Tag Archives: Lookin at Lucky

BetPTC.com Travers Stakes Day Preview – Aug. 24

BetPTC.com / Weekend Stakes Preview

By: Ed Meyer

 

Saratoga

Race #8 – The G2 Ballston Spa – 1 1/16 on the turf – 3:35 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #3 – Secret Message / #8 – Starship Jubilee / #2 – Fifty Five

#3 Secret Message is a daughter of Hat Trick (JPN) making her second trip off the layoff while dropping down a notch in class. She gets a rider change to Jose Ortiz who is winning 23% at the Spa. His dam Westside Singer has 2 starters, 2 winners, 1 stakes winner, and 2 turf winners to her credit. She’s a closing type and owns a bullet work while cutting back to a perfect distance. #8 Starship Jubilee ships in from Woodbine off a 56 day layoff. She is bred to relish the greensward and her works are solid. Jose Lezcano in the saddle and trainer Kevin Attard wins 18% with graded stakes. The forecast calls for sunny and dry conditions and she hasn’t seen a firm turf since January at GP. A stalker who should be just off Scottish Jig getting a garden trip. Two back she was a beaten favorite to Secret Message and they know each other well. #2 Fifty Five comes from the barn of Chad Brown with Javier Castellano winning 26% together. She is 18 for 19 ITM on the turf and the New York bred can get motoring late in the lane. Look for her at the quarter pole skimming the hedge.

Race #9 – The G1 Personal Ensign – 1 1/8 – 4:12 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #4 – Elate / #1 – Midnight Bison / #5 – Wow Cat

#4 Elate comes in for trainer Bill Mott and Jose Ortiz who are winning at 33% as a team. She is 3 for 3 ITM at the Spa and makes her 3rd off the shelf cutting back in distance. After winning the Fleur De Lis at CD she has stepped up her game. She’s been knocking heads with Midnight Bisou and has been finishing behind her. Today is her turn and look for a strong late kick with Ortiz who wins 21% with late runners. #1 Midnight Bisou is a daughter of Midnight Lute for trainer Steve Asmussen with Mike Smith in the saddle. She’s hit the board at the Spa but hasn’t been able to seal the deal. She is seeking her 6th straight win drawing the rail post into the short first turn run. Smith will get her in good shape and look for a renewed battle with Elate. #5 Wow Cat is a daughter of Lookin At Lucky for Chad Brown and John Velasquez in the irons. 2nd start of the year as she is 3 for 3 ITM at Saratoga. This gal was a beaten favorite in the G3 Shuvee and that may have been a perfect prep for today. She shows a snappy work on August 17 and faced some pretty tough gals coming into the race. She’ll be calling late in the lane.

FINALS DAYS!

Race #10 – The G1 Sword Dancer – 1 1/2 on the turf – 4:49 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #6 – Ya Primo / #8 – Channel Maker / #9 – Sadler’s Joy

#6 Ya Primo is a son of Mastercraftsman (IRE) for Chad Brown and Jose Ortiz. He gave a solid account of himself in the G2 Bowling Green first time in the states getting Lasix. Draws the rail and owns two bullet works looking to stalk the speed and turn it loose down the lane. #8 Channel Maker comes in for Bill Mott and Joel Rosario. 2nd off the layoff and was wide most of his last trip in the G2 Bowling Green. He still managed a solid 4th as the race was better than appeared on paper. He shows good works and Mott wins 22% off a beaten favorite loss. Look for a mid flight trip moving around the far turn. #9 Sadler’s Joy is a son of Kitten’s Joy for trainer Thom Albertrani and Jose Lezcano. He is 4 for 7 ITM at the Spa and makes his 2nd start of the year. It looks like the Breeders’ Cup is on his mind and was closing quick last out only to get blocked multiple times down the lane. A clean trip and a new rider may make a big difference today.

Race #11 – The G1 Travers – 1 1/4 – 5:44 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #6 – Tacitus / #7 – Mucho Gusto / #2 – Code of Honor

#6 Tacitus comes from the barn of Bill Mott and Jose Ortiz. Blinkers on today and was a beaten favorite last out where the barn comes back to win 23%. 2nd time off the layoff, and if that bullet work is any indication I think we’ll see a tough son of Tapit kicking in late. He runs solid every time and the blinkers should keep his mind on business. #7 Mucho Gusto comes from the barn of Bob Baffert with Joe Talamo in the saddle. 2nd best in the Haskell Stakes and Baffert is 1 for 1 at the Spa. He went home to Del Mar to work and comes back fresh and ready. Look for a closeup trip and Talamo wins 20% with early style runners. This son of Mucho Macho Man should be right near the engine as soon as the gates open. #2 Code of Honor hails from the barn of Shug McGaughey with John Velasquez in the saddle. He’s been off 49 days and 1 for 1 at the Spa. He cruised in the G3 Dwyer as a prep and should be right in the mix. He broke his maiden at the Spa and Johnny V knows this son of Noble Mission well. I like his work tab and Shug comes out strong on marquee days.

BetPTC.com Graded Stakes Preview – 8/25/18

BetPTC.com / Weekend Stakes Preview / Ed Meyer

Saratoga

Race #7 – The G1 Personal Ensign – 1 1/8 – 2:59 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #1 Abel Tasman / #6 Elate / #4 Wow Cat

#1 Abel Tasman is a daughter of Quality Road for trainer Bob Baffert. “Money Man” Mike Smith in the irons looking to duplicate their effort in last year’s G1 Coaching Club Oaks. There’s plenty of speed in the field and she has a strong late punch. She’s been on the shelf for two months and Baffert wins 24% with fresh legs coming back to the races. I’m looking for a big rally at the top of the lane. #6 Elate comes to post for Bill Mott. She is two for two ITM at the Spa and makes a 2nd off the layoff move shipping in from Del Mar. Jose Ortiz in the saddle as he looks to turn the tables on “Abel” from last year’s meeting. Her works have been solid over the deep Oklahoma training track. Ortiz will know just when to push the button. #4 Wow Cat is a daughter of Lookin At Lucky for trainer Chad Brown. This Chilean bred was bumped soundly leaving the starting gate last out as a beaten favorite in the G3 Shuvee. Overall, it was a perfect prep and John Velasquez will have her as a major player on the lead.

Race #10 – The G1 Sword Dancer – 1 1/2 on the turf – 4:49 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #10 Sadler’s Joy / #6 Bigger Picture / #4 Hi Happy

#10 Sadler’s Joy is a son of Kitten’s Joy for trainer Thom Albertrani. Javier Castellano in the saddle and is 4 for 5 ITM over the course. He made a strong late rally last out in the G2 Bowling Green and gets more distance today. Look for a sustained rally as he comes calling at the top of the stretch. #6 Bigger Picture comes to post for trainer Mike Maker. This is his third off the shelf move and has Irad Ortiz in the irons. He was 6 wide in the G2 Bowling Green and Ortiz is one of the best finishers in the game. Look for a big time effort today. #4 Hi Happy is a son of Pure Prize from the Todd Pletcher barn. John Velasquez in the saddle and was a beaten favorite in the G2 Bowling Green. All three selections exit this key race.  This was his first effort in a month and Pletcher wins 25% with beaten favorites. They look to turn the tables today.

Race #11 – The G1 Travers – 1 1/4 – 5:44 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #9 Good Magic / #5 Vino Rosso / #8 Mendelssohn

#9 Good Magic is a talented son of Curlin for the Chad Brown barn. Jose Ortiz in the driver’s seat and they are making their 2nd start off the layoff. He owns a bullet work in preparation as he is maturing into quite a special runner. He has a talented reinsman in the saddle and looks to be finding himself. Look for a very strong account of his talents today. #5 Vino Rosso comes in for the Todd Pletcher barn. He’s a son of Curlin and was a beaten favorite in the G2 Jim Dandy showing strong signs. Toss out the Triple Crown races and you’ll see a runner who is deceivingly good. If you get anywhere near double digit odds he’ll be tough not to use. Look for a solid effort against a very nice field. #8 Mendelssohn is a solid son of Scat Daddy for trainer Aiden O’Brien. Ryan Moore stays in the saddle and was a beaten favorite in the G2 Dwyer. He still gave a good account of himself and is capable of much more. O’Brien thinks enough of him to have him in this talented field and that’s good enough for me to use in exotics. I think we’ll see a rejuvenated runner ready to give an A + effort.

BetPTC.com Stakes Preview – 7/21/18

BetPTC.com Weekend Preview / Ed Meyer

Saratoga

Race #9 – G3 Sanford – 6f – 5:40 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #5 Dream Maker / #1 Sombeyay / #7 Bano Solo

#5 Dream Maker is a son of Tapit for trainer Mark Casse. Julien Leparoux is the reinsman and they score 23% as a team. His only effort was a stout move circling the field at Churchill. He gets an extra furlong to run and has a sharp workout over the track.

#1 Sombeyay hails from the Todd Pletcher barn with Javier Castellano in the irons. He’s had two eventful trips but his race in the Tremont was impressive. He stumbled at the start and came rolling late. He sports a bullet work over the deep Saratoga training course putting the final touch on his preparation.

#7 Bano Solo is a son of Goldenscents from the Steve Asmussen barn. His sire fires 16% first time winners and did not disappoint at Churchill. His workout pattern has been sharp and I’m looking for a top effort.

 

Race #10 – G1 Diana Stakes – 1 1/8 on the turf – 6:18 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #6 A Raving Beauty / #1 Sistercharlie / #2 Proctor’s Ledge

#6 A Raving Beauty is a daughter of Mastercraftsman for trainer Chad Brown. Irad Ortiz in the saddle and they score at a high percentage as a team. She rolled off two wins at Belmont and the German bred should be forwardly placed with a tactical rider calling the shots. She’ll give them all they want.

#1 Sistercharlie comes from the Chad Brown barn with John Velasquez in the saddle. Since getting Lasix two back she has had more gas in the tank. She cuts back from a mile and a quarter and was a beaten favorite last time out rolling late.

#2 Proctor’s Ledge has Jose Ortiz in the driver’s seat for trainer Brendan Walsh. A daughter of Ghostzapper who is 2 for 2 over the course and finished a solid place effort in the G1 Just A Game at Belmont. She loves the course and has some solid works under her belt.

 

Del Mar

Race #7 – G2 San Diego – 1 1/16 – 8:00 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #7 Accelerate / #9 Dabster / #2 Dr. Door

#7 Accelerate is a son of Lookin At Lucky for John Sadler. He exits a big win in the G1 Gold Cup at Oaklawn and has been resting for 56 days. He has solid works and loves the course going 4 for 5 ITM at Del Mar.

#9 Dabster has Flavien Prat in the saddle for trainer Bob Baffert. This son of Curlin is 2 for 3 with wins and comes off a long layoff effort in the G2 San Carlos. He should be in mid pack and has a record of 1 for 1 at Del Mar.

#2 Dr. Dorr comes in for Bob Baffert with Joe Talamo aboard. He’s going to be forwardly placed as Baffert looks to notch his second win in this race loaded with two solid runners.

 

Race #8 – G2 San Clemente – 1 mile on the turf – 8:30 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #9 West Palm Beach / #10 War Heroine / #3 Flammetta

#9 West Palm Beach is a daughter of Scat Daddy and crossed the pond running on the synthetic surface. She was a beaten favorite in the G3 Senorita and comes in fresh off a two month layoff for trainer Simon Callaghan with Flavien Prat in the irons.

#10 War Heroine is a solid daughter of Lonhro for trainer Peter Miller. She’s been off for two months and two for two on the greensward. Today she makes a jump in class and gets the acid test to prove her ability.

#3 Flammetta is entered for trainer Richard Baltas with Geovanni Franco in the saddle. She should be placed in the mid pack flight and owns 3 wins from 4 efforts on the turf.

 

BetPTC.com Graded Stakes Preview – 11/18/17

BetPTC.com / Graded Stakes Preview / Ed Meyer

Churchill Downs

11/18/17

Race #10 – The G3 Cardinal Handicap – 1 1/8 on the turf – 5:24 pm ET

BetPTC.com Selections = #12 – Dona Bruja / #7 – Beauly / #4 – La Piba

#12 – Dona Bruja = Ricardo Santanna in the irons and she is 1/1 at Churchill. She is by Storm Embrujado and has 4 starts / 4 wins / and 2 turf wins to her credit. She exits the G1 First Lady at Keeneland and finished a fast-closing 4th. Since coming in from Argentina the mare has relished the turf and addition of Lasix to her regimen. Solid works and a top-notch rider make one of the top targets to chase. #7 – Beauly = Corey Lanerie for Brendan Walsh and they bring a daughter of Sea the Stars to post. She’s been knocking on the door with 3 straight 4th place finishes. Exits the G1 Flower Bowl and drops in class coming back to Louisville. She is a stone cold closer and Lanerie will have her rolling late in the lane. #4 – La Piba = Jon Court aboard for Brad Cox. This daughter of Lookin At Lucky exits a 1 5/16 event at Kentucky Downs and faces a distance that may be more to her liking. The trainer wins 30% on the turf.

Race #5 – $80,000 – Bet On Sunshine – 7f – 2:55 pm ET

BetPTC.com Selections = #8 – Limousine Liberal / #2 – The Truth of Else / #7 – Uncontested

 #8 – Limousine Liberal = Corey Lanerie in the driver’s seat for Ben Colebrook. He is an HFC going 5/6 ITM over the Churchill oval. 2nd start off a layoff and was a beaten favorite his last two efforts and the trainer wins 17% 2nd start off the layoff. #2 – The Truth of Else= Robby Albarado in the saddle for Kenny McPeek who is winning 23%. Son of Yes It’s True ships back from Seoul, Korea where he ran a solid 4th in the Keeneland Korea Sprint. He has a string of good works coming in and capped off with a bullet over the Keeneland surface. He’ll launch a rally at the top of the lane. #7 – Uncontested = Wayne Catalano trainee exits the G2 Phoenix and is 2/3 ITM at CD. He owns a bullet work and makes a drop down the class ladder coming back to a course he enjoys.

Del Mar

11/18/17

Race #5 – $100,000 Desi Arnaz – 7f – 5:30 pm ET

BetPTC.com Selections = #3 – Midnight Bisou / #6 – Dream Tree / #2 – Ms. Bad Behavoir

#3 – Midnight Bisou =Rafael Bejarano in the saddle for Bill Spawr. Daughter of Midnight Lute just missed last out and was closing in a hurry. She gets added distance from 6f – 7f and gets a stronger rider in the saddle. The barn wins 25% making the second time out move. #6 – Dream Tree = Speedy daughter of Uncle Mo for the Bob Baffert barn. She gets first-time “blinkers off” and Baffert wins 26% on this equipment change. She battled gamely down the lane last out besting Midnight Bisou and has a couple solid works looking to make it 2-in-a-row for Team Baffert. #2 – Ms. Bad Behavoir = Tiago Pereira is the reinsman for Richard Baltas. This daughter of Blame was very impressive on her maiden win and is a speedster who can put their lights if left alone on the front end.

BetPTC.com Horses to Watch – 10/2/17

Horses to Watch – Ed Meyer

Summer gave most of the country a last blast of heat and humidity. The sweltering heat will soon be replaced by cool winds and nature’s foliage show. There are less than 40 days until the Breeders’ Cup sets up shop at Del Mar and we’ll see the best-of-the-best lock horns and do battle. Until then, here are some runners to keep on your radar. Best of luck from your friends at BetPTC.com! 

Belmont

9/23/17

Race #3 – G3 Noble Damsel – 1 mile on the turf

#2 – Sassy Little Lila = Daughter of Artie Schiller and bred to relish the turf. She was making her 2nd start after facing the boys in the G2 Four Star Dave. She grabbed the lead and did nothing wrong this day. She caught a much tougher gal in Off Limits and will give them fits next out. I am keeping her at the top of my list as this was a winning effort running 2nd.

Race #10 – Mdn Sp Wt – 6f on the turf

#10 – Lutheran Rags = Son of Union Rags for the Christophe Clement barn making his 2nd lifetime start. The barn wins 18% on this move and he rolling 4 wide into the lane showing a strong late kick. This race was a promising effort for next time out.

Churchill Downs

9/23/17

Race #1 – Claiming – 6f on the main

#4 – Doggerwinii = 2nd start off the layoff and this daughter of Maltese Dog showed very good early speed. She stretched out from 5 1/2f to 6f and shipped in from Indiana Grand. She was squeezed at the start and still managed to take the lead. A clean trip gets her in the winner’s circle.

Race #3 – Mdn Claiming – 7f on the main

#1 – Something Bird = 3rd off the shelf for the Mike Tomlinson barn. Son of Birdstone dropped down the class ladder (27%) and drew the red-hot rail post. He was caught in tight and forced to check up sharply. He managed to get back on task and grab the show dough this day.

Belterra Park

9/23/17

Race #5 – Claiming – 1 mile on the main

#5 – Lookin at Grace = Daughter of Lookin at Lucky and was making the turf – dirt switch (25%) for the William Brumley barn. She dropped down in class and had an awkward start. She circled the field quickly but was very wide the entire race.

Race #7 – Allowance – 6f on the main

#7 – Conundrum Red = Filly by Trappe Shot for the Doug Cowans barn. 2nd start off the layoff and she won easily under wraps by 7 1/4 on this day. She was on the wrong lead and still moved with fluent motion. – I’m keeping this little lady on the short list to follow right back.

BetPTC.com Horses to Watch – 5/11/17

Horses to Watch – Ed Meyer

Mother Nature was windy and wet for Kentucky Derby 143. – But that’s horse racing. – The world wanted to see a spring-like day with sunshine and packed stands. Well the latter may have held true, and the weather couldn’t dampen the spirits of the racing faithful. – Hope you had a great Derby weekend, and best of luck from your friends at BetPTC.com !

Churchill Downs

5/5/17

Race #5 – #4 – Paid Up Subscriber – 1 1/16

Joel Rosario in the irons for Chad Brown. This daughter of Candy Ride was making her second start of the year. She has solid works over the Churchill surface and was forced to check sharply and bumed soundly as the odds-on favorite.

Race #6 – #2 – Breaking Lucky – 1 1/16

Javier Castellano in the saddle with a son of Lookin at Lucky. 2nd  off the layoff and was working well in the morning. He was bumped at the start, caught in tight, and bumped around through most of the race.

Race #8 – #2 – Union Strike – 7f

Brice Blanc in the driver’s seat for this daugher of Union Rags making her second start off the shelf. Two straight bullet works and she broke awkwardly making up solid ground to be the bridesmaid this day. She’ll be a handful next out.

Churchill Downs

5/6/17

Race  #7 -#1 – Linda – 1 mile on the turf

Brian Hernandez Jr. in the saddle for Ian Wilkes. She was 1/1 at CD making her 2nd start of the year. The red-hot bullet work had her ready, and she was forced 4 wide and eventually kicked out 6 wide making up ground in a hurry to be 3rd this day.

Race #8 – #5 – No Dozing – 1 mile

Joel Rosario in the saddle Arnaud Delacour. This son of Union Rags was a beaten favorite in the (G-3) Lexington. He was fractious in the gate, broke slowly, and shifted 9 wide into the stretch to be bested down the lane.

Race #12 – #14 – Classic Empire – 1 1/4 – The Kentucky Derby

Julien Leparoux aboard for Mark Casse for this son of Pioneer of the Nile. 2/2 at CD and 1/1 on an off-track. He looked super strong prior to the race and ultra impressive in the Arkansas Derby. He bobbled at the break and was knocked around quite a bit. He regrouped nicely and made an honest effort to be fourth. – After the race his right eye was swelling badly and his next effort is up in the air. – When he comes back he’ll exact some payback for his backers.