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BetPTC.com Graded Stakes Preview – May 11

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BetPTC.com Horse Racing Analysis – by Ed Meyer

Belmont Park Race #4 – The G3 Peter Pan – 1 1/8 – 3:08 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #5 – Final Jeopardy / #1 – Intrepid Heart / #3 Global Campaign

#5 Final Jeopardy is a son of Street Sense for trainer Jason Servis. Irad Ortiz has the call and this is his third off the layoff exiting the G2 Wood Memorial. He was compromised and squeezed back at the start. He’s a solid stalker for Gary and Mary West and maybe this weekend will be a little kinder. #1 Intrepid Heart hails from the barn of Todd Pletcher with John Velasquez aboard. They are winning 28% as a team and this son of Tapit is 2/2. He’s a versatile runner seeking his third straight win moving up the ladder. #3 Global Campaign goes to post for trainer Stanley Hough with Luis saez in the saddle. He’s been on the shelf for 2 months exiting the G2 FOY at GP. His style is solid speed as this son of Curlin has been working over the deep CD course looking to fire with fresh legs.

Race  #7 – The G3 Beaugay Stakes – 1 1/16 on the turf – 4:45 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #5 – Homerique / #6 – Binto Al Nar / #3 – Competitonofideas

#5 Homerique is a daughter of Exchange Rate for Chad Brown. She gets 1st time Lasix and the barn wins 27% with new runners in the barn. She ships in from Longchamp and is 5/6 ITM on the green. Irad Ortiz is winning 41% with Chad Brown when they team up. #6 Binto Al Nar hails from the Peter Schiergen yard. She’s been off for 6 months shipping in from Milan, Italy. John Velasquez has the call and he knows the course going 42% ITM on grass races. #3 Competitonofideas is a daughter of Speightstown for trainer Chad Brown. Joel Rosario in the driver’s seat as she comes off a string victory in the G1 American Oaks at SA. She is a strong closer and Brown is scoring at a 39% clip this meet.

Race #10 – The G3 Man O’ War – 1 3/8 on the turf – 6:24 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #5 – Magic Wand / #2 – Zulu Alpha / #6 – Focus Group

#5 Magic Wand is a daughter of Galileo for trainer Aidan O’Brien. Wayne Lordan gets the call and she gets 2nd time Lasix where the trainer wins 27%. Her last race was the G1 Dubai Sheema Classic back in March and ran a game second against the boys in the G1 Pegasus World Cup Turf. Lordan has a pair of seconds to his credit in the saddle looking to to seal the deal. #2 Zulu Alpha is a son of Street Cry for trainer Mike Maker. Javier Castellano aboard and makes a 2nd off the layoff move exiting the G2 Elkhorn at Keeneland. He is 14/20 ITM on the green and was a beaten favorite last out looking for payback. #6 Focus Group is a son of Kitten’s Joy for Chad Brown. Irad Ortiz in the irons making his second start of the year. He won with a strong closing effort in the G2 Pan American looking to make 2019 his year.

Graded Stakes Preview – Saturday, September 2, 2017

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BetPTC.com / Graded Stakes Preview / Ed Meyer

Saratoga

9/2/17

Race 9 – G3 Saranac – 1 1/8 on the turf – 5:36 pm ET

BetPTC.com Selections – #4 – Bricks and Mortar / #9 – Rocketry / #2 – Yoshida

#4 – Bricks and Mortar = Joel Rosario in the saddle for Chad Brown. This son of Giant’s Causeway is a perfect 4/4 on the turf. He won on the Spa turf in the G2 Hall of Fame and the barn comes back to score (20%) off a win. He has perfect tactical speed and his dam Beyond the Waves has 7 starters / 7 winners / and 6 turf winners to her credit. #9 – Rocketry = Jose Ortiz in the irons for James Jerkins. He is 5/6 ITM on the turf and 1/1 at the Spa. He’s been going longer and cuts back in distance from 1 3/8 – 1 1/8. Ortiz has been aboard three times with two wins and a very close third place effort. He’ll be launching a bid from the back of the pack. #2 – Yoshida = Irad Ortiz in the driver’s seat for trainer Bill Mott. 3rd time off the layoff and sports a bullet work coming into this effort. Bred to love the turf and could be the one to beat today.

Race #10 – G1 Spinaway – 7f – 6:11 pm ET

BetPTC.com Selections – #4 – Pure Silver / #1 – Separation of Powers / #5 – Maya Malibu

#4 – Pure Silver = 2-yr-old filly by Mission Impazzible is a perfect 3/3. New York-bred has improved with each start. She circled the field impressively and drew off to win by 9 1/2 lengths. She can be ultra-dangerous on the front end. #1 – Separation of Powers = Daughter of Candy Ride for the Chad Brown barn with Jose Ortiz calling the shots. She will be close to the pace and Ortiz wins (23%) with speed types. There is a sharp work in the morning to prepare and the rail wins (23%). #5- Maya Malibu = Daughter of Malibu Moon is a stone cold closer. She circled the field to win by 6 lengths at Delaware Park last out. Graham Motion is the conditioner for Javier Castellano and she’ll come calling late in the lane.

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Race #11 – G1 Woodward – 1 1/8 – 6:46 pm ET

BetPTC.com Selections – #2 – Gun Runner / #1 Neolithic / #3 – Rally Cry

#2 – Gun Runner = Son of Candy Ride 2/2 ITM at the Spa and is the talk of the racing world. He came back from Dubai World Cup finishing 2nd and has been an impressive winner in the G1 Stephen Foster and G1 Whitney. He’s on a mission and the Breeders’ Cup is the target in the distance. He is definitely the one to fear, and if his latest efforts continue the remainder of the field will be running for 2nd money. #1 – Neolithic = Todd Pletcher and Jose Ortiz team up and bring a runner who finished 3rd in the Dubai World Cup. He is 2/3 ITM at Saratoga and is an early speed type runner.Ortiz may be one of the best speed riders in the land an excellent judge of pace. #3 – Rally Cry = Pletcher and John Velasquez come to the races and “Rally” is 1/1 at Saratoga. Impressive winner last out in the $100,000 Alydar and looks to be a perfect stalking type. Owns a solid work coming in and rider/trainer win (32%) as a team.

Race #12 – G3 Glen Falls – 1 3/8 on the turf – 7:17 pm ET

BetPTC.com Selections – #4 – War Flag / #8 – Harmonize / #7 – Saranda

#4 – War Flag = Jose Ortiz aboard for Shug McGaughey and is 7/7 ITM lifetime. Since shipping in from Chantilly racing in the states has been going well. She’ll be a little closer going from 1 1/8 to 1 3/8 and with Ortiz in the irons, he’ll know how to rate and get the best from her today. #8 – Harmonize = John Velasquez for Bill Mott and they are 2/3 ITM at the Spa. Exits the G1 Diana and the class relief should be welcome. You’ll have to go back to May 2016 to see this level of competition and being a closer with the added distance may fit her well. #7 – Saranda = Daughter of Dansili for trainer Peter Schiergen. She last raced in the G1 Beverly D and the drop in class will fit her better. She’s been facing Group company in Germany and may be a factor in the late running of the race.

Graded Stakes Preview – Saturday Travers Day, August, 26, 2017

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Graded Stakes Preview / BetPTC.com / Ed Meyer

TRAVERS DAY 2017

Saratoga

Race #6 – The G1 Personal Ensign – 1 1/8 – 2:23 pm ET

BetPTC.com Selections – #2 – Songbird / #3 – Going for Broke / #4 – Forever Unbridled

#2 – Songbird = Daughter of Medaglia d’ Oro is 2/2 at the Spa and an impressive 14/14 ITM. Mike Smith aboard for Jerry Hollendorfer and she is making her 3rd start off the layoff (22%) and left California off a very sharp work going 47.1. She cuts back in distance and is 2/2 ITM going 9f. Smith travels in to ride this majestic gal and she can set the pace or lay right behind the leader. If she brings her “A” game she’ll be tough to stop. #3 – Going for Broke = This daughter of Blame is a stone cold closer with one of the strongest finishing riders with Irad Ortiz. She is 3/3 ITM at Saratoga coming from the Chad Brown barn. She’s run second to Songbird and knows how to get rolling late in the lane. The barn wins (32%) going from a sprint to a route, and last out she ran 7f closing late. #4 – Forever Unbridled = She exits a G2 win at CD and is 5/5 ITM going this distance. She’s been away for 2 months from the races and owns a bullet work coming into this affair as she was a 3rd place runner last year.

Race #7 – G1 Ballerina Stakes – 7f – 2:59 pm ET

BetPTC.com Selections – #3 – Paulassilverlining / #4 – By the Moon / #6 – Distinta

#3 – Paulassilverlining = This daughter of Ghostzapper is looking for her 5th straight. She is 3/5 ITM at the Spa and 5/6 ITM going the distance. This is her 2nd off the layoff where Brown wins (22%) and (27%) off the last race win. She has a perfect stalking style and Jose Ortiz is having a super year (23%). She is maturing nicely and has the style that fits the race. #4 – By the Moon = She is a daughter of Indian Charlie and has the services of Rajiv Maragh. He is a very strong finishing rider and her stalking trip can be accentuated with a good late punch. She is 5/5 ITM at Saratoga and has some good works and an excellent sprint race to build upon. #6 – Distinta = John Velasquez in the irons for Todd Pletcher (33%) and she comes in from GP. Her races have been solid but she’ll be making a step up the class ladder.

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Race #8 – The G1 Allen Jerkins Stakes – 7f – 3:35 pm ET

BetPTC.com Selections – #7 – Coal Front / #9 – American Anthem / #1 – Practical Joke

#7 – Coal Front = Son of Stay Thirsty is a perfect 3/3 and looks to add another for the Todd Pletcher barn. He moved up in class off a maiden win in the G2 Amsterdam and was very game when the real running began. Lightly raced and has few things to pick apart. He’s pretty good right now, and we’ll know if he’s ready for that next level after Saturday. #9 – American Anthem = Bob Baffert trainee has been a tough customer and he is 2/2 at the distance. Ever since the SA Derby, he has matured into a very nice colt. He’s rolled off 2 straight going 7f and Mike Smith is his pilot. Baffert is 2/2 ITM at the Spa and wins (29%) off a graded win. #1 – Practical Joke = 2/2 with wins at the Spa and had a troubled trip in the Haskell. Joel Rosario for Chad Brown and they make a cut back in distance from 1 1/8 – 7f where the barn wins (35%). Ever since the Kentucky Derby, he is training well and running strong. The rail is a plus and the trainer knows how to bring them ready.

Race #9 – The G1 Forego – 7f – 4:12 pm ET

BetPTC.com Selections – #10 – Drefong / #6 – Mind Your Biscuits / #2 – Ross

#10 – Drefong = A son of Gio Ponti comes to post for the Bob Baffert barn. Mike “Money-Man” Smith was in the saddle when he ducked into the gap and lost his rider. This is his 2nd start of the 2017 season and the plan looks to return to the left coast for the Breeders’ Cup with a win. He is a monster sprinter and won going 7 panels in the Kings Bishop at the Spa. Smith is a great judge of pace and he looks to be the one to beat as they come back to notch a trip to the Breeders’ Cup at Del Mar. #6 – Mind Your Biscuits = He came back off a win in the Gr.2 Golden Shaheen at Meydan and rolled in the G2 Belmont Sprint. He is maturing into a big boy and his races are showing a new dimension every trip. He’s been off for 49 days and Chad Brown will have him cranked up as he is ITM (50%) with rested runners. #2 – Ross = A bit of a wild card who is here for a reason. Andrasch Starke aboard for trainer Peter Schiergen from Germany. He exits off a 6 1/2f win at Deauville only 19 days ago and has run in group company on synthetic and turf. I’m going to use him to complete my exotics, and a price may accompany him to the starting gate.

Race #10 – G1 Sword Dancer – 1 1/2 on the turf – 4:49 pm ET

BetPTC.com Selections – #5 – Money Multiplier / #4 – Hunter O’Riley / #2 – Bigger Picture

#5 – Money Multiplier = Javier Castellano for Chad Brown (20%). This son of Lookin At Lucky is making his 2nd start of the year and a very nice win in the G2 Monmouth. He enjoys the Spa going 3/3 ITM and last year got caught up in traffic and was forced to take up in this race last year. He should be stalking mid-pack and moving before they hit the top of the lane. #4 – Hunter O’Riley = Won the G2 Bowling Green as our pick last out to light up the board. I think there’s more in the tank and he’ll come rolling like a down bound train in the stretch. Florent Geroux stays aboard and is a come from the clouds type who would benefit from some early pace. #2 – Bigger Picture = Jose Ortiz for Mike Maker and they are making a 3rd off the layoff move (25%). He is 2/3 ITM at the Spa and is a very strong closer. Ortiz is having a great year and he wins (21%) with turf runners. They have a solid post draw and the rider knows the greensward as well as anyone.

Race #11 – The G1 Travers – 1 1/4 – 5:44 pm ET

BetPTC.com Selections – #2 – Tapwrit / #3 – West Coast / #9 – McCraken

#2 – Tapwrit = Earlier this year he peaked too soon and his best race was the Tampa Bay Derby. He never really got a break until he went on the shelf after the Derby and had three weeks to the Belmont where he bested the field by two lengths. Once Todd Pletcher figured out this son of Tapit, he’s had a two-month break from his victory in the Belmont. He owns some solid works and the rider/trainer are 6/7 ITM the past two weeks. He looks ready and all reports are good. #3 – West Coast = Baffert / Smith team up with a son of Flatter. He is looking for his 4th straight win and was an easy winner of the Los Al Derby. They never raced him as a two -yr-old and he is getting better by the race. You can bet dollars to donuts Smith will have him in the hunt at the top of the lane. #9 – McCraken = He looked like a winner in the G1 Haskell getting nailed on the wire. His only bad race was the Derby and he is 7/8 ITM lifetime. – B.J. Hernandez in the irons once again for Ian Wilkes and do not leave this guy off your ticket. He’ll chase the leaders and make a big move about the 5/16th’s pole hitting high gear. I like his stride, and the rider is underrated. He’ll be looking for some payback after the Haskell and this is a perfect place to show his ability.