Tag Archives: Junior Alvarado

BetPTC.com Graded Stakes Preview- Aug. 3

BetPTC.com / Weekend Stakes Preview / Ed Meyer

Saratoga

Race #8 – The G1 Test – 7f – 5:06 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #5 – Royal Charlotte / #2 – Bellafina / #3 – Covfefe

#5 Royal Charlotte is a daughter of Cairo Prince for Chad Brown who is winning 21% with Javier Castellano in the irons. She’s a perfect 4 for 4 and gets added ground with a field loaded with speed. She is stepping up, and Castellano stalked and powered right past in the G3 Victory Ride last out. The faster they go the better she’ll like it. #2 Bellafina is a daughter of Quality Road with Flavien Prat coming in from the left coast. She’s been off 3 months and backs up to a distance where she’s a perfect 2 for 2. Her early foot should allow her to be right on the engine and Prat wins 25% with early speedrunners. #3 Covfefe comes in for trainer Brad Cox and Joel Rosario in the saddle. They ship in from CD as a beaten favorite and Cox wins 31% looking for payback. Rosario is an excellent reinsman and should send right from the gate break. She has a solid work at CD and that should have her ready to strut her stuff.

Race #9 – The G1 Whitney – 1 1/8 – 5:46 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #8 – Preservationist / #6 – McKinzie / #4 – Thunder Snow

#8 Preservationist is a son of Arch for James Jerkins and Junior Alvarado. This is his 3rd off the layoff where the barn wins 17% as they seek his 4th straight win. Cuts back in distance and his form cycle is hard to argue. Alvarado fits like a glove and should be laying just off the speed. #6 McKinzie is a son of Street Sense for Bob Baffert and Mike Smith. Been off 56 days and was blocked and forced to steady in the G1 Met. A perfect stalker with solid works coming in from Del Mar. He was a beaten favorite last out and Baffert comes back to win 24% on this move. #4 Thunder Snow hails from the barn of Saeed bin Suroor with Christophe Soumillon in the irons. He’s a hard knocker who’s been off 56 days. He always gives a strong effort but falls a bit short. He worked 7f at Belmont to prepare and will come calling late in the lane. If he wins it would not be any surprise in this solid field.

Mountaineer

Race #8 – The G3 West Virginia Derby – 1 1/8 – 5:35 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #9 – Mr. Money / #8 – Math Wizard / #1 – Chess Chief

#9 Mr. Money is a son of Goldencents and winner of the G3 Indiana Derby as he seeks his 4th straight win for Bret Calhoun. Gabriel Saez in the irons and worked a bullet off his last win. He should be a major pace player and be hard to handle for a track that plays kindly to speed. #8 Math Wizard was rolling late in the G3 Indiana Derby. Florent Geroux picks up the assignment making the 3rd off the layoff move. His bullet work coming out of the Indiana Derby is a strong sign. He will come running late and Geroux will push the button just at the right time. #1 Chess Chief comes in for trainer Dallas Stewart and Miguel Mena. 3rd off the layoff and was rolling for a minor award in the G3 Indiana Derby. Love his work over the deep CD oval and plays the role of a longe range closer. If the pace falls apart he’ll be a major player.

Del Mar

Race #8 – The G2 Yellow Ribbon – 1 1/16 on the turf – 8:30 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #4 – Vasilika / #1 – Beau Recall / #9 – Elysea’s World

#4 Vasilika comes from the barn of Jerry Hollendorfer with Julien Leparoux taking over for Flavien Prat who is at Saratoga. She is seeking her 5th in a row and loves Del Mar going 2 for 3 ITM. The barn wins 22% off the last race win and had two months to come in rested. #1 Beau Recall hails from the barn of Brad Cox and Drayden Van Dyke winning 30% at the meet. They ship in from Belmont and his dam Greta D’argent has 8 starters, 6 winners, and 5 turf winners to her credit. She’s a strong closer and will come rolling late for Slam Dunk Racing. #9 Elysea’s World is a daughter of Champs Elysees for Richard Baltas and Joe Talamo. Her strong late kick notched her a 4th place effort in the G1 Gamely and some sparkling works on the turf have her ready to fire.

BetPTC.com Graded Stakes Preview – 3/9/19

BetPTC.com / Weekend Stakes Preview / Ed Meyer

Aqueduct

Race #8 – The G3 Tom Fool – 6f – 4:06 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #4 – Syndergaard / #3 – Skyler’s Scramjet / #5 – Bavaro

#4 Syndergaard has the services of John Velasquez in the saddle and is 3 for 3 ITM at Aqueduct. A versatile sort who is cutting back from a mile where trainer John Terranova is 51% ITM. Johnny V will have him in a perfect stalking position and he’ll move around the far turn to be in position for the stretch drive. #3 Skyler’s Scramjet is a speedster from the Michelle Nevin barn. He’s been off for 49 days and his works are sparkling. Look for Dylan Davis to be right at the front, and if the freshening has him ready he’s gonna be a handful. #5 Bavaro is a son of Freud looking for his fourth straight win. Junior Alvarado is the reinsman and he is rolling at meet winning 23%. Look for him right on the engine duking it out with anyone who has enough early speed.

Race #10 – The G3 Gotham – 1 mile – 5:09 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #6 – Instagrand / #3 – Mind Control / #5 – Haikal

#6 Instagrand is a son of Into Mischief who is a perfect 2 for 2. He ships in from Del Mar off a 7 month layoff and a couple of ten length wins. Jerry Hollendorfer and Javier Castellano team up for a big run. His works are hot and Castellano moves up his chances to put on a big show. He should be right on the hook and tough to deal with. Catch him if you can when they turn for home. #3 Mind Control has John Velasquez in the saddle and makes his 2nd start of the year. Two back he tossed in a clunker in the BC Juvenile after getting caught in tight and forced to check. He came right back and rolled in the Jerome and should lay just off the speed. #5 Haikal is a deep closer who should enjoy a field chock full of speed. He is a neck short of being three in a row and Rajiv Maragh calls the shots for the Kiaran McLaughlin barn. He will come flying late and should enjoy the added distance.

Turfway Park

Race #11 – The G3 Jeff Ruby Steaks – 1 1/8 –  6:37 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #10 – Somelikeithotbrown / #9 – Curlin Grey / #4 – Dabo

#10 Somelikeithotbrown is a son of Big Brown for the Mike Maker barn with Tyler Gaffalione in the irons. His victory in the John Battaglia Memorial was impressive as he makes his second start of the year. He has a quick turn of early speed and should be right in the top flight. Gaffalione coming in from Florida and Maker being loaded with quality stock looks like the race is for place if he gets a clean start. #9 Curlin Grey is a strong closer for trainer Ken McPeek. This is his 3rd start off the layoff and McPeek wins 19% going from dirt to synthetic surfaces. McPeek always has to be respected when he ships into Turfway. #4 Dabo is a son of Temple City and has a nice late punch. Dale Romans is the trainer and last out he looked like he needed one closing stoutly in the John Battaglia. Luan Machado in the irons and he has done incredibly well at Turfway. This is his 2nd of the year and the distance should be no problem. Look for him to rolling as they turn for home. I like his chances overall and it wouldn’t be a big surprise if he improves off his last race to take down the prize.

 

BetPTC.com Horses to Watch – 8/23/17

Horses to Watch – Ed Meyer

The wagering world had bankroll action on the G1 Alabama and G1 Pacific Classic. Elate scored in the 137th edition under the guidance of Jose Ortiz for Bill Mott. The G1 Pacific Classic set up as the “battle of the stablemates” as Collected set a reasonable pace besting Arrogate down the lane.  Last weekend was hardly the crown jewel of summer as Saratoga offers up the 148th running of the Travers / The Mid-Summer Derby this Saturday. – We still have a few days until post time, and here are some runners who you’ll need to keep on your radar screen. They may come right back and reward their loyal backers next time on the track. – Best of luck from your friends at BetPTC.com!

Saratoga

8/19/17

Race #5 – Mdn Sp Wt – 6f – #6 – Variant Perception

#6 – Variant Perception = This was a 1st-time starter by Curlin for the Chad Brown barn. His dam Mystery Trip has 5 winners from 5 starters and came in off some good works. – He broke in the air prior to the start and brushed leaving the starting gate.  Brown will have him ready for the races next up and wins at a solid clip 2nd trip out.

Race #6 – Alw $85,000 – 1 1/8 on the main – #5 – Hookup

#5 – Hookup = Manny Franco in the saddle and this son of Union Rags has been away from the races for 8 months. – He was knocked around the start and was taken out of stride. After being forced into another, Franco picked up the action and made a solid bid finishing up to be third this day.

Race #9 – G1 Alabama Stakes – 1 1/4 on the main – #1 – New Money Honey

#1 – New Money Honey = This was her first time on the dirt and has been a turf monster. She was looking three-in-a-row and her 3rd off the shelf. – Javier Castellano in the irons and Chad Brown the conditioner (33%). She was in tracking mode and forced to steady and tap on the breaks at the 1/4 pole weakening down the lane.

Saratoga

8/20/17

Race #5 – Mdn Sp Wt – 1 1/16 on the turf – #5 – Lemoona

#5 – Lemoona = Two-yr-old filly by Lemon Drop Kid, and she has the breeding that suggests she’ll relish the turf. – She was sandwiched and slammed leaving the starting gate. Junior Alvarado did a great job-saving ground and was forced to sweep 5 wide at the 1/4 pole making a late bid for 2nd money.

Race  #9 – $100,000 Summer Colony – 1 1/8 on the main – #4 – Romantic Vision

#4 – Romantic Vision = Javier Castellano in the saddle for Rusty Arnold. She’s been away from the races for 60 days since Churchill Downs and had a couple of works over the deep Oklahoma training track. This was not her day at all as she stumbled badly at the start, took up and bumped. After all this action she never regained her momentum and called it a day. Look for her to return at this level of the upper stratosphere of the allowance ranks.

JOIN TODAY!!!!

Belterra Park

8/18/17

Race #1 – Claiming – 5f on the main – #8 – Scotch is My Candy

#8 – Scotch is My Candy = Carson Sullivan in the irons for John Alexander Ortiz (22%). This daughter of Sidney’s candy was shipping in from Indiana Grand. She was taking a huge plunge in class and the barn is 9/9 ITM at the meet. She was off slow at the start and was forced to rush up quickly making a strong bid this day. The barn is solid and she’ll get it together next out.

Race #6 – O.C. $25,000 – 1 mile on the turf – #9 – In the Shoes

#9 – In the Shoes = Very solid gal coming off a win at BtP, and trainer Donna Taylor is winning (30%) at the meet. This daughter of Congrats ran into a little trouble during the race and was forced to check twice into the far turn and fanned six wide. After all the activity, rider Dick Cardenas got her rolling late and made a powerful late bid to be a bridesmaid this day. A little bit of racing luck and she’ll be getting a trip to the winner’s circle.

 

 

BetPTC.com – Horses to Watch – 5/23/16

Horses to Watch – Ed Meyer

The second jewel of the Triple Crown is in the books and there will be no Triple Crown winner this year. Players from all walks either prayed for the rain to benefit Exaggerator, or lived in hopes that Nyquist would continue his unbeaten streak. – When the sky opened up and Mother Nature flooded Baltimore. The fast pace set by Nyquist seemed to be the thing that dreams are made from for Team Desormeaux. – Back to the drawing board handicappers, and here are some runners you can keep watch to start building your Belmont bankroll.

Belmont

5/18/16 – Race #4 – #8 – 6f on the turf

#8 – Irish Actor = Cornelio Velasquez in the irons for Linda Rice, and this daughter of Patriot Act was making her first start in 7 months. She was dead last and came weaving through traffic for a solid fourth place effort over the quick turf. Give her a little more ground or a cleaner trip and it could be just what the doctor ordered.

Indiana Grand

5/18/16 – Race #5 – #7 – 5f on the turf

#7 – Dynamite Stick = Marcelino Pedroza  for Mike Lauer, and his mount tracked in the 2nd flight and had to take off heels at the top of the lane. He picked it up smartly and came rolling late to lose by a dirty nose at the wire.

NHC contest at BetPTC tournament

Belmont

5/18/16 – Race #8 – #5 – 1 1/4 on the turf

#5 – Promotional = Junior Alvarado had the call for the “mad genius” Thom Proctor. She had the best of trips and came flying like a down hill train. Once she arrived at the 1/8th pole, she was forced to take up sharply taking away all momentum.

Churchill Downs

5/21/16 – Race #1 – #6 – 1 mile on the main track

#6 – Tiz My Gal = Cisco Torres in the irons, and he saved ground all the way around the track. He had to slam on the brakes at the 1/16th pole and tried to quickly accelerate only to be a bridesmaid on this day.

Churchill Downs

5/21/16 – Race #5 – #7 – 1 1/16 on the main

#7 – Sugar Kate = Channing Hill aboard for Tim Glyshaw, and his mare was in tight and pinballed around at the start. Once e she settled out and regained her momentum, she was forced to angle out and forced to steady once again. – Keep her in the clear and Team Glyshaw gets their picture taken.

 

BetPTC.com – Horses to Watch – 5/11/16

Horse to Watch – Ed Meyer

The Kentucky Derby is in the books, and the world of racing goes back into waiting for the second jewel. – As impressive as Nyquist was in victory, you have to start thinking about the “crazy word” of Triple Crown winner. – Could we be going back in time to the 70’s ? Only time will tell, and if the Derby is any indicator of ability. The conversations are going to take off in full spirit. – In the meantime, you’ll want to keep your eyes peeled for these runners who could very easily come right back and win next time to the races.

Churchill

5/6/16 – Race #2 – #2 – 6 1/2f

#2- Blast = Corey Lanerie in the irons for Eddie Keannelly and this ultra-tough runner was scooting right up the inside rail and was shut off. The rider did an excellent job keeping him rolling, but shut-off still the same. There was an objection into the race and this horse-for-the-course filly was a bridesmaid after the decision was made. Next up she’ll probably take a new path right to the winner’s circle.

Churchill

5/6/16 – Race #11 – #3 – 1 1/8

#3 – Lewis Bay = Irad Ortiz in town to ride for Chad Brown, and this gal looked like a sure fire winner staying on the rail waiting a glimpse of daylight. I would have doubled down on her if possible by looks alone, but when she had her seem. She just faded down the lane. I don’t know if she couldn’t match Cathryn Sophia, or it was just a bad day. Either way, she’ll get my bankroll play next out.

Churchill

5/6/16 – Race#10 – #1 – 1 1/16 on the turf

#1 – Harmonize = Junior Alvarado up for Bill Mott, and she stumbled badly at the start on this day. She made a nice four wide move to get minor awards, but the gate break took quite a bit of momentum away. – Look for a huge turf effort next time to the races.

Belmont

5/8/16 – Race #7 – #3 – 1 1/16 on the inner turf

#3 – Don Camillo = Javier Castellano was aboard and he came out bumping like a pinball when they sprung the gate latch. Once settled, Castellano started making a solid move only to run completely out of gas. – Maybe a cleaner trip with a class drop may be just what the doctor ordered.

Santa Anita

5/8/16 – Race #8 – #7 -1 1/16

#7 – Misdeed =Santiago Gonzalez was aboard, and his runner saw every inch of the track on this day. – He was three deep from the start, five wide on the second turn, and three wide down the lane. – Take away the extra 1/4 mile, and you will see a different runner.

nhc tournament real money ntra

BetPTC.com – Horses to Watch – 4/4/16

Horses to Watch – Ed Meyer

This past weekend took another step closer to the Kentucky Derby. – Weather seemed to get top billing as Gulfstream Park was sloppy-sealed early, and eventually opened up a bit as the track crew did magic. The long awaited Mohaymen versus Nyquist heavyweight matchup left handicappers scratching their heads. – The Kentucky scene for the Spiral Stakes had the Florence track battling 50 mph winds all day long.  – At the end of the day it seemed I had more questions than answers.  – That is Thoroughbred racing. One thing is for sure. Just keep your eyes peeled for the following runners, as they deserve a good hard look the next time they take the track.

Oaklawn Park

Race #3 – 3/31/16 – #2 – 1 1/16 on the main track

#2 – Scout Leader = Joe Rocco did an excellent job making up a heap of ground, and dove to the inside rail as the eventual winner started drifting out inside the 16th pole. He ran a very game effort, and 2nd money on this day was a good indication of efforts to come. – He’ll be the major danger next up.

Oaklawn Park

Race #4 – 3/31/16 – #9 – 1 1/16 on the dirt

#9 – Roxy Rocket = Julio Felix in the irons, and he closed stoutly down the outside under soft fractions. She circled up wide and once she leveled out Felix gave a strong effort to the wire. I filed this one under “running out of real estate.”

$300 signup offer at BetPTC.com

Gulfstream Park

Race #2 – 4/2/16- #8 – 1 mile on the turf

#8 – What Power = Paco Lopez had the call, and he ran into trouble in the first turn and had to check up. Lopez saved ground and looked for a hole to make his charge and was all dressed up and no place to go with his mount. – Once he shook loose, he made a solid bid for minor awards. A clean trip may be just what the doctor ordered.

Gulfstream Park

Race #11 – 4/2/16 – #7 – 1 1/8 on the turf

#7 – Songoficeandfire = Junior Alvarado had the call, and his mare settled out nicely and  saved ground along the rail. He looked to have his charge in a good spot when he waited for a seem to open at the top of the lane. Well, it never appeared in a timely fashion, and bottled her up until she finally saw daylight and exploded for a strong bridesmaid effort. – I’ll bet dollars to donuts she’ll tip off the rail nearing the 1/4 pole and give them fits down the stretch.

Turfway Park

Race #1 – 4/2/16 – #8 -6f on the poly track

#8 – Hughhoofner = John McKee in the saddle for this speedster, and he broke out before the start and expended some well needed energy. McKee sent the Bill Connelly charge in the four wide path about the 3/8th’s pole. – I watched him warm-up, and he looked better than a shiny penny. – Speed balls need all of their energy, and he left most of his on the track with the premature gate break.

 

BetPTC.com – Horses to Watch – 1/4/2016

2016 has officially arrived, and I’ve already broken a resolution. Those cookies started calling my name when I was looking for the carrots. – But I’ve decided to step up my game and be the best player I can be this year. No more searching for races to play; narrowing my focus to races where I have a solid opinion, and playing no more than three tracks in a day at the races. – If you go to the batter’s box fewer times and your a pretty solid hitter. You’re going to see a spike in your average. I wonder what my bankroll will look like when I rid myself of bad habits and re-dedicate myself to the game I love ? – As the new year gets underway, here are a few runners you’ll want to keep an eye on.

Aqueduct – 12/30/15 – Race #8 – #4 – 1 1/16 on the inner track

#4 – Fox Rules = Jaime Rodriguez had the call and set the pace when the track was playing kind to stalkers and closers. He shipped in from Finger Lakes and appeared to enjoy the inner track. He’ll rock them to sleep next out as the weather gets colder and the track tightens up.

Gulfstream Park – 12/30/15 – Race #9 – #11 – 5f on the turf

#11 – Padilla = Jose Alvarez came rolling late in the lane against hot fractions of 21.4, 44.3, and 57.2. – He was carried out just a bit, and when you lose by a dirty nose, that makes all the difference in the world.

Aqueduct – 1/1/16 – Race #9 – #7 – 6f on the inner track

#7 – Gabby’s Brown = Jose Ortiz in the irons for Michelle Nevin, and this gal was looking nice all the way around, and at the 1/4 pole she was locked in the box and hemmed in. She couldn’t shake free and had some give and take bumping. A cleaner trip with a glimpse of a seem and she’ll turn out the lights.

Gulfstream Park – 1/2/16 – Race #6 – #4 – 1 1/16 on the turf

#4 – Southern Wild = The rail was out 72 feet, and this son of Lemon Drop Kid came rolling off two solid works at Palm Meadows and an effort at CD. His breeding suggests he should relish added ground, and if “Jersey” Joe Bravo stays aboard, bet early and often.

Aqueduct – 1/2/16 – Race #6 – #4 – One mile on the inner track

#4 – You Got It = Junior Alvarado had the call and was green at the start. He had to take up as he clipped heels at the 1/4 pole and altered course after there was a small glimpse of hope. A beaten favorite on this day, and once the Rudy Rodriguez barn gets all the bugs worked out you’ll see a well-oiled machine next out.

BetPTC.com – Horse to Watch – 12/7/15

Horses to Watch – Ed Meyer

Weekends are filled with hours of football as the waiting game has officially started. You know, where we eagerly await the kickoff of the three-year-old season and the trail to the Kentucky Derby. At the time of this entry there are 152 days until the first Saturday in May. We’ll start making watch lists, and change our minds more than a few times. But that’s OK. – This is just the countdown. But good news is here ! – As we wait on the sidelines, there are some quality runners who’ve made their way onto the horses to watch list. You’ll want to keep your antennas up and ready to zero in on some solid wagering plays next out.

Aqueduct – 12/5/15 – Race #3 – #9 – One mile on the turf

#9 – King of Spades = Manny Franco had the call, and looked solid all the way around. At the top of the stretch when the real running began, he spun seven wide giving himself a tour of the parking lot. He did everything but win, and maybe with a little better navigation he’ll find himself saving a bit more ground on the way to the winner’s circle.

Aqueduct – 12/5/15 – Race #6 – #3 – 1 1/16 on the turf

#3 – In Trouble = Irad Ortiz was in the irons for this aptly named runner who tossed his head around at the start to give himself a poor beginning. He was a beaten favorite this day, and with a cleaner break and not going wide into the turn he’ll get some payback next time to the starting gate.

Aqueduct – 12/5/15 – Race #8 – #6 – 6f on the dirt

#6 – Princess Violet = Junior Alvarado had the not for Michael Hushion, and this mare had a tough trip all around. She was bumped around at the break and pinched back shortly after the start. After all said and done she mounted a solid effort to chase down the winner but ran out of real estate in the lane. – May the Racing Gods grant her clean passage next time out.

Turfway Park – 12/5/15 – Race #2 – #1 – One mile on the all-weather.

#1 – Golden Touch = Carlos Marquez Jr. had the nod for Mike Maker, and was tardy leaving the gate spotting the field some ground breaking dead last. He was slow into stride but his six-side move picking up ground rapidly gave players good things to watch for next time out. He was picking up ground very quickly and normally at Turfway Park coming from the clouds is not the path to the winner’s circle. Waiting for this runner to make his return to the races.

Turfway Park – Race #5 – #2 – 6f on the poly

#2 – Knee Pads = Orlando Mojica in the irons, and at first glance you would dismiss this son of Paddy O’ Prado. – He tossed the rider in the paddock an on the track. Maiden two-year-olds can be a handful, and at (8-1) on the morning line to be sent off at (4-1) shows there was a “buzz” about this first timer. I am looking for a jock change to a high profile rider, and I’ll bet you’ll see a big change in his effort learning from his first time to the races.

Tampa Bay Downs – 12/5/15 – Race #8 – #4 – 6f on the dirt

#4 – Sinister Blue = Antonio Gallardo had the call, and was fractious in the gate and stumbled badly leaving the starting gate. After a poor beginning, he mounted a solid bid and called it a day running an even 4th place effort. He was heavily backed at the windows and the public had good feelings for a big time effort. – A little cleaner trip may be more than what the doctor ordered.