Tag Archives: Street Sense

BetPTC.com Horse Racing Stakes Preview – Nov. 9th

BetPTC.com / Weekend Stakes Preview

by: Ed Meyer

Churchill Downs

Race #10 – G3 Commonwealth Turf – 1 1/16 on turf – 5:36 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #6 – Spectacular Gem / #7 – Tracksmith / #14 – Journeyman

#6 Spectacular Gem comes from the James Baker barn with James Graham in the saddle. They are looking for three in a row and his sire Can the Man wins 19% with his turfers. He should be right on the engine fresh off a win in the Jefferson Cup. #7 Tracksmith is a son of Street Sense for trainer Joe Sharp and Brian Hernadez Jr. He is 5 for 7 ITM on turf and was closing stoutly in the Jefferson Cup at CD. He is 2 for 2 ITM in Louisville and his last race showed good promise. #14 Journeyman is a son of Animal Kingdom for Eoin Harty and Declan Cannon in the irons. He exits the Dueling Grounds Derby moving quick in the final furlong. He owns a win and a 2nd on the greensward.

Aqueduct

Race #8 – The Artie Schiller – 1 mile on the turf – 3:20 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #1 – Frontier Market / #9 – Dr. Edgar / #8 – Caribou Club

#1 Frontier Market comes from the Chad Brown barn with Irad Ortiz in the saddle. A son of Lemon Drop Kid off 49 days and fires fresh off the layoff. The rail is winning 28% and the drop in class should have this closer skimming the hedge to the winner’s circle. #9 Dr. Edgar is 2nd off the layoff for Barclay Tagg and Dylan Davis in the irons. A speedy son of Lookin At Lucky drops in class from the G-2 Knickerbocker and should be right with the speed on the cutback in distance. #8 Caribou Club comes from the barn of Thom Proctor and Feargal Lynch. He has been off 49 days and owns a bullet work to prepare. A son of City Zip has a strong late kick and should be a player in the final furlong.

Race #9 – The Atlantic Beach – 6f on the turf – 3:50 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #5 – Freewheeler / #8 – Embolden / #6 – American Pharoah

#5 Freewheeler is a son of City Zip for Todd Pletcher and Irad Ortiz. They add blinkers and that yields a 20% win clip. Last out he was closing on the BC winner Four Wheel Drive. Ortiz wins 21% with turfers and look for a mid pack closing trip. #8 Embolden is a son of The Factor for Michael Stidham and Joel Rosario. The add blinkers and get a 20% win clip with added equipment. Rosario wins 19% with early runners. #6 Turned Aside is a son of American Pharoah who wins 20% with his turf runners. Linda Rice and Jose Lezcano team up to win 22%. This colt should be up close and dangerous.

BetPTC.com Graded Stakes Preview- Aug. 3

BetPTC.com / Weekend Stakes Preview / Ed Meyer

Saratoga

Race #8 – The G1 Test – 7f – 5:06 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #5 – Royal Charlotte / #2 – Bellafina / #3 – Covfefe

#5 Royal Charlotte is a daughter of Cairo Prince for Chad Brown who is winning 21% with Javier Castellano in the irons. She’s a perfect 4 for 4 and gets added ground with a field loaded with speed. She is stepping up, and Castellano stalked and powered right past in the G3 Victory Ride last out. The faster they go the better she’ll like it. #2 Bellafina is a daughter of Quality Road with Flavien Prat coming in from the left coast. She’s been off 3 months and backs up to a distance where she’s a perfect 2 for 2. Her early foot should allow her to be right on the engine and Prat wins 25% with early speedrunners. #3 Covfefe comes in for trainer Brad Cox and Joel Rosario in the saddle. They ship in from CD as a beaten favorite and Cox wins 31% looking for payback. Rosario is an excellent reinsman and should send right from the gate break. She has a solid work at CD and that should have her ready to strut her stuff.

Race #9 – The G1 Whitney – 1 1/8 – 5:46 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #8 – Preservationist / #6 – McKinzie / #4 – Thunder Snow

#8 Preservationist is a son of Arch for James Jerkins and Junior Alvarado. This is his 3rd off the layoff where the barn wins 17% as they seek his 4th straight win. Cuts back in distance and his form cycle is hard to argue. Alvarado fits like a glove and should be laying just off the speed. #6 McKinzie is a son of Street Sense for Bob Baffert and Mike Smith. Been off 56 days and was blocked and forced to steady in the G1 Met. A perfect stalker with solid works coming in from Del Mar. He was a beaten favorite last out and Baffert comes back to win 24% on this move. #4 Thunder Snow hails from the barn of Saeed bin Suroor with Christophe Soumillon in the irons. He’s a hard knocker who’s been off 56 days. He always gives a strong effort but falls a bit short. He worked 7f at Belmont to prepare and will come calling late in the lane. If he wins it would not be any surprise in this solid field.

Mountaineer

Race #8 – The G3 West Virginia Derby – 1 1/8 – 5:35 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #9 – Mr. Money / #8 – Math Wizard / #1 – Chess Chief

#9 Mr. Money is a son of Goldencents and winner of the G3 Indiana Derby as he seeks his 4th straight win for Bret Calhoun. Gabriel Saez in the irons and worked a bullet off his last win. He should be a major pace player and be hard to handle for a track that plays kindly to speed. #8 Math Wizard was rolling late in the G3 Indiana Derby. Florent Geroux picks up the assignment making the 3rd off the layoff move. His bullet work coming out of the Indiana Derby is a strong sign. He will come running late and Geroux will push the button just at the right time. #1 Chess Chief comes in for trainer Dallas Stewart and Miguel Mena. 3rd off the layoff and was rolling for a minor award in the G3 Indiana Derby. Love his work over the deep CD oval and plays the role of a longe range closer. If the pace falls apart he’ll be a major player.

Del Mar

Race #8 – The G2 Yellow Ribbon – 1 1/16 on the turf – 8:30 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #4 – Vasilika / #1 – Beau Recall / #9 – Elysea’s World

#4 Vasilika comes from the barn of Jerry Hollendorfer with Julien Leparoux taking over for Flavien Prat who is at Saratoga. She is seeking her 5th in a row and loves Del Mar going 2 for 3 ITM. The barn wins 22% off the last race win and had two months to come in rested. #1 Beau Recall hails from the barn of Brad Cox and Drayden Van Dyke winning 30% at the meet. They ship in from Belmont and his dam Greta D’argent has 8 starters, 6 winners, and 5 turf winners to her credit. She’s a strong closer and will come rolling late for Slam Dunk Racing. #9 Elysea’s World is a daughter of Champs Elysees for Richard Baltas and Joe Talamo. Her strong late kick notched her a 4th place effort in the G1 Gamely and some sparkling works on the turf have her ready to fire.

BetPTC.com Stakes Preview – June 8th Belmont Stakes

BetPTC.com / Weekend Stakes Preview / Ed Meyer

Belmont Park Race #8 – The G1 Woody Stephens – 7f – 4:04 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #4 – Complexity / #1 – Honest Mischief / #8 – Hog Creek Hustle

#4 Complexity comes from the barn of Chad Brown with Jose Ortiz in the irons. They are winning 26% together as a team. He’s been off for 7 months since the BC Juvenile where he was bumped soundly. He’s been training over the Oklahoma Training Course at Saratoga and cuts back in distance. This colt looks to benefit from a quick early pace stalking in mid pack. #1 Honest Mischief is a Chad Brown trainee with Javier Castellano in the saddle. He’s been off for two months after an impressive maiden win at Keeneland. He owns a sharp work as they team up to win 35%. He’s a closer and should get a piece of the pie. #8 Hog Creek Hustle is a son of Overanalyze for trainer Vickie Foley. Corey Lanerie always makes a run with him, and this colt should come flying late to light up your exotic payoffs.

Bangor ates

Race #9 – The G1 Metropolitan – 1 mile – 4:46 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #7 – Firenze Fire / #3 – Mitole / #2 – McKenzie

#7 Firenze Fire comes from the barn of Jason Servis with Irad Ortiz in the driver’s seat. 3rd off the layoff with an impressive win in the Runhappy at Belmont. He is 3 for 3 with wins and should appreciate the added ground and strong finishing Ortiz in the saddle. #3 Mitole is a speedy son of Eskendreya looking for his 7th straight victory. His win in the G1 Churchill Downs was solid and Steve Asmussen brings his go to rider in Ricardo Santana looking to wire the field. #2 McKenzie is a son of Street Sense with Mike Smith in the irons for Bob Baffert. His 3rd off the layoff move yields a 26% win clip. He is a perfect stalking type cutting back to a one turn mile.

Race #10 – G1 Manhattan – 1 1/4 on the turf – 5:36 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #8 – Bricks and Mortar / #10 Channel Maker / #4 Qurbaan

#8 Bricks and Mortar is a son of Giant’s Causeway for trainer Chad Brown. 3rd off the layoff looking for his 5th straight win. When he won the G1 Pegasus World Cup Turf he found another gear that day. He is 3 for 3 ITM at Belmont and 1 for 1 at the distance. Look for a late rush in the lane. #10 Channel Maker from the barn of Bill Mott with Joel Rosario in the irons. This is his 2nd off the layoff and should be right on the pace. Winning the G1 Man O’ War shows he is in great form and should be right in the mix turning for home. #4 Qurbaan comes from the barn of Kiaran McLaughlin with Mike Smith. 3rd off for the son of Speightstown who ran a game second to the favorite. He should be a little closer with one of the best riders in the business.

Race #11 – The 151st Belmont Stakes – 1 1/2 – 6:37 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #10 – Tacitus / #8 – Intrepid Heart / #6 – Spinoff

#10 Tacitus is a son of Tapit for Bill Mott and Jose Ortiz. He’s as honest as they come and is always knocking on the door. He should be able to run the distance and the outside post will allow him to drop over and settle. He has a nice late punch and a bullet work to show readiness. #8 Intrepid Heart comes from the Pletcher barn with John Velasquez in the irons. 3rd off the layoff and adds blinkers where they win 20% on this equipment change. He stumbled at the start in the G3 Peter Pan as the post time chalk. He’ll stalk the pace and wait for his cue to take off in high gear. #6 Spinoff is a son of Hard Spun for Todd Pletcher. Javier Castellano is aboard and I would toss out his Derby trip. He should be closer than normal and Castellano wins 20% with early runners. I’m looking for an up close trip navigating the sweeping turn for home.

 

 

 

 

BetPTC.com Graded Stakes Preview – May 11

BetPTC.com Horse Racing Analysis – by Ed Meyer

Belmont Park Race #4 – The G3 Peter Pan – 1 1/8 – 3:08 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #5 – Final Jeopardy / #1 – Intrepid Heart / #3 Global Campaign

#5 Final Jeopardy is a son of Street Sense for trainer Jason Servis. Irad Ortiz has the call and this is his third off the layoff exiting the G2 Wood Memorial. He was compromised and squeezed back at the start. He’s a solid stalker for Gary and Mary West and maybe this weekend will be a little kinder. #1 Intrepid Heart hails from the barn of Todd Pletcher with John Velasquez aboard. They are winning 28% as a team and this son of Tapit is 2/2. He’s a versatile runner seeking his third straight win moving up the ladder. #3 Global Campaign goes to post for trainer Stanley Hough with Luis saez in the saddle. He’s been on the shelf for 2 months exiting the G2 FOY at GP. His style is solid speed as this son of Curlin has been working over the deep CD course looking to fire with fresh legs.

Race  #7 – The G3 Beaugay Stakes – 1 1/16 on the turf – 4:45 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #5 – Homerique / #6 – Binto Al Nar / #3 – Competitonofideas

#5 Homerique is a daughter of Exchange Rate for Chad Brown. She gets 1st time Lasix and the barn wins 27% with new runners in the barn. She ships in from Longchamp and is 5/6 ITM on the green. Irad Ortiz is winning 41% with Chad Brown when they team up. #6 Binto Al Nar hails from the Peter Schiergen yard. She’s been off for 6 months shipping in from Milan, Italy. John Velasquez has the call and he knows the course going 42% ITM on grass races. #3 Competitonofideas is a daughter of Speightstown for trainer Chad Brown. Joel Rosario in the driver’s seat as she comes off a string victory in the G1 American Oaks at SA. She is a strong closer and Brown is scoring at a 39% clip this meet.

Race #10 – The G3 Man O’ War – 1 3/8 on the turf – 6:24 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #5 – Magic Wand / #2 – Zulu Alpha / #6 – Focus Group

#5 Magic Wand is a daughter of Galileo for trainer Aidan O’Brien. Wayne Lordan gets the call and she gets 2nd time Lasix where the trainer wins 27%. Her last race was the G1 Dubai Sheema Classic back in March and ran a game second against the boys in the G1 Pegasus World Cup Turf. Lordan has a pair of seconds to his credit in the saddle looking to to seal the deal. #2 Zulu Alpha is a son of Street Cry for trainer Mike Maker. Javier Castellano aboard and makes a 2nd off the layoff move exiting the G2 Elkhorn at Keeneland. He is 14/20 ITM on the green and was a beaten favorite last out looking for payback. #6 Focus Group is a son of Kitten’s Joy for Chad Brown. Irad Ortiz in the irons making his second start of the year. He won with a strong closing effort in the G2 Pan American looking to make 2019 his year.

BetPTC.com Breeders’ Cup Preview – 11/3/18

BetPTC.com / Weekend Stakes Preview / Ed Meyer

The 35th edition of the Breeders’ Cup will take place this Friday and Saturday. There are fourteen Breeders’ Cup races with the best runners in the world converging on Louisville, Kentucky. We will cover races 8-11 which make up the $3 million dollar guaranteed late pick-four.

Churchill Downs

Race #8 – The Breeders’ Cup Mile – 1 mile on turf – 3:36 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #7 – Expert Eye / #5 – Oscar Performance / #2 – Next Shares

#7 Expert Eye is the son of Acclamation for Sir Michael Stoute. He gets first Lasix and has been a little short of getting the mile distance. Europeans have a way of getting added distance on these days and has the services of Frankie Dettori in irons. The 55 days away from the races may have him in top order and the connections like their chances. #5 Oscar Performance is a son of Kittens’ Joy for trainer Brian Lynch with Jose Ortiz in the saddle. He is a perfect 3 for 3 at the distance and exits the G1 Woodbine Mile which has served as a great prep for this affair. Ortiz is an excellent judge of pace and should try and wire the field. #2 Next Shares is a son of Archarcharch and exits the G1 Shadwell Mile at Keeneland. Also a key prep for this race and 6 for 9 ITM going the distance. Respected rider Tyler Gafflione in the saddle and trainer Richard Baltas wins 17% on the turf. This closer will come calling late.

Race #9 – The Breeders’ Cup Distaff – 1 1/8 – 4:16 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #11 – Monomoy Girl / #2 – Abel Tasman / #10 – Blue Prize

#11 Monomoy Girl is a daughter of Tapizar for trainer Brad Cox. She is 3 for 3 ITM at Churchill and was a beaten favorite in the G1 Cotillion at Parx.  She won and was disqualified but her works are showing readiness to roll. Florent Geroux in the irons and she is 2 for 2 at the distance. If she runs back to the G1 CCA Oaks she’s gonna be tough to handle. #2 Abel Tasman comes to post for Bob Baffert and Mike Smith in the saddle. Toss out the last race where she bobbled and came off slow. According to Baffert she spiked a fever and wasn’t feeling herself. 3rd start off the layoff, solid works and 4 for 4 ITM at the distance makes her a player. #10 Blue Prize is a daughter of Pure Prize for Ignacio Correas. “Jersey” Joe Bravo in the saddle and she is 5 for 5 ITM at CD. That was a nice win in the G1 Spinster and Correas is winning 44% looking for 4-in-a-row.

Race #10 – The G1 Breeders’ Cup Turf – 1 1/2 on the turf – 4:56 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #12 – Waldgeist / #2 – Enable / #1 – Talismanic

#12 Waldgeist is a son of Galileo for the Andre Fabre yard. This is his 3rd start off the layoff and ran a game 2nd in the Gr1 Arc de Triomphe. He looks to be sitting on a huge effort and the top shelf connections have been speaking good things all week. #2 Enable is an ultra talented filly for trainer John Gosden. She has rolled off eight straight wins and looks to be the one to beat. Frankie Dettori is the reinsman and she’s been training well at Churchill Downs applying the final touches. She is 3 for 3 at the distance and her only knock is that Arc winners are 0 for 8 winning this event. #1 Talismanic exits a key race in the Gr1 Arc and won this event last year paying a handsome price. Is a repeat in the cards? He has excellent breeding and will come calling late in the lane.

Race #11 – The G1 Breeders’ Cup Classic – 1 1/4 – 5:44 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #2- Thunder Snow / #14 – Accelerate / #6 – McKinzie

#2 Thunder Snow has been looking good in the morning works over the CD oval. This is his 3rd start off the layoff and ran a huge effort in the G1 Jockey Gold Cup getting bested by a neck at the wire. He is 3 for 4 ITM going 1 1/4 and should be in mid pack poised to pounce. #14 Accelerate is looking to go four in a row for trainer John Sadler. Joel Rosario is the reinsman and has been aboard his last two impressive wins. He loves the distance going 4 for 4 and won the G1 Pacific Classic by 12 lengths. Loves the distance, the rider fits like a glove, and he’s gonna be tough down the lane. #6 McKinzie is a son of Street Sense who won the Kentucky Derby. Bob Baffert and Mike Smith team up and they do every good work when the money is on the line. Should be forwardly placed with a rider who is an excellent judge of pace. Can be a major player today.

 

BetPTC.com Horses to Watch – 12/4/17

BetPTC.com – Horses to Watch – 12/4/17

BetPTC.com – Ed Meyer – Graded Stakes Preview

Aqueduct

12/2/17

Race #8 – The G2 Demoisel – 1 1/8 – 3:12 pm ET

BetPTC.com Selections = #4 -Held Accountable / #1 – Daisy / #6 – Maurer Power

#4  = Held Accountable = Luis Saez for Phil Serpe who is winning 23% on the meet. Two-yr-filly by Exchange Rate and she is a perfect 3/3 ITM and finished 2nd her last effort. Her dam New Exchange is 8 starters / 6 winners / 1 stakes winner and wins 20% with her babies. The Serpe barn is 48% ITM with 2-yr-olds and this gal should be high balling late in the lane.  #1 – Daisy = This two-yr-old daughter of Blame is a smoking perfect 2/2. Her last effort in the G3 Tempted was very impressive. She enters in from the John Servis barn and her dam Lovely Stray has 2 starts / 1win / 1 stakes win. #6 – Maurer Power = 2-yr-old filly by Violence from the John Servis barn. She is 2/2 and rolling between runners late last out. She received first time Lasix and kicked clear impressively. Irad Ortiz in the saddle and she has a strong rider who win anywhere he rides.

Race#9 – G2 Remsen – 1 1/8 – 3:45 PM 

BetPTC.com Selections = #5 – Catholic Boy / #8 – Vouch / #3- Avery Island

#5= Catholic Boy =  Manny Franco in the irons in a race that is chock-full of stone closers. This son of More Than Ready is late mid-pack closer and is taking a huge drop down the class ladder. He makes the switch from turf/dirt and was flying late in the lane in the BC Juvenile Turf. He should come in fit and leged up and is his last race any effort he could win at a very solid price. #8 – Vouch = Speedster from the Arnaud Delacour barn and this son of Yes It’s True should take advantage of a quick start being sent by Joel Rosario. Catch him if you can! – #3 – Avery Island = Speedy son of Street Sense and he’ll be hard to hold when the gate breaks open. He is 2/3 ITM for the Kiaran McLaughlin barn. He was looking like good thing winning by 4 3/4. He’ll show the way under Joe Bravo who wins 21% with early style runners.

Race#10 – The G1 Cigar – 1 mile on the main – 4:16 PM ET

BetPTC.com Selections = #6- Sharp Azteca / #1 – Mind Your Biscuits /#4 = Tom’s Ready

#6 – Sharp Azteca = Javier Castellano for Jorge Navarro. 3rd start off the layoff exiting the G1 BC Dirt Mile. His works have been good in South Florida and this son of Freud is 7/8 ITM going the distance.He looks very tough today. #1 Mind Your Biscuits = Irad Ortiz has the call and comes in off a 7w close in the BC Sprint. 2nd of the shelf yields a 23% win clip for the Chad Summers barn. Could be a big player if the early fractions heat up. #4 – Tom’s Ready = Mike Smith in the irons for Dallas Stewart. This son of More Than Ready is a long-launch closer but has never been over this the “Big A.” He’s had a good 2017 going 5/6 ITM. Smith making the trip is a promising sign.