Tag Archives: Luis Saez

BetPTC.com Arlington Million Preview – Aug 10th

BetPTC.com / Weekend Stakes Preview / Ed Meyer

Arlington Park

Race #9 – The G1 Beverly D – 1 3/16 on the turf – 5:53 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #7 – Sistercharlie / #1 – Fleeting / #6 – Magic Wand

#7 Sistercharlie comes in for Chad Brown with John Velasquez in the irons. Her 2nd off move gets the barn a 24% win clip as she rolls in with an impressive win in the G1 Diana. She is 1 for 1 at AP and looks for a repeat in this race. She’s a long range closer with solid work tabs. #1 Fleeting is a daughter of Zoffany (IRE) from the Aidan O’Brien yard. Ryan Moore makes the trip and finished a game 2nd in the Gr2 Ribblesdale Stakes at Ascot. She is 6 for 8 ITM lifetime and adds Lasix drawing the rail. #6 Magic Wand is a daughter of Galileo from the Aidan O’Brien yard with Wayne Lordan in the irons. She had a dismal outing in the Gr1 King George & Queen Elizabeth and adds Lasix for her rebound. O’Brien wouldn’t send her if he felt she wasn’t ready.

 

Race #10 – The G1 Secretariat – 1 mile on the turf – 6:28 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #9- Crafty Dandy / #6 – Fog of War / #7 – Valid Point

#9 Crafty Dandy is a son of Scat Daddy for Brad Cox and Florent Geroux in the saddle. He was rolling in the G3 American Derby for a trip over the track and a sharp work following his last race. #6 Fog of War is a son of War Front for Chad Brown and Irad Ortiz. He steps up the class ladder off a beaten favorite effort at Belmont. A rider change from Castellano to Irad Ortiz who excels with fast closing runners. 3rd off the layoff and has sharp morning works to make him a player. #7 Valid Point is a son of Scat Daddy for Chad Brown with Javier Castellano in the driver’s seat. He’s a perfect 2 for 2 coming off a two month layoff. He’s moving up in class and Brown spots his runners very well when they are ready to step up.

FINALS DAYS!

Race #11 – The G1 Arlington Million – 1 1/4 on the turf – 7:12 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #3- Bricks and Mortar / #1 – Robert Bruce / #8 – Captivating Moon

#3 Bricks and Mortar is a son of Giant’s Causeway for Chad Brown and Irad Ortiz in the irons. Ortiz won this race last year on his birthday aboard Robert Bruce. They are looking for his 6th straight win and beat Robert Bruce in the G1 Manhattan last out. He is 2 for 2 at the distance and comes off a two month layoff. Ortiz wins 21% with late runners and this guy is something special. #1 Robert Bruce is a Chad Brown trainee with Javier Castellano in the saddle. Game effort in the G1 Manhattan which is the same race he used last year to prep for the Million. Castellano wins 24% with Chad Brown and they are 1 for 1 at AP. Look for a solid pace from Hunting Horn and the top two will come calling late in the lane. #8 Captivating Moon is a son of Mailbu Moon for trainer Chris Block. He’s a long range closer and Jose Valdivia is 51% ITM on the turf. He will be a player at a square price to complete your exotics.

Saratoga

Race #9 – The G1 Fourstardave – 1 mile on the turf – 5:46 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #4 – Raging Bull / #8 – Hembree / #3 – Uni

#4 Raging Bull is a son of Dark Angel (IRE) for Chad Brown and Jose Ortiz. Exits the G1 Manhattan finishing 3rd against the top two selections in the G1 Arlington Million. This colt loves the Spa going 2 for 2 off a two month layoff. There are solid morning works and Ortiz picks up the mount winning 18% on the turf. Look for this colt to launch a strong late bid. #8 Hembree comes from the barn of Mike Maker with Luis Saez aboard. 3rd off the layoff and 4 for 5 ITM at the Spa. Steps up a notch on the class ladder and Saez wins 31% for Mike Maker. He’ll be running quickly late in the lane. #3 Uni is a daughter of More Than Ready for Chad Brown and Joel Rosario. She always comes running and is 2 for 2 ITM at the Spa. 2nd off the shelf and Brown wins 24% on this move. She seeks her 6th straight win.

BetPTC.com Graded Stakes Preview – July 20-21

BetPTC.com / Weekend Stakes Preview / Ed Meyer

Sunday’s Haskell

Race #12 – The G1 Haskell Invitational – 1 1/8  5:47 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #7 – Maximum Security / #5 – Mucho Gusto /#1  King for a Day

#7 Maximum Security hails from the Jason Servis barn who is winning at 29% at the meet. Luis Saez in the saddle and after the Derby DQ he had a nice prep in the Pegasus over the track and should be knocking heads on the lead. Look for a big effort today. #5 Mucho Gusto son of Mucho Macho Man for Bob Baffert who has won eight runnings of this race. He is 3rd off the layoff and 7 for 7 ITM lifetime. There is plenty of speed and Joe Talamo should be able to lay just off the main speed waiting to push the button. #1 King for a Day comes from the Todd Pletcher barn with John Velasquez in the irons. This son of Uncle Mo is making a 3rd off move and the barn scores at a 22% clip. The rail has been winning at a 24% clip and owns a sharp work coming into the race.

Del Mar

Race #4  – The G2 San Diego  1 1/16  6:30 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #1  Catalina Cruiser / #2  Core Beliefs / #4 Draft Pick

#1 Catalina Cruiser is a son of Union Rags for John Sadler with Joel Rosario in the driver’s seat. 2nd off the layoff and the barn wins 16% on this move. He is a solid stalker with sparkling works. He’ll be closer to the pace today and give them plenty of trouble down the lane. #2 Core Beliefs hails from the Peter Eurton barn with Flavien Prat in the saddle. Blinkers on and has been off for 54 days. He’s a nice stalker who is dropping down a notch in from the G1 Gold Cup and cuts back to a kinder distance. #4 Draft Pick comes from the Peter Eurton barn with this son of Candy Ride. Martin Garcia in the irons and makes his 2nd start of the year. His work tabs look like he’s gearing up for a top effort.

Race #8 – The G2 San Clemente – 1 mile on the turf – 8:30 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #3 – Mucho Unusual / #5 – Apache Princess / #8 – Stillwater Cove

#3 Mucho Unusual is a daughter of Mucho Macho Man for Tim Yakteen. Joel Rosario in the saddle making a 2nd off the layoff move where the barn wins 14%. This California bred should relish all of the speed to set up a good stalking trip. The faster they go the better she’ll like it. #5 Apache Princess comes in for Keith Desormeaux with brother Kent Desormeaux in the saddle. They’ve been off two months shipping in from Golden Gate. Kent D rolled off three straight going 6 1/2f on the weeds and they usually take to the mile distance with gusto. Look for her late in the game. #8 Stillwater Cove rolls in from the Wesley Ward barn with a daughter of Quality Road. Victor Espinoza in the irons and he wins 24% on the turf. The barn has been winning 26% for the year.

 

 

BetPTC.com Graded Stakes Preview – July 6th

BetPTC.com / Weekend Stakes Preview / Ed Meyer

Belmont Park Race #7 – The G1 Belmont Oaks – 1 1/4 miles on turf – 4:30 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #2 – Newspaperofrecord / #4 – Concrete Rose / #5 – Cafe Americano

#2 Newspaperofrecord hails from the Chad Brown barn winning 30%. Irad Ortiz in the saddle of this daughter of Lope De Vega who has four starts and two turf winners to her credit. She is a pure speedster and is 3rd off the layoff and a beaten favorite last out. She should grab the lead and carry it from start to finish. #4 Concrete Rose is a daughter of Twirling Candy for trainer Rusty Arnold. Julien Leparoux in the irons as she comes off a two month layoff. She’s looking for three in a row and is a perfect stalker. She beat “Newspaper” last out in the G3 Edgewood impressively and is four for five with wins lifetime. She’ll be a little closer with added distance. #5 Cafe Americano is a daughter of Medaglia d’ Oro for Chad Brown. She is a perfect two for two and been working lights out in the morning. Javier Castellano in the saddle and he is winning 23% on the turf. Look for her to launch a strong rally as she gets the acid test.

Race #8 – The G2 John Nerud Stakes – 7f – 5:05 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #7 – Do Share / #9 – Promises Fulfilled / #4 – Nicodemus

#7 Do Share is a son of Candy Ride for trainer Mike Maker with Tyler Gafflione in the saddle. He was bumped soundly last out in the G1 Churchill and still finished a game fourth. He is three for six ITM at Belmont and with a sharp 4f work coming into the race is looking for a top effort. #9 Promises Fulfilled hails from the Dale Romans barn. This son of Shackleford has Luis Saez in the saddle exiting the G1 Metropolitan. He has plenty of speed and turns back to 7f. Going from a route to sprint to route they win 35%. #4 Nicodemus is a son of Candy Ride for trainer Linda Rice and Jose Ortiz in the driver’s seat. He is a late closer and gets an added half a furlong to come rolling. Ortiz wins 14% on closers and Rice excels with sprinters winning 25%.

Race #9 – The G1 Belmont Derby – 1 1/4 on turf – 5:44 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #3 – Seismic Wave / #12 – Demarchelier / #8 – Social Paranoia

#3 Seismic Wave is a son of Tapit for trainer Bill Mott and Joel Rosario. He is a stone cold closer who is 2 for 2 ITM over the course. Rosario is winning 22% with closers and fits this colt like a glove. #12 Demarchelier is a son of Dubawi (IRE) for Chad Brown with Javier Castellano. This is his second off and is a perfect 3 for 3. He’s a strong late runner and look for him to come calling late in the lane. #8 Social Paranoia is a son of Street Boss for trainer Todd Pletcher and Manny Franco in the saddle. He’s been a beaten favorite in his last two trips and is looking to reward his backers. He should stalk mid flight and make a run at the pacesetters.

Race  #10 – The G2 Suburban – 1 1/4 miles dirt – 6:18 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #5 – Lone Sailor / #11 – Pavel / #3 – Rocketry

#5 Lone Sailor comes in for trainer Thom Amoss with Irad Ortiz aboard. He came flying in the G1 Gold Cup. A rider switch from Flavien Prat and Amoss adding blinkers where he wins 38% on the equipment change. Look for him late on the scene with a rider who wins 22% with closers. #11 Pavel hails from the Doug O’Neill barn with Mario Gutierrez in the saddle. 2nd off the layoff and shipping back from the Dubai World Cup as the barn wins 22% making the second time off the shelf. This son of Creative Cause will get a good stalking trip from the outside waiting from the rider to give the cue. #3 Rocketry is a son of Hard Spun for trainer James Jerkins with Joel Rosario. He can roll quickly in the lane and his last bullet work shows he is locked and loaded. Rosario wins 22% with stout closing types.

BetPTC.com Graded Stakes Preview – June 22

BetPTC.com / Weekend Stakes Preview / Ed Meyer

Thistledown Race #9 – The G3 Ohio Derby – 1 1/8 – 5:10 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #2 – Owendale / #4 – Global Campaign / #6 – Bethlehem Road

#2 Owendale comes in for trainer Brad Cox with Florent Geroux in the saddle. He is 3rd off the layoff exiting a closing effort in the Kentucky Derby. He was seven wide and moving quickly and turns back in distance today. Geroux will have him in mid pack waiting to push the button. #4 Global Campaign is the son of Curlin for trainer Stanley Hough. Luis Saez in the irons exiting a strong win in the G3 Peter Pan. Solid morning works and the trainer wins 40% with graded stakes. #6 Bethlehem Road is a son of Quality Road for Dee Curry. He is a perfect 3 for 3 and sports quick speed. He dusted the competition at Parx making the ship in move. Catch him if you can.

Monmouth Park

Race #10 – The G3 Iselin Stakes – 1 1/16 – 5:00 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #6 – Zanotti / #5 – Diamond King / #3 – Runnin’toluvya

#6 Zanotti is a son of Gio Ponti for trainer Juan Guerrero with Jorge Vargas in the saddle. This is his 2nd start of the year and had a sprint prep last out to get ready for two turns. He had a place finish last year in the G3 Monmouth Cup as a beaten favorite that day. Vargas is winning 20% on the year and wins 19% with pressing style runners. #5 Diamond King is a son of Quality Road for trainer John Servis. Jose Ortiz aboard the stalker and can be on the pace or just off. Ortiz wins 19% with close up close runners as they make a switch in riders. #3 Runnin’toluvya is a speedy gelding seeking his 11th straight victory shipping in from Charles Town where he wins flag fall to finish. Angel Suarez in the irons and he’ll be tough to catch.

Race #11 – The G1 United Nations – 1 3/8 on the turf – 5:28 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #1 – Bigger Picture / #4 – Focus Group / #6 – Zulu Alpha

#1 Bigger Picture is from the Mike Maker barn with Jersey Joe Bravo in the saddle. He scored in the G2 Elkhorn at Keeneland and is a stone cold closer. He’s been off two months and is 5 for 9 ITM going the distance. The rider is well acquainted with the New Jersey track. #4 Focus Group is a son of Kitten’s Joy for trainer Chad Brown. 3rd off the layoff and exits the G1 Man O’ War as a beaten favorite. He is 2 for 3 ITM at the distance and a stout closer. Jose Ortiz wins 21% with Brown and 18% on the turf. #6 Zulu Alpha is a son of Street Cry for Mike Maker. Channing Hill has the call as they make the 3rd off the layoff move. Hill fits the runner as they reunite from 2018 winning efforts.

Bangor ates

BetPTC.com Preakness Stakes Preview – May 18

BetPTC.com / Weekend Stakes Preview / Ed Meyer

Pimlico Race #10 – The G3 Gallorette – 1 1/16 on the turf – 4:05 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #4 – Mitchell Road / #7 – In the Lee / #1 – I’m So Fancy

#4 Mitchell Road is a daughter of English Channel for Bill Mott. Joel Rosario is aboard and they’ve been off for three months. She is seeking her third straight and Rosario should send right to the front. She is 6 for 6 ITM and a solid candidate for the win. #7 In the Lee is a daughter of Tapit for Shug McGaughey. This is her 2nd start of the year and beaten chalk at Keeneland last out. Shug wins 26% coming back off a beaten favorite effort looking for payback. #1 I’m So Fancy comes from the barn of Arnaud Delacour with Florent Geroux in the saddle. She’s been off for 8 months and gets first time Lasix where the trainer wins 31%. She comes in from the Curragh in Ireland and Delacour wins at a solid clip with fresh runners.

Race #11 – The G3 Chick Lang – 6f – 4:42 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #8 – Preamble / #7 – Pyron / #3 – Malpais

#8 Preamble comes in for the Rodolphe Brisset barn. 2nd start of the year and has Florent Geroux in the saddle. He is a perfect 3 for 3 and cuts back to 6f. The barn wins 19% with graded stakes and 23% second time off the shelf. He’ll get a perfect stalking trip breaking from the outside. #7 Pyron hails from the barn of Steve Asmussen with his main rider Ricardo Santana in the saddle. This son of Candy Ride is a perfect 2 for 2 and ships in from Oaklawn stepping in class. Look for a stalking trip and Santana to hit the gas at the quarter pole. #3 Malpais comes from the Joe Sharp barn with Luis Saez in the driver’s seat. Ships in from Charles Town turning back in distance as he looks for his 3rd straight win. This son of Hard Spun has wicked speed and may be tough to catch.

Race #12 – The G2 Dixie Stakes – 1 1/16 on the turf – 5:39 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #12 – Catholic Boy / #11 – Inspector Lynlee / #5 – Have At It

#12 Catholic Boy is a son of More Than Ready with Javier Castellano in the saddle. He’s been off six months since the B/C Classic and sports two bullet works. He is 4 for 5 with wins on the sod and Castellano wins 24% on the grass. Look for a mid pack closing move around the turn. #11 Inspector Lynlee is a son of Lemon Drop Kid for Shug McGaughey. Jose Lezcano is the reinsman and exits a perfect prep winning at Aqueduct. He gets added ground and will launch a strong closing effort. #5 Have At It a son of Kitten’s Joy for Christophe Clement. He’s been vacationing the past five months and faced some tough guys last year. He’s a perfect stalker and Jose Ortiz in the irons is a real plus when they turn for home.

Race #13 – The G1 Preakness Stakes- 1 3/16 miles dirt  – 6:48 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #4 – Improbable / #2 – Bourbon War / #7 – Alwaysmining

#4 Improbable is a son of City Zip for Bob Baffert with Hall of Famer Mike Smith in the saddle. This closer was a beaten favorite in the eventful Derby and he’s faced some of the toughest runners this year. He is 5 for 6 ITM lifetime and looks for a solid effort to rebound off his KY Derby performance. #2 Bourbon War is a son of Tapit and gets blinkers for trainer Mark Hennig. He’s been off since for the G1 Florida Derby and this long range closer has Irad Ortiz in the saddle and he wins 22% with this type of runner. #7 Alwaysmining is a son of Stay Thirsty with Daniel Centeno in the irons. He has a quick turn of foot and plenty of early speed going six in a row. He won the Federico Tesio which has been a long time prep for this race.

BetPTC.com Graded Stakes Preview – May 11

BetPTC.com Horse Racing Analysis – by Ed Meyer

Belmont Park Race #4 – The G3 Peter Pan – 1 1/8 – 3:08 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #5 – Final Jeopardy / #1 – Intrepid Heart / #3 Global Campaign

#5 Final Jeopardy is a son of Street Sense for trainer Jason Servis. Irad Ortiz has the call and this is his third off the layoff exiting the G2 Wood Memorial. He was compromised and squeezed back at the start. He’s a solid stalker for Gary and Mary West and maybe this weekend will be a little kinder. #1 Intrepid Heart hails from the barn of Todd Pletcher with John Velasquez aboard. They are winning 28% as a team and this son of Tapit is 2/2. He’s a versatile runner seeking his third straight win moving up the ladder. #3 Global Campaign goes to post for trainer Stanley Hough with Luis saez in the saddle. He’s been on the shelf for 2 months exiting the G2 FOY at GP. His style is solid speed as this son of Curlin has been working over the deep CD course looking to fire with fresh legs.

Race  #7 – The G3 Beaugay Stakes – 1 1/16 on the turf – 4:45 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #5 – Homerique / #6 – Binto Al Nar / #3 – Competitonofideas

#5 Homerique is a daughter of Exchange Rate for Chad Brown. She gets 1st time Lasix and the barn wins 27% with new runners in the barn. She ships in from Longchamp and is 5/6 ITM on the green. Irad Ortiz is winning 41% with Chad Brown when they team up. #6 Binto Al Nar hails from the Peter Schiergen yard. She’s been off for 6 months shipping in from Milan, Italy. John Velasquez has the call and he knows the course going 42% ITM on grass races. #3 Competitonofideas is a daughter of Speightstown for trainer Chad Brown. Joel Rosario in the driver’s seat as she comes off a string victory in the G1 American Oaks at SA. She is a strong closer and Brown is scoring at a 39% clip this meet.

Race #10 – The G3 Man O’ War – 1 3/8 on the turf – 6:24 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #5 – Magic Wand / #2 – Zulu Alpha / #6 – Focus Group

#5 Magic Wand is a daughter of Galileo for trainer Aidan O’Brien. Wayne Lordan gets the call and she gets 2nd time Lasix where the trainer wins 27%. Her last race was the G1 Dubai Sheema Classic back in March and ran a game second against the boys in the G1 Pegasus World Cup Turf. Lordan has a pair of seconds to his credit in the saddle looking to to seal the deal. #2 Zulu Alpha is a son of Street Cry for trainer Mike Maker. Javier Castellano aboard and makes a 2nd off the layoff move exiting the G2 Elkhorn at Keeneland. He is 14/20 ITM on the green and was a beaten favorite last out looking for payback. #6 Focus Group is a son of Kitten’s Joy for Chad Brown. Irad Ortiz in the irons making his second start of the year. He won with a strong closing effort in the G2 Pan American looking to make 2019 his year.

BetPTC.com Graded Stakes Preview / 4/6/19

BetPTC.com / Weekend Stakes Preview / Ed Meyer

Aqueduct

Race #10 – The G2 Wood Memorial – 1 1/8 – 6:00 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #1 – Tax / #4 – Haikal / #2 – Tacitus

#1 Tax is a son of Arch for the Danny Gargan barn with Junior Alvarado in the irons. This gelded son of Arch should be up close and settle nicely. His victory in the G3 Withers was better than appeared as he stumbled and still hung in to win. Alvarado is rolling to the winner’s circle at a 24% clip at Aqueduct. #4 Haikal comes from the barn of Kiaran McLaughlin with Rajiv Maragh in the driver’s seat. He is looking for his 4th straight win and 3rd off the layoff for this stone cold closer. He may be maturing at the right time and I’m looking for a strong effort. #2 Tacitus is a son of Tapit for Bill Mott. He’s a perfect stalker and should enjoy the added ground. 2nd start of the year and 2nd time Lasix where Mott wins 20% on the medication change.

Keeneland

Race #10 – The G2 Bluegrass – 1 1/8 – 6:23 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #2 – Vekoma / #8 – Win Win Win / #11 – So Alive

#2 Vekoma exits the G2 Fountain of Youth off a less than ideal trip. They switch riders from Manny Franco to Javier Castellano and he is the new ‘money man.’ 2nd time Lasix for this son of Candy Ride for George Weaver and he should get a perfect stalking trip. He is lightly raced and deserves serious consideration before making a wager. The barn wins 25% on the medication move and the rider change is a positive sign. #8 Win Win Win is a son of Hat Trick for the Mike Trombetta barn. He was a beaten favorite in the Tampa Bay Derby rolling 5 wide and shows a red hot work. Irad Ortiz back in the saddle and that moves his chances up greatly. #11 So Alive is a son of Super Saver and is a bit of an outside shooter. He is lightly raced and has the services of Luis Saez in the saddle. He can easily pick up his head and come rolling for minor awards today.

Santa Anita

Race #8 – The G1 Santa Anita Derby – 1 1/8 – 6:30 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #6 – Game Winner / #5 – Instagrand / #3 – Nolo Contesto

#6 Game Winner is a monster son of Candy Ride. Joel Rosario has the call for Bob Baffert and they were getting to them late in the G2 Rebel getting beat a dirty nose. Overall, he didn’t have to win the race and use all his gas, but he looked terrific just picking them up late in the lane. I think he is a good looking colt and it looks like Team Baffert is loaded again. His race to lose at Santa Anita. #5 Instagrand is a speedy son of Into Mischief and Flavien Prat will be calling the shots. He is lightly raced and owns some sparkling works at Los Al in preparation for this big race. If he gets loose and can go the distance he may play a perfect role of the spoiler. #3 Nolo Contesto is a perfect stalker who had an eventful trip last out. He’s gonna need his A game against this compact field as Joe Talamo picks up the action in the saddle. The added ground won’t hurt and Talamo has sprung his fair share of upsets.

 

 

BetPTC.com Weekend Stakes Preview – 2/23/19

BetPTC.com / Weekend Stakes Preview / Ed Meyer

Aqueduct

Race #8 – The 100k – Franklin Square – 6f – 4:26 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #3 – Stonesintheroad / #4 – Forgotten Hero / #2 – Maiden Beauty

#3 Stonesintheroad is a daughter of Bustin Stones. Rajiv Maragh stays aboard looking for this 3rd straight about this talented filly. She  has easily handled the distance last out and her finish showed plenty in the tank. Trainer Jeremiah Englehardt wis off to the races winning 17% and 26% with last race winners. #4 Forgotten Hero is a speedy gal by Mission Impazible. Mike Luzzi in the irons for John Toscano. She’s going to be forwardly placed but if someone give her the press she’ll get the acid test moving forward. Her last effort was all that and trip to the winner’s circle and Luzzi wins 13% with speed ball runners. #2 Maiden Beauty can layoff the pace and make a bid. She is on the turn back from a mile and I like the idea of mixing her surroundings up a bit. Manny Franco in the saddle and he is scorching at a 23% win clip so far at the Big A. this is her second off the layoff and owns a bullet work to get ready. Winner at a solid price?

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Gulfstream Park

Race #11 – The G3 Hal’s Hope – 1 mile – 4:58 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #5 – Quip / #7 – Copper Town / #3 – Breaking Lucky

#5 Quip is a son of Distorted Humor from the Rodolphe Brisset barn. Keep an eye on this lad as he’s worked with some of the biggest names in racing. Jose Ortiz in the driver’s seat and has been off for 9 months since the Preakness. His works at Payson have been solid and the barn is 44% ITM off long range layoffs. He faced the tough guys last year and cuts back in distance preparing for his spring campaign. #7 Copper Town is owned by Win Star Farm and China Horse Club International for Todd Pletcher. Javier Castellano in the irons and he’s been rolling at a 22% clip to the winner’s circle. I think they’re still trying to find the true meaning of this colt and makes a 2nd off the layoff move since a troubled trip in the gate as a beaten favorite. #3 Breaking Lucky has Luis Saez in the irons for George Weaver. Another runner still trying to find himself and that’s what makes spring at GP attractive. Look for a midpack break second time out this year.

Santa Anita

Race #9 – The G2 Buena Vista – 1 mile on the turf – 7:20 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #9 – Vasilika / #8 – Elysea’s World / #6 – Amandine

#9 Vasilika is a talented daughter of Skipshot. She is 9 for 9 ITM at SA on the weeds with 8 wins tom her credit. She is 13 for 18 ITM going this far and has the ultra talented Flavien Prat abord winning 24% at the meet. Jerry Hollendorfer is the conditioner and she should calling at the top of the staying out of traffic on the outside. Looks like a lock in this race. #8 Elysea’s World has been off for 4 months coming in from Woodbine in the G1 EP Taylor. She tossed in a dud that day ad comes to California off the break. Bravo to Rosario is a plus on the left coast as he is winning at a 23% number. She is a deep closer and look for her to come rocking at top of the stretch. #6 Amandine is a filly with tactical speed. Drayden Van Dyke aboard and she is 2 for 3 ITM over the SA turf. Look for a close up and DVD to try his hand at wiring the field at a big price.

 

BetPTC.com Weekend Stakes Preview – 12/8/18

BetPTC.com / Weekend Stakes Preview / Ed Meyer

Gulfstream Park

Race #4 – The $75,000 Smooth Air – 1 mile – 1:16 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #5 – Garter and Tie /#2 – Maddy’s Last Dance / #7 – Souper Jackpot

#5 Garter and Tie was a beaten chalk last out and turns back in distance for Ralph Nicks and Tyler Gaffalione. He is a solid closer and looks in top order with some sharp morning works. Look for Gaffalione to come rolling late in the lane. #2 Maddy’s Last Dance is 2 for 2 at GP ITM and has the services of high percentage rider Luis Saez. He’s on the stretch out in distance and should be a factor in the early fractions. #7 Souper Jackpot is a speedy son of Ghostzapper with Irad Ortiz in the irons. He’s coming in off a fresh maiden break at CD and will be a speed player in this one turn mile. That was a very game effort last out and fought every step of the way. Very nice morning works show promise.

Race#5 – The $75,000 Pulpit – 1 mile on the turf – 1:46 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #2 – Henley’s Joy / #1 – Life Mission / #9 – Louder Than Bombs

#2 Henley’s Joy is a son of Kitten’s Joy from the Mike Maker barn. Tyler Gaffalione in the irons and they exit the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf finishing a dismal 13th. It could have been the track condition or just a cut above his reach for now. He has looked very sharp on the turf and finished a brilliant 2nd in the G3 Bourbon at Keeneland. He takes a huge drop in class and this may be his coming out party for big things in 2019. #1 Life Mission is son of Noble Mission for trainer Ben Colebrook. He is 4 for 5 ITM on the green and yet to find the winner’s circle. He’s been on some soft courses and might relish a tighter turf. Luis Saez in the saddle and he scores 15% riding on the turf. Ever since shipping in from Ireland he’s looked better with each start. #9 Louder Than Bombs returns to the turf and is 2 for 3 with wins on the greensward. Javier Castellano has the call for David Fawkes and they have been working a regular clip in the morning with a sharp work to prepare. Castellano wins 20% with turf runners and he will come running down the pace in mid stretch.

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Race #6 – The $75,000 Wait a While – 1 mile on the turf – 2:16 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #1 – Queen Medb / #4 – A Bit Special / #9 – Red Hot Dame

#1 Queen Medb is a daughter of Kodiac shipping over from Ireland for the Chad Brown barn. He wins 23% getting first Lasix and 30% on the stretch out in distance. Javier Castellano aboard and they win 35% as team. She draws the rail and has the typical look of a Brown runner who could score at first asking in the states. #4 A Bit Special looks to relish the turf going 3 for 3 ITM. Patrick Biancone is the conditioner and is always dangerous with his turf runners. She’s been off for two months and Romero Maragh has been aboard all three times. I like her chances to come calling late to storm past in the stretch. #9 Red Hot Dame is a daughter of Violence who has sprinted her last two efforts. Todd Pletcher and John Velasquez team up and the added distance may fit her well. Pletcher wins 27% going a route for the first time and she can easily upset the apple cart.

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Churchill Downs

Race #10 – The G3 Commonwealth Turf – 1 1/16 on the turf – 5:36 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #7 – Hot Springs / #4 – March to the Arch / #1 – Reride

#7 Hot Springs is a son of Uncle Mo for trainer Steve Asmussen with Ricardo Santana in the saddle. They are winning 21% as a team and make a 3rd off the layoff move. He exits a win in the Jefferson Cup bringing him to a perfect 3 for 3 under the Twin Spires. He turns back in distance from 1 1/8 and looks like a perfect stalker waiting to pounce. #4 March to the Arch ships in from Belmont for the Mark Casse barn. This son of Arch ran a solid 4th in the G2 Hill Prince last out and appears ready to roll. He cuts back in distance and should come rolling late in the lane. #1 Reride is a son of Candy Ride for the Asmussen barn. He is making his third off the layoff today and should be a major pace player. Florent Geroux in the irons and was a beaten favorite last out at Keeneland. His last race came off the turf and he returns to the sod for this event.

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Aqueduct

Race #6 – The Atlantic Beach – 6f on the turf – 2:47 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #7 – Absentee / #4 – Gins and Tins / #3 – Wallace

#7 Absentee is a son of Fed Biz for trainer Alan Goldberg. Irad Ortiz in the irons and his dam Truant has 5 starters, 4 wins, and 2 turf winners to her credit. He cuts back in distance and should come calling late in the lane under the strong hand of Ortiz. #4 Gins and Tins is a son of Scat Daddy for trainer Wesely Ward.  John Velasquez in the saddle and his dam High Walden has 7 winners, 5 winners, and 5 turf winners with her progeny. He’s been away from the races since Saratoga and working a regular clip over the Keeneland strip. Ward takes off the blinkers and wins 24% with this equipment change. #3 Wallace is a son of Run Away and Hide for trainer Kelsey Danner. He drops in class from the G1 Summer at Woodbine and should flash early speed. He can be a player if left alone on the front end.

Race #8 – The Artie Schiller – 1 mile on the turf – 3:47 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #1 – Qurbaan / #9 – Projected / #6 – Bricks and Mortar

#1 Qurbaan comes to post for Kiaran McLaughlin. Luis Saez in the irons and at the time of this entry was seeking his 2,000th career win. He ran a solid 3rd at Keeneland in the G1 Shadwell Mile facing Next Shares who ran last weekend in the Breeders’ Cup. Since shipping in from France and getting Lasix he has the look of a dangerous runner. #9 Projected is a son of Showcasing for the Chad Brown barn. Irad Ortiz in the saddle, and ships in from Laurel off a G2 event as a beaten favorite. The drop in class should help greatly and Ortiz loves to finish strong down the lane. He faced Qurbaan and looks to square the record today. #6 Bricks and Mortar comes in for the Chad Brown barn off a one year layoff. Brown wins 29% with well rested runners and this son of Giant’s Causeway was facing graded company before his layoff. He is bred to relish the greensward and may win first off the bench at a square price.