Road / #7 – In the Lee / #1 – I’m So Fancy

#4 Mitchell Road is a daughter of English Channel for Bill Mott. Joel Rosario is aboard and they’ve been off for three months. She is seeking her third straight and Rosario should send right to the front. She is 6 for 6 ITM and a solid candidate for the win. #7 In the Lee is a daughter of Tapit for Shug McGaughey. This is her 2nd start of the year and beaten chalk at Keeneland last out. Shug wins 26% coming back off a beaten favorite effort looking for payback. #1 I’m So Fancy comes from the barn of Arnaud Delacour with Florent Geroux in the saddle. She’s been off for 8 months and gets first time Lasix where the trainer wins 31%. She comes in from the Curragh in Ireland and Delacour wins at a solid clip with fresh runners.

Race #11 – The G3 Chick Lang – 6f – 4:42 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #8 – Preamble / #7 – Pyron / #3 – Malpais

#8 Preamble comes in for the Rodolphe Brisset barn. 2nd start of the year and has Florent Geroux in the saddle. He is a perfect 3 for 3 and cuts back to 6f. The barn wins 19% with graded stakes and 23% second time off the shelf. He’ll get a perfect stalking trip breaking from the outside. #7 Pyron hails from the barn of Steve Asmussen with his main rider Ricardo Santana in the saddle. This son of Candy Ride is a perfect 2 for 2 and ships in from Oaklawn stepping in class. Look for a stalking trip and Santana to hit the gas at the quarter pole. #3 Malpais comes from the Joe Sharp barn with Luis Saez in the driver’s seat. Ships in from Charles Town turning back in distance as he looks for his 3rd straight win. This son of Hard Spun has wicked speed and may be tough to catch.

Race #12 – The G2 Dixie Stakes – 1 1/16 on the turf – 5:39 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #12 – Catholic Boy / #11 – Inspector Lynlee / #5 – Have At It

#12 Catholic Boy is a son of More Than Ready with Javier Castellano in the saddle. He’s been off six months since the B/C Classic and sports two bullet works. He is 4 for 5 with wins on the sod and Castellano wins 24% on the grass. Look for a mid pack closing move around the turn. #11 Inspector Lynlee is a son of Lemon Drop Kid for Shug McGaughey. Jose Lezcano is the reinsman and exits a perfect prep winning at Aqueduct. He gets added ground and will launch a strong closing effort. #5 Have At It a son of Kitten’s Joy for Christophe Clement. He’s been vacationing the past five months and faced some tough guys last year. He’s a perfect stalker and Jose Ortiz in the irons is a real plus when they turn for home.

Race #13 – The G1 Preakness Stakes- 1 3/16 miles dirt  – 6:48 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #4 – Improbable / #2 – Bourbon War / #7 – Alwaysmining

#4 Improbable is a son of City Zip for Bob Baffert with Hall of Famer Mike Smith in the saddle. This closer was a beaten favorite in the eventful Derby and he’s faced some of the toughest runners this year. He is 5 for 6 ITM lifetime and looks for a solid effort to rebound off his KY Derby performance. #2 Bourbon War is a son of Tapit and gets blinkers for trainer Mark Hennig. He’s been off since for the G1 Florida Derby and this long range closer has Irad Ortiz in the saddle and he wins 22% with this type of runner. #7 Alwaysmining is a son of Stay Thirsty with Daniel Centeno in the irons. He has a quick turn of foot and plenty of early speed going six in a row. He won the Federico Tesio which has been a long time prep for this race.

BetPTC.com Graded Stakes Preview – 4/20

BetPTC.com / Weekend Stakes Preview / Ed Meyer

Keeneland Race #9 – The G2 Dixiana Elkhorn – 1 1/2 on the turf – 5:30 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #10 – Zulu Alpha / #7 – Bigger Picture / #5 – Canessar

#10 Zulu Alpha is a son of Street Cry for trainer Mike Maker. Jose Ortiz has the call and is winning 19% when he rides for Maker. He is 1 for 2 ITM at Keeneland and been away from the races for 49 days. He seeks his 3rd straight win and should sit a perfect stalking trip. #7 Bigger Picture comes from the Maker barn as well and makes his 2nd start off the layoff. He is 3 for 3 ITM at Keeneland and Maker wins 20% making the 2nd off angle run. Tyler Gaffalione in the irons today. #5 Canessar comes from the Arnaud Delacour barn making his 2nd off the shelf where he scores 22%. Feargal Lynch in the saddle and they had a troubled trip in the G2 Pan American looking for a smoother trip today.

MANDATORY PAYOUT DAY AT CHARLES TOWN FOR SATURDAY

Charles Town

Race #11 – The G2 Charles Town Classic – 1 1/8 – 5:37 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #3 – Diamond King / #4 – Rally Cry / #1 – Mongolian Groom

#3 Diamond King is a son of Quality Road for John Servis. This is his 2nd start of the year and has excellent speed. Javier Castellano is aboard as he climbs up the class ladder. Look for Castellano to send right from the break. #4 Rally Cry is a son of Uncle Mo for the Todd Pletcher barn. John Velasquez in the irons and they are coming off a two month vacation. He faced some G1 tough guys and this level should be welcome. He’ll be close to the pace under a solid speed rider. #1 Mongolian Groom ships in from Santa Anita under Geovanni Franco in the irons. He is a long range closer exiting the G1 Santa Anita Handicap. Look for him late around the far turn.

Santa Anita

Race #5 – The G2 Kona Gold – 6 1/2f – 6:00 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #1 – Dr. Dorr / #4 – Zatter / #4 – Kanthaka

#1 Dr. Dorr comes from the Baffert barn with Joe Talamo in the irons. This son of Lookin at Lucky is 2 for 2 at the distance and 7 for 9 over the course. He is making his 2nd start of the year and has some sharp works under his belt. #4 Zatter is a Bob Baffert trainee with Drayden Van Dyke in the driver’s seat. 3rd off the shelf for this son of Midnight Lute and Van Dyke and Baffert team up to win 31%. He’s faced some tough guys and is a strong closer. #4 Kanthaka is a son of Jimmy Creed for Jerry Hollendorfer. Flavien Prat is the pilot and makes the 2nd off the layoff move where the trainer wins 21%. He loves to come running late and is 6 for 7 ITM at SA.

 

 

 

BetPTC.com Graded Stakes Preview – 4/13/19

BetPTC.com / Weekend Stakes Preview / Ed Meyer

Keeneland

Race #9 – The G3 Lexington – 1 1/16 – 5:34 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #9 – Zenden / #10 – Roiland / #2 – Hawaiian Noises

#9 Zenden is a lightly raced son of Fed Biz and has the services of Tyler Gaffalione. He is making a 3rd start off the layoff and owns a bullet work coming into the race.  He should be forwardly placed and his last two races were biased to closers. Look for TG to stay right on the hook and save enough gas down the short stretch. #10 Roiland hails from the Thomas Amoss barn and is a stone cold closer. James Grahm in the saddle and they team up to win 21%. Look for him to circle wide into the far turn. #2 Hawaiian Noises comes from the Wesley Ward barn with Johnny V in the irons. This son of Super Saver has rolled off three in a row and makes the poly to dirt switch winning the $50k Animal Kingdom at Turfway last out. He has worked three straight bullets in the morning and goes from Bejarano to John Velasquez. Go back three races and he broke his maiden going 6f at Keeneland and this will be his first time going two turns. He looks to be an up close sort with the added ground and should knock heads with plenty of early speed.

Race #10 -The G1 Jenny Wiley – 1 1/16 on the turf – 6:12 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #2 – Rushing Fall / #4 – Rymska / #8 – Onthemoonagain

#2 Rushing Fall is a daughter of More Than Ready and is 7 for 7 ITM and a perfect 3 for 3 over the Keeneland sod. She comes from the Chad Brown barn and he looks loaded for bear in this race. This is her first start of the year and comes off a 6 month layoff where Brown wins 29%. She is very versatile and can do about anything asked. She is a neck from a perfect record and Chad Brown has the hot stakes winning rider Javier Castellano in the irons for this effort. #4 Rymska is a French invader from the Chad Brown barn. This is her 3rd off the shelf and won her last where the barn scores at a 28% clip. She is a closer who turns back in distance with the hot hand of Irad Ortiz. He may be one of the best closing riders in the country and will make her appear at the top of the lane looking for the perfect trip. #8 Onthemoonagain is a daughter of Cape Cross for Chad Brown. This is her 2nd start of the year and was flat out rolling in the G2 Hillsborough at Tampa Bay. That looked like a perfect prep as they turn back in distance with a couple nice works under her belt. John Velasquez in the irons and he and Mr. Brown are winning 67% on the year as a team.

Oaklawn

Race #11 – The G1 Arkansas Derby – 1 1/8 – 7:43 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #1 – Improbable / #11 – Long Range Toddy / #7 – Galilean

#1 Improbable hails from the Bob Baffert barn and is a monster. He was bested by a neck last in the G2 Rebel. A rider change from Van Dyke to Jose Ortiz and adding blinkers may be the moves that seal the deal. This is his second start of the year and the works are red hot. Ortiz should have him in the perfect spot as a stalker and pounce with plenty of gas in the tank. #11 – Long Range Toddy comes from the Steve Asmussen barn and is three for three ITM over the Oaklawn surface. He takes to the oval and his last race rolling late to win the G2 Rebel was impressive. Distance should be no problem and Jon Court will get his best down the lane. #7 – Galilean is a speedy son of Uncle Mo and Flavien Prat in town to ride for the  Hollendorfer barn. He will be right on the engine and Prat is an excellent judge of pace. If he gets loose this California invader may enjoy his second trip over the track. Blinkers off show they are looking for answers today.