Tag Archives: Pat on the Back

BetPTC.com Stakes Preview – Oct. 19

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BetPTC.com / Weekend Stakes Preview

by: Ed Meyer

Keeneland

Race #9 – The G2 Raven Run – 7f – 5:30 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #1 – Royal Charlotte / #8 – First Star / #6 – Restless Rider

#1 Royal Charlotte is a daughter of Cairo Prince for Chad Brown with Tyler Gaffalione in the irons. She’s been away for 49 days and is 1 for 1 ITM at Keeneland. Her only loss was to Covfefe who is BC bound and Brown is rolling at the meet winning 32%. Her victory in the G2 Prioress was impressive and I’m looking for a quick break from the rail. #8 First Star is a daughter of First Dude for Ron Ellis and Drayden Van Dyke. She is 2 for 2 and Ellis doesn’t ship back this way much, but when he does it is usually for a good reason. She steps up in class and should stalk just off the lead. #6 Restless Rider comes in for Ken McPeek with B.J. Hernandez in the irons. She’s been off 5 months since the Oaks and sports some sharp works coming into the race. I’m looking for an up close stalking trip and pick up the pieces if the pace falls apart.

 

Belmont

Race#5 – The Empire Classic – 1 1/8 – 2:32 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #4 – Mr. Buff / #3 – Pat On the Back / #2 – Dynamax Prime

#4 Mr. Buff is a speedster from the John Kimmel barn with Junior Alvarado in the saddle. Exits the G1 Woodward coming off a 49 day layoff. He sports plenty of speed and Alvarado can be dangerous on the lead. #3 Pat On the Back is a son of Congrats making a 3rd off the layoff move for Jeremiah Englehart. Impressive winner of the G2 Kelso and drops back down in class and faces New York breds again. He’s a mid pack stalker who is 11 for 11 ITM over the Belmont oval. #2 Dynamax is a son of Bluegrass Cat who is 7 for 9 ITM at Belmont. Manny Franco and Rob Atras team up and they have 2 wins from 3 starts the past two weeks. He’s a closer and should come motoring late in the lane.

 

Race #10 Empire Distaff – 1 mile – 5:20 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #1- Newly Minted / #10 – Ratajkowski / #9 – Midnight Disguise

#1 Newly Minted comes in for Linda Rice and Jose Lezcano in the saddle. She’s been off 57 days and is 1 for 1 at Belmont. She’s a speedster from the rail and owns a bullet work coming into the race. Lezcano wins 19% for Rice and fits her like a glove. #10 Ratajkwoski is a speedball daughter of Drosselmeyer for Brian Lynch and Jose Ortiz. She seeks her 3rd straight win and 3 for 3 ITM over the course. She steps up in class and Ortiz wins 20% with early runners. #9 – Midnight Disguise is a daughter of Midnight Lute for Linda Rice. Joel Rosario has the call and she’s 3 for 3 ITM at Belmont coming off a 4 month layoff. She’ll come running late and with a field full of speed she could upset the apple cart.

 

BetPTC.com Graded Stakes Preview – Sept. 21

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BetPTC Blog  / Weekend Stakes Preview

By: Ed Meyer

Belmont

Race #8 – The G3 Noble Damsel – 1 mile turf – 4:51pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #5 – Significant Form / #4 – Capla Temptress / #2 – Stella di Camelot

#5 Significant Form is 3rd off the layoff for Chad Brown who is winning 29% at the meet. She is 3 for 4 ITM at Belmont and got in up the shadow of the wire with John Velasquez last time out. She’s a stalker bred for the turf and Johnny V has been riding exceptionally well this meet winning 27%. #4 Capla Temptress is a daughter of Lope De Vega (IRE) for Bill Mott and Jose Lezcano. A closer who fits well and makes her first start in 49 days. Her last race in the De La Rose showed very positive signs moving forward. #2 Stella di Camelot comes in for Chad Brown and Javier Castellano. 2 for 2 ITM at Belmont and comes off a 49 day layoff. She’ll be a late mover and will hit high gear in the homestretch.

Race #10 – The G2 Kelso – 1 mile – 5:57 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #2 – True Timber / #3 – Pat on the Back / #7 – Tale of Silence

#2 True Timber is a son of Mineshaft coming to post for Kiaran McLaughlin and Joe Bravo. Takes a big drop in class and is 4 for 5 ITM over the track. Been away for 5 mo and the barn can get them ready to fire at first asking. #3 Pat on the Back enters for Jeremiah Englehardt and Dylan Davis. A speedy son of Congrats who is 10 for 10 ITM at Bel. Stepping up from New York company and gets the big acid test today. #7 – Tale of Silence goes to post for Barclay Tagg and Javier Castellano. He is 4 for 6 ITM over the track and is a closing type runner. His last race was a perfect prep and the rider switch is a positive sign.

Remington Park september

Parx

Race #10- The G-1 Cotillion – 1 1/16 – 5:14 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #8 – Guarana / #1 – Serengeti Empress / #10 – Bellafina

#8 Guarana is a daughter of Ghostzapper for Chad Brown and Jose Ortiz. A perfect 3 for 3 and was impressive winning the G1 Acorn and G1 CCA Oaks. She comes in freshened and a bullet work unde3r her belt to be ready. She’ll be winging on the front end if you want to catch her. #1 Serengeti Empress is a Thom Amoss trainee with Irad Ortiz in the irons. She rolls in off a 49 day break and was ultra impressive winning the Oaks earlier this year from the #13 post. Her early style should have her duking it out with the #8 from the gate break. #10 Bellafina is a daughter of Quality Road and adds blinkers once again. Simon Callaghan and Flavien Prat team up and she is a very promising runner who can upset the apple cart.

Race #11- The G1 PA Derby – 1 1/8 – 5:48 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #7 – Maximum Security / #2 – Improbable / #1 – Math Wizard

#7 Maximum Security is a speedy colt who has done little since the Derby. Jason Servis has done an excellent job bringing him ready and his A game is always on tap. Luis Saez has been the regular pilot since February and they fit like a glove. I think we’ll see him go right to the front and take it from there. If anyone pushes back, he can back off. If nobody pressures he’ll be the engine. He’s been off for two months and Servis has a couple of works under his belt over the course. #2 Improbable is the perfect stalker from the Baffert barn. He can sit back as much as needed and turn up the heat when the real running begins. Mike Smith has the call and is always feared at the windows when the big money is on the line. Should offer up a nice stretch run to be the major danger. #1 Math Wizard is a solid colt who fought the claiming ranks early in his career. He is 7 for 12 ITM lifetime and brings Edgard Zayas to launch a late bid for minor shares.

BetPTC.com Graded Stakes Preview – 10/20/18

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BetPTC.com / Weekend Stakes Preview / Ed Meyer

Belmont Park Race #7 – The Maid of the Mist – 1 mile – 3:42 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #4 – She’s Trouble / #7 – Cartwheelin Lulu / #9 – Elegant Zip

#4 She’s Trouble comes to post for Linda Rice and Irad Ortiz in the saddle. Her name is fitting as she has encountered trouble in most of her races and this daughter of Into Mischief stretches out and Rice wins 42% on the distance change. Irad will have her settled out with the added distance and have plenty of time to get into stride for the homestretch run. #7 Cartwheelin Lulu hails from the barn of Jeremiah Englehardt winning 20%. John Velasquez has the call and she broke her maiden in open company and won in hand easily at Belmont last out in a stake. An excellent rider who is 3 for 5 the past week and her dam Reprieve has 3 starters, 3 winners and a stakes winner to her credit. #9 Elegant Zip is a daughter of Run Away and Hide for trainer David Donk. She has solid early speed and the added distance should be welcome as she’ll be on the engine from the gate break.

Race #8 – The Sleepy Hollow Stakes – 1 mile – 4:15 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #1 – Poppy’s Destiny / #4 – Bankit / #3 – Strive for a Cause

#1 Poppy’s Destiny is a son of Orb for trainer Linda Rice. Javier Castellano is the reinsman and stretches out from 7f to a mile. Castellano wins 20% going long and looks to overcome an eventful trip last out. Going sprint to a route yields 42% winners for Linda Rice. With all of the early speed, the rail trip may work out nicely. #4 Bankit comes to post for trainer Steve Asmussen with Irad Ortiz in the saddle. He has blistering speed and will be pushed from the gate break. The one turn mile should fit his style and with a cleaner trip, he could be a handful on the front end. #3 Strive for a Cure is a son of Goldencents for trainer Dale Capuano. He is 1 for 1and has a quick turn of late foot. Stretching out from 6 1/2f to a mile combined with the early speed should have him motoring down the lane.

Race #10 – The Empire Classic – 1 1/8 – 5:23 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #5 – Twisted Tom / #8 – Sea Foam / #10 – Pat on the Back

#5 Twisted Tom is looking for a repeat from last year in this race. This is his 3rd start of 2018 and was a beaten favorite his last two. Joe Bravo gets the call and “Jersey Joe” wins 28% with route runners. He’s been off two months and comes in fresh and ready. His works at Monmouth show promise of things to come. #8 Sea Foam is a son of Medaglia d’ Oro for Christophe Clement winning 24%. He’s a three year old facing older and gave a solid effort in the G3 Oklahoma Derby showing good early speed. Joel Rosario back in the saddle and look for a quick break from the gate. #10 Pat on the Back is a son of Congrats. He is 7 for 7 ITM at Belmont and Dylan Davis has worked out well in the saddle. His last effort in the Evan Shipman was promising moving forward. He has a perfect stalking style and should be respected at the windows.