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BetPTC.com Breeders’ Cup Preview – Saturday

BetPTC.com / Breeders’ Cup Preview / Saturday / 11-2-19

by: Ed Meyer

Santa Anita

Race #4 – The B/C F&M Sprint – 7f – 2:55 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #8 – Dawn the Destroyer / #4 – Come Dancing / #5- Lady Ninja

#8 Dawn the Destroyer is 3rd off the shelf for Kiaran McLaughlin and Tyler Gaffalione. She ran a fast closing 2nd in the G2 TCA at Kee and gets added distance today. The barn wins 21% with shippers and Gaffalione is ready for the big stage. #4 Come Dancing is a daughter of Malibu Moon with Javier Castellano in the irons. 3rd off the layoff looking for three in a row. Castellano should have her in a perfect stalking mode. #5 Lady Ninja comes from the barn of Richard Baltas with Drayden Van Dyke. She is 9 for 10 ITM at SA. Add in a red hot work and she’ll be dangerous if the pace is salty down the lane.

 

Race #5 – The BC Turf Sprint – 5f on turf – 3:33 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #1 – Totally Boss / #5 – Stubbins / #10- Eddie Haskell

#1 Totally Boss comes in for Rusty Arnold and Jose Ortiz has the call. They are looking for 3 in a row exiting a big win in the G3 Turf Sprint at KyD. Ortiz gets the rail and is 6 for 7 ITM running short. He’ll be rolling up the hedge late in the game. #5 Stubbins goes to post for Doug O’Neill and Flavien Prat in the irons. They exit a win in the G2 Woodford at Kee. He is 2 for 2 at SA and 2 for 2 ITM at the distance. Prat will come rolling late in the running. #10 Eddie Haskell in for Mark Glatt and Joel Rosario aboard. He’s been stepping up each time and has the ability to come rolling late. He got shuffled about and still closed stoutly as the beaten chalk in the G2 Eddie D.

 

Race #6 – The BC Dirt Mile – 1 mile – 4:10 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #4 – Mr. Money / #2 – Improbable / #5 – Omaha Beach

#4 Mr.  Money is a son of Goldenscents for Bret Calhoun and Gabriel Saez. 2nd off the layoff and cuts back in distance where he is 1 for 1 going a mile. He’ll be mid pack and Saez will have him in top gear. #2 Improbable comes in for Bob Baffert and Rafael Bejarano as they are 1 for 1 at SA. 3rd off the layoff where the barn wins 22% and turns back in distance, He’ll be just off the lead and will stalk a close rail trip. #5 Omaha Beach is 2nd off the layoff for Dick Mandell and Mike Smith in the saddle. This son of War Front is 3 for 3 at SA. His works are tight and you can’t slight the connections. He’ll be on the engine in the guiding hands of Smith.

 

Race #7 – The BC F&M Turf – 1 1/4 on turf – 4:54 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #2 – Sistercharlie / #7 – Vasilika / #10 – Mrs. Sippy

#2 Sistercharlie is the daughter of Myboycharlie (IRE) for Chad Brown and John Velasquez. She is seeking her 7th straight win and Brown has win this race four times prior. She is 5 for 6 ITM at the distance and comes in 2nd off the layoff after winning the G1 Flower Bowl. #7 Vasilika is a daughter of Skipshot for Dan ward and Flavien Prat aboard. She exits a fast closing effort in the G1 First Lady at Kee and with Prat in the irons you know he’s going to find her best stride. #10 Mrs. Sippy a daughter of Blame for Graham Motion and Joel Rosario. 3rd off the shelf and was a fast closing 3rd in the G1 Flower Bowl. She sports a wicked late kick.

 

Race #8 – The BC Sprint – 6f – 5:36 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #9- Imperial Hint / #4 – Mitole / #5 – Engage

#9 Imperial Hint comes in for Luis Carvajal with Javier Castellano in the saddle. 2nd time out off a gutsy win in the G1 Vosburgh. His works are sharp and will display versatility stalking just off the pace. #4 Mitole is a son of Eskendreya for Steve Asmussen with Ricardo Santanna aboard. The first start in two months and his works are strong. Cuts back in distance and will be right near the front. His speed may carry him to the winner’s circle. #5 Engage in for Asmussen and John Velasquez. They are seeking their 3rd straight win and with the early pace in here his late stride may be the answer. He was impressive winning the G2 Phoenix last out.

 

Race #9 – BC Mile – 1 mile turf – 6:20 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #14 – Bowie’s Hero / #11 – Uni / #1 – Suedois

#14 Bowie’s Hero 2nd off the layoff and winner of the G1 Shadwell last out. He loves SA going 6 for 9 ITM and his only knock is the outside post. With Flavien Prat in the irons for Phil D’Amato, he’s going to find his best run. #11 Uni is a daughter of More Than Ready for Chad Brown and Joel Rosario. Winner of the G1 First Lady and knocked heads with the boys before. Brown knows how to spot them and Joel will get her late closing kick in gear. #1 Suedois was closing eight wide in the G1 Shadwell and was 3rd under a blanket finish. Castellano picks up the mount from Jamie Spencer and trainer David O’Meara always brings his runners ready.

fund for the Breeders' cup

Race #10 – The BC Distaff – 1 1/8 – 7:00 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #5- Dunbar Road / #4- Midnight Bisou / #11 – Blue Prize

#5 Dunbar Road is a daughter of Quality Road for Chad Brown and Jose Ortiz. 2nd off the layoff and 6 for 6 ITM. The G1 Spinster was a perfect prep and Ortiz back in the irons should have her running late. #4 Midnight Bisou is a daughter of Midnight Lute for Steve Asmussen and Mike Smith in the saddle. She is seeking her 8th in a row and is a horse for the course going 4 for 4 ITM at SA. Smith will have this stalker in handy order as they turn for home. #11 Blue Prize a daughter of Pure Prize and is 5 for 5 ITM this year. She is 2nd off the shelf after a win in the G1 Spinster. She loves the distance and Joe Bravo looks to pick up the leaders on the far turn.

 

Race #11 – The BC Turf – 1 1/2 on turf – 7:40 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #10 – Old Persian / #9 – Bricks and Mortar / #5 – Anthony Van Dyke

#10 Old Persian is a son of Dubawi (IRE) for the Charles Appleby yard. Willam Buick has the call and they exit an impressive win in the G1 Northern Dancer getting 2nd Lasix today. His closing effort last out was eye catching at Woodbine and looks to wear down the leaders in the lane. #9 Bricks and Mortar comes in for Chad Brown with Irad Ortiz getting the call. They are seeking a 7th straight win and his dam Beyond the Waves has 7 starters, 7 winners, and 6 turf winners to her credit. Ortiz wins 21% with closers and this son of Giant’s Causeway looks like the one to beat. #5 Anthony Van Dyke is a son of Galileo for Aidan O’Brien and Ryan Moore. He was a beaten chalk in last year’s BC Juvenile Turf and looks for payback against a stout field.

 

Race #12 – The BC Classic – 1 1/4 – 8:44 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #11 – Code of Honor / #10 – Vino Rosso / #8 – McKinzie

#11 Code of Honor comes in for Shug McGaughey and John Velasquez. 3rd off the layoff and was put up in a DQ to win the G1 Jockey Gold Cup. He’s a closing son of Noble Mission and has been working well to keep sharp. The one to beat. #10 Vino Rosso is a son of Curlin for Todd Pletcher and Irad Ortiz. He is 1 for 1 at SA and owns a couple of sharp works to prepare. He’ll be up close and ready to move when Ortiz hits the accelerator. He may want some payback as he was moved to 2nd against Code of Honor last out. #8 McKinzie is 7 for 7 at SA for the Baffert barn with Joel Rosario getting the call. He was a beaten favorite last out in the G1 Awesome Again and this son of Street Sense should be up close. Add in that bullet work and we may have a sleeper who can take down the prize.

BetPTC.com Graded Stakes Preview – July 27th

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BetPTC.com / Weekend Stakes Preview / Ed Meyer

Saratoga

Race #9 – The G1 Alfred G. Vanderbilt – 6f – 5:44 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #2 – Strike Power / #1 – Mitole / #4 – Firenze Fire

#2 Strike Power comes from the barn of Mark Hennig with John Velasquez in the saddle. Been away from the races for 50 days and two for two ITM this year. Cutting back in distance today and that could play right into his plans. He is a son of Speightstown who has plenty of speed. Johnny V wins 26% with early runners so he fits this one perfectly. #1 Mitole is a son of Eskendreya for trainer Steve Asmussen and Ricardo Santana. They are seeking their 8th straight win and he is a perfect 4 for 4 this year. Cutting back from the 1 mile distance winning the G1 Met at Belmont. Santana wins 20% with early speedrunners and 49% ITM teaming up with Asmussen. This is the best sprinter/miler in the country and clearly the one to beat. #4 Firenze Fire hails from the Jason Servis barn with Irad Ortiz in the saddle. He is 2 for 3 ITM at the Spa and been off for 49 days. He is 4 for 4 ITM sprinting and cuts back from the one mile G1 Met. He’s a closer and Ortiz wins 22% with late runners.

 

Race #10 – The G2 Bowling Green – 1 3/8 on the turf – 6:18 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #3 – Ya Primo / #12 – Focus Group / #1 – Arklow

#3 Ya Primo is a son of Mastercraftsman (IRE) for Chad Brown with Jose Ortiz aboard. He’s been off four months after winning the Gr1 Latinoamericano in his native country. The Chilean-bred is 6 for 9 ITM on the turf and working well over the Saratoga surface. First time in the states where Brown wins 21% with fresh faces to his barn. He is bred to relish the green and Jose Ortiz wins 25% with Team Brown. #12 Focus Group is a son of Kitten’s Joy for Chad Brown with Irad Ortiz in the driver’s seat. He loves Saratoga going 4 for 5 ITM over the greensward. He’s a deep closer and that fits Irad Ortiz where he wins 21% with late runners. His last race was the G1 United Nations showing great promise. #1 Arklow is a son of Arch for trainer Brad Cox with Florent Geroux in the saddle. Been off for 50 days and was a beaten favorite in the G2 Belmont Gold Cup. Cuts back from two miles and should come flying late in the lane. Geroux wins 30% with Brad Cox and wins 20% with his turf mounts.

 

Race #11 – The G2 Jim Dandy – 1 1/8 – 6:51 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #5 – Tacitus / #6 – War of Will / #2 – Tax

#5 Tacitus is a son of Tapit for trainer Bill Mott and Jose Ortiz. Beaten favorite in the Belmont and is a very strong closer. He is lightly raced coming off a 49 day vacation. He cuts back in distance and Ortiz fits like a glove. #6 War of Will is a son of War Front for Mark Casse and Tyler Gaffalione. Casse is winning 21% at the meet and they’ve been off for 49 days. He takes a drop in class and Gaffalione fits well as he has four wins this year. Tyler G should get a perfect stalking trip in this compact field of six. #2 Tax is a son of Arch for Danny Gargan. Irad Ortiz has the call and he’ll press the early pace or take over and lead the pack. He exits the G1 Belmont as well and owns a bullet work to prepare for this event. He is 5 for 7 lifetime and Gargan is winning 27% at the meet.

Del Mar

Race #8 – The G1 Bing Crosby – 6f – 8:30 pm EDT

BetPTC.com / #3- Cistron / #7 – Recruiting Ready / #8 – Jalen Journey

#3 Cistron comes from the John Sadler barn for Hronis Racing. Victor Espinoza has the mount and this was a speedy turf horse until he tried the grass. Once hitting the new surface he ran even better. He cuts back from 7f and has blistering speed. Been off 2 months and sports a bullet work coming into the race. Look for a top notch effort. #7 Recruiting Ready hails from the Stanley Hough barn with Flavien Prat in the saddle. They’ve been off 50 days and this stalker should be right on the heels of Cistron. Add in a bullet work and Hough may add to his 24% clip for the year. #8 Jalen Journey is a son of With Distinction for trainer Peter Miller who is winning 38% at the meet. 3rd off the layoff and ships in from GP. He has strong early speed and steps up in class under the guidance of Mike Smith where he wins with 39% of his sprinters.

 

BetPTC.com Stakes Preview – June 8th Belmont Stakes

BetPTC.com / Weekend Stakes Preview / Ed Meyer

Belmont Park Race #8 – The G1 Woody Stephens – 7f – 4:04 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #4 – Complexity / #1 – Honest Mischief / #8 – Hog Creek Hustle

#4 Complexity comes from the barn of Chad Brown with Jose Ortiz in the irons. They are winning 26% together as a team. He’s been off for 7 months since the BC Juvenile where he was bumped soundly. He’s been training over the Oklahoma Training Course at Saratoga and cuts back in distance. This colt looks to benefit from a quick early pace stalking in mid pack. #1 Honest Mischief is a Chad Brown trainee with Javier Castellano in the saddle. He’s been off for two months after an impressive maiden win at Keeneland. He owns a sharp work as they team up to win 35%. He’s a closer and should get a piece of the pie. #8 Hog Creek Hustle is a son of Overanalyze for trainer Vickie Foley. Corey Lanerie always makes a run with him, and this colt should come flying late to light up your exotic payoffs.

Bangor ates

Race #9 – The G1 Metropolitan – 1 mile – 4:46 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #7 – Firenze Fire / #3 – Mitole / #2 – McKenzie

#7 Firenze Fire comes from the barn of Jason Servis with Irad Ortiz in the driver’s seat. 3rd off the layoff with an impressive win in the Runhappy at Belmont. He is 3 for 3 with wins and should appreciate the added ground and strong finishing Ortiz in the saddle. #3 Mitole is a speedy son of Eskendreya looking for his 7th straight victory. His win in the G1 Churchill Downs was solid and Steve Asmussen brings his go to rider in Ricardo Santana looking to wire the field. #2 McKenzie is a son of Street Sense with Mike Smith in the irons for Bob Baffert. His 3rd off the layoff move yields a 26% win clip. He is a perfect stalking type cutting back to a one turn mile.

Race #10 – G1 Manhattan – 1 1/4 on the turf – 5:36 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #8 – Bricks and Mortar / #10 Channel Maker / #4 Qurbaan

#8 Bricks and Mortar is a son of Giant’s Causeway for trainer Chad Brown. 3rd off the layoff looking for his 5th straight win. When he won the G1 Pegasus World Cup Turf he found another gear that day. He is 3 for 3 ITM at Belmont and 1 for 1 at the distance. Look for a late rush in the lane. #10 Channel Maker from the barn of Bill Mott with Joel Rosario in the irons. This is his 2nd off the layoff and should be right on the pace. Winning the G1 Man O’ War shows he is in great form and should be right in the mix turning for home. #4 Qurbaan comes from the barn of Kiaran McLaughlin with Mike Smith. 3rd off for the son of Speightstown who ran a game second to the favorite. He should be a little closer with one of the best riders in the business.

Race #11 – The 151st Belmont Stakes – 1 1/2 – 6:37 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #10 – Tacitus / #8 – Intrepid Heart / #6 – Spinoff

#10 Tacitus is a son of Tapit for Bill Mott and Jose Ortiz. He’s as honest as they come and is always knocking on the door. He should be able to run the distance and the outside post will allow him to drop over and settle. He has a nice late punch and a bullet work to show readiness. #8 Intrepid Heart comes from the Pletcher barn with John Velasquez in the irons. 3rd off the layoff and adds blinkers where they win 20% on this equipment change. He stumbled at the start in the G3 Peter Pan as the post time chalk. He’ll stalk the pace and wait for his cue to take off in high gear. #6 Spinoff is a son of Hard Spun for Todd Pletcher. Javier Castellano is aboard and I would toss out his Derby trip. He should be closer than normal and Castellano wins 20% with early runners. I’m looking for an up close trip navigating the sweeping turn for home.