Tag Archives: Social Paranoia

BetPTC.com Graded Stakes Preview – July 6th

BetPTC.com / Weekend Stakes Preview / Ed Meyer

Belmont Park Race #7 – The G1 Belmont Oaks – 1 1/4 miles on turf – 4:30 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #2 – Newspaperofrecord / #4 – Concrete Rose / #5 – Cafe Americano

#2 Newspaperofrecord hails from the Chad Brown barn winning 30%. Irad Ortiz in the saddle of this daughter of Lope De Vega who has four starts and two turf winners to her credit. She is a pure speedster and is 3rd off the layoff and a beaten favorite last out. She should grab the lead and carry it from start to finish. #4 Concrete Rose is a daughter of Twirling Candy for trainer Rusty Arnold. Julien Leparoux in the irons as she comes off a two month layoff. She’s looking for three in a row and is a perfect stalker. She beat “Newspaper” last out in the G3 Edgewood impressively and is four for five with wins lifetime. She’ll be a little closer with added distance. #5 Cafe Americano is a daughter of Medaglia d’ Oro for Chad Brown. She is a perfect two for two and been working lights out in the morning. Javier Castellano in the saddle and he is winning 23% on the turf. Look for her to launch a strong rally as she gets the acid test.

Race #8 – The G2 John Nerud Stakes – 7f – 5:05 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #7 – Do Share / #9 – Promises Fulfilled / #4 – Nicodemus

#7 Do Share is a son of Candy Ride for trainer Mike Maker with Tyler Gafflione in the saddle. He was bumped soundly last out in the G1 Churchill and still finished a game fourth. He is three for six ITM at Belmont and with a sharp 4f work coming into the race is looking for a top effort. #9 Promises Fulfilled hails from the Dale Romans barn. This son of Shackleford has Luis Saez in the saddle exiting the G1 Metropolitan. He has plenty of speed and turns back to 7f. Going from a route to sprint to route they win 35%. #4 Nicodemus is a son of Candy Ride for trainer Linda Rice and Jose Ortiz in the driver’s seat. He is a late closer and gets an added half a furlong to come rolling. Ortiz wins 14% on closers and Rice excels with sprinters winning 25%.

Race #9 – The G1 Belmont Derby – 1 1/4 on turf – 5:44 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #3 – Seismic Wave / #12 – Demarchelier / #8 – Social Paranoia

#3 Seismic Wave is a son of Tapit for trainer Bill Mott and Joel Rosario. He is a stone cold closer who is 2 for 2 ITM over the course. Rosario is winning 22% with closers and fits this colt like a glove. #12 Demarchelier is a son of Dubawi (IRE) for Chad Brown with Javier Castellano. This is his second off and is a perfect 3 for 3. He’s a strong late runner and look for him to come calling late in the lane. #8 Social Paranoia is a son of Street Boss for trainer Todd Pletcher and Manny Franco in the saddle. He’s been a beaten favorite in his last two trips and is looking to reward his backers. He should stalk mid flight and make a run at the pacesetters.

Race  #10 – The G2 Suburban – 1 1/4 miles dirt – 6:18 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #5 – Lone Sailor / #11 – Pavel / #3 – Rocketry

#5 Lone Sailor comes in for trainer Thom Amoss with Irad Ortiz aboard. He came flying in the G1 Gold Cup. A rider switch from Flavien Prat and Amoss adding blinkers where he wins 38% on the equipment change. Look for him late on the scene with a rider who wins 22% with closers. #11 Pavel hails from the Doug O’Neill barn with Mario Gutierrez in the saddle. 2nd off the layoff and shipping back from the Dubai World Cup as the barn wins 22% making the second time off the shelf. This son of Creative Cause will get a good stalking trip from the outside waiting from the rider to give the cue. #3 Rocketry is a son of Hard Spun for trainer James Jerkins with Joel Rosario. He can roll quickly in the lane and his last bullet work shows he is locked and loaded. Rosario wins 22% with stout closing types.

BetPTC.com KY Derby Weekend Stakes Preview

BetPTC.com / Weekend Stakes Preview / Ed Meyer – 5/4

Churchill Downs

Race #9 – The G2 American Turf – 1 1/16 on the turf – 3:37 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Turf Selections / #1 – A Thread of Blue / #2 – Social Paranoia / #8 – Avie’s Flatter

#1 A Thread of Blue has been off two months for the Kiaran McLaughlin barn. Luis Saez in the saddle for this son of Hard Spun. He is a perfect stalker and can take over the lead if the fractions are slow. He is seeking his 4th win in a row and Saez opts for this mount over Social Paranoia. #2 Social Paranoia is a son of Street Boss for trainer Todd Pletcher. His first start of 2019 was super impressive and switches riders to Manny Franco. He is 6 for 6 ITM lifetime and a big effort may be on the agenda for this late running colt. #8 Avie’s Flatter is a son of Flatter for trainer Josie Carroll. He is looking for his fourth straight win exiting off an impressive win in the G3 Transylvania.

Race #11 – The G1 – Turf Classic – 1 1/8 on the turf – 5:25 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #2 – Raging Bull / #9 – Synchrony / #12 – Bricks and Mortar

#2 Raging Bull is a son of Dark Angel (IRE) for trainer Chad Brown with Joel Rosario in the irons. He is a late runner who will make his presence felt at the top of the lane while making his 2nd start of the year. Heavily backed last out, Bull gave a very good account of himself last time out. He has an explosive turn of foot. #9 Synchrony is a son of Tapit for trainer Mike Stidham. John Velasquez in the saddle and he is 1 for 1 ITM at CD. This is his 3rd start off the layoff where the barn wins 23%. Look for Johnny V to come rolling late in the stretch. #12 Bricks and Mortar hails from the Chad Brown barn with Irad Ortiz as the pilot. 2nd off the layoff seeking four straight wins. He is 3 for 3 going the distance and Ortiz is a strong finisher down the lane. The only knock is overcoming the #12 post.

Race #12 – The 145th running of the G1 Kentucky Derby – 1 1/4 – 6:50 pm EDT

*** Omaha Beach is a late scratch and #20 – Bodexpress draws into the race ***

BetPTC.com Selections / #17 – Roadster / #16 – Game Winner / #6 Vekoma

#17 Roadster is one of three runners for the Bob Baffert camp. He is a son of Quality Road and Florent Geroux is in the saddle. This is his 3rd start off the layoff, lightly raced, and if you watched the G1 Santa Anita Derby, you’ll see an incredible effort. He settled in, dropped back and made an explosive move around the bend. Geroux is an excellent reinsman and I’m looking for him to wear the roses this year. #16 Game Winner is a son of Candy Ride for trainer Bob Baffert. 1 for 1 at CD and 3rd off the layoff for this colt. Since winning the B/C Juvenile last year he owns a pair of 2nd place efforts in the G2 Rebel and G1 Santa Anita Derby. He’s a game runner and does very little wrong. I’m looking for a perfect stalking trip to make it a Baffert exacta. #6 Vekoma is a son of Candy Ride for trainer George Weaver. Javier Castellano in driver’s seat, and this guy has a wicked turn of foot. He should stalk just off the pace and make a move around the far turn. If Mother Nature gets ugly, he is bred well to love a wet surface.