Tag Archives: Tacitus

BetPTC.com Graded Stakes Preview – Sept. 28

BetPTC.com / Weekend Stakes Preview

by: Ed Meyer

Belmont Park

Race #4 – The G1 Vosburgh – 6f – 2:35 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #4 – Imperial Hint / #6 – Firenze Fire / #2 – American Power

 

#4 Imperial Hint comes to post for Luis Carvajal and Javier Castellano.  A few races back he ran a game effort in the Dubai Golden Shaheen and four months later romped home in the G1 Vanderbilt. He should attend the pace from the break and looks to take this race two years running. #6 Firenze Fire is 3rd off the shelf for Jason Servis who is winning 38% at the meet. Irad Ortiz retains the call and scores 29% teaming up with Servis. He’s a closer who loves the oval and Ortiz scores with 22% of his late runners. #2 American Fire is a son of Power Broker for Linda Rice and Jose Ortiz. He seeks his 4th straight win and gets the acid test moving up the class ladder. Minor awards are not out of the question.

 

Race #9 – The G3 Pilgrim – 1 1/16 on turf – 5:16 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #2 – No Word / #7 – Structor / #6 – Our Country

 

#2 No Word hails from the barn of Todd Pletcher with Jose Ortiz in the irons. This son of Silent Name (JPN) was ultra impressive in his maiden win after getting bumped and jostled about. Ortiz gave a picture perfect ride that day and his dam Listen A.P. has 8 starters, 7 winners, and 6 turf winners. #7 Structor is a Chad Brown trainee with Irad Ortiz in the saddle. They go to the winner’s circle 25% as a team this year. The barn must be respected as they win 25% with 2nd grass efforts. The major danger. #6 Our Country comes from the barn of George Weaver and Manny Franco is the reinsman. Always brings a strong closing kick and was a beaten favorite in the G3 With Anticipation after stumbling at the start. Weaver wins at a 25% clip with runners looking for payback.

 

Race #10 – The G1 Jockey Club Gold Cup – 1 1/4 – 5:49 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #2 – Code of Honor / #1 – Tacitus / #4 – Preservationist

 

#2 Code of Honor is a son of Noble Mission who is 7 for 8 ITM lifetime for Shug McGaughey. John Velasquez gets the call as they are 2nd off the layoff from a brief freshening. His victory in the G1 Travers was awesome and he is a closing type who should spot his place in this compact field of five. Johnny V has been having quite the year and winning this race in the Farish colors should cap off a great summer. #1 Tacitus is a son of Tapit for Bill Mott and Jose Ortiz. 3rd off, and a beaten favorite last out should have this gutsy colt ready to turn the tables on the top choice. #4 Preservationist is a speedy son of Arch who should provide a quick pace. He is 3 for 3 ITM over the Belmont surface and Junior Alvarado will be keen on the lead as the gates break. He is a major threat.  Short but quality field in the JCGC.

 

 

 

BetPTC.com Travers Stakes Day Preview – Aug. 24

BetPTC.com / Weekend Stakes Preview

By: Ed Meyer

 

Saratoga

Race #8 – The G2 Ballston Spa – 1 1/16 on the turf – 3:35 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #3 – Secret Message / #8 – Starship Jubilee / #2 – Fifty Five

#3 Secret Message is a daughter of Hat Trick (JPN) making her second trip off the layoff while dropping down a notch in class. She gets a rider change to Jose Ortiz who is winning 23% at the Spa. His dam Westside Singer has 2 starters, 2 winners, 1 stakes winner, and 2 turf winners to her credit. She’s a closing type and owns a bullet work while cutting back to a perfect distance. #8 Starship Jubilee ships in from Woodbine off a 56 day layoff. She is bred to relish the greensward and her works are solid. Jose Lezcano in the saddle and trainer Kevin Attard wins 18% with graded stakes. The forecast calls for sunny and dry conditions and she hasn’t seen a firm turf since January at GP. A stalker who should be just off Scottish Jig getting a garden trip. Two back she was a beaten favorite to Secret Message and they know each other well. #2 Fifty Five comes from the barn of Chad Brown with Javier Castellano winning 26% together. She is 18 for 19 ITM on the turf and the New York bred can get motoring late in the lane. Look for her at the quarter pole skimming the hedge.

Race #9 – The G1 Personal Ensign – 1 1/8 – 4:12 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #4 – Elate / #1 – Midnight Bison / #5 – Wow Cat

#4 Elate comes in for trainer Bill Mott and Jose Ortiz who are winning at 33% as a team. She is 3 for 3 ITM at the Spa and makes her 3rd off the shelf cutting back in distance. After winning the Fleur De Lis at CD she has stepped up her game. She’s been knocking heads with Midnight Bisou and has been finishing behind her. Today is her turn and look for a strong late kick with Ortiz who wins 21% with late runners. #1 Midnight Bisou is a daughter of Midnight Lute for trainer Steve Asmussen with Mike Smith in the saddle. She’s hit the board at the Spa but hasn’t been able to seal the deal. She is seeking her 6th straight win drawing the rail post into the short first turn run. Smith will get her in good shape and look for a renewed battle with Elate. #5 Wow Cat is a daughter of Lookin At Lucky for Chad Brown and John Velasquez in the irons. 2nd start of the year as she is 3 for 3 ITM at Saratoga. This gal was a beaten favorite in the G3 Shuvee and that may have been a perfect prep for today. She shows a snappy work on August 17 and faced some pretty tough gals coming into the race. She’ll be calling late in the lane.

FINALS DAYS!

Race #10 – The G1 Sword Dancer – 1 1/2 on the turf – 4:49 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #6 – Ya Primo / #8 – Channel Maker / #9 – Sadler’s Joy

#6 Ya Primo is a son of Mastercraftsman (IRE) for Chad Brown and Jose Ortiz. He gave a solid account of himself in the G2 Bowling Green first time in the states getting Lasix. Draws the rail and owns two bullet works looking to stalk the speed and turn it loose down the lane. #8 Channel Maker comes in for Bill Mott and Joel Rosario. 2nd off the layoff and was wide most of his last trip in the G2 Bowling Green. He still managed a solid 4th as the race was better than appeared on paper. He shows good works and Mott wins 22% off a beaten favorite loss. Look for a mid flight trip moving around the far turn. #9 Sadler’s Joy is a son of Kitten’s Joy for trainer Thom Albertrani and Jose Lezcano. He is 4 for 7 ITM at the Spa and makes his 2nd start of the year. It looks like the Breeders’ Cup is on his mind and was closing quick last out only to get blocked multiple times down the lane. A clean trip and a new rider may make a big difference today.

Race #11 – The G1 Travers – 1 1/4 – 5:44 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #6 – Tacitus / #7 – Mucho Gusto / #2 – Code of Honor

#6 Tacitus comes from the barn of Bill Mott and Jose Ortiz. Blinkers on today and was a beaten favorite last out where the barn comes back to win 23%. 2nd time off the layoff, and if that bullet work is any indication I think we’ll see a tough son of Tapit kicking in late. He runs solid every time and the blinkers should keep his mind on business. #7 Mucho Gusto comes from the barn of Bob Baffert with Joe Talamo in the saddle. 2nd best in the Haskell Stakes and Baffert is 1 for 1 at the Spa. He went home to Del Mar to work and comes back fresh and ready. Look for a closeup trip and Talamo wins 20% with early style runners. This son of Mucho Macho Man should be right near the engine as soon as the gates open. #2 Code of Honor hails from the barn of Shug McGaughey with John Velasquez in the saddle. He’s been off 49 days and 1 for 1 at the Spa. He cruised in the G3 Dwyer as a prep and should be right in the mix. He broke his maiden at the Spa and Johnny V knows this son of Noble Mission well. I like his work tab and Shug comes out strong on marquee days.

BetPTC.com Graded Stakes Preview – July 27th

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BetPTC.com / Weekend Stakes Preview / Ed Meyer

Saratoga

Race #9 – The G1 Alfred G. Vanderbilt – 6f – 5:44 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #2 – Strike Power / #1 – Mitole / #4 – Firenze Fire

#2 Strike Power comes from the barn of Mark Hennig with John Velasquez in the saddle. Been away from the races for 50 days and two for two ITM this year. Cutting back in distance today and that could play right into his plans. He is a son of Speightstown who has plenty of speed. Johnny V wins 26% with early runners so he fits this one perfectly. #1 Mitole is a son of Eskendreya for trainer Steve Asmussen and Ricardo Santana. They are seeking their 8th straight win and he is a perfect 4 for 4 this year. Cutting back from the 1 mile distance winning the G1 Met at Belmont. Santana wins 20% with early speedrunners and 49% ITM teaming up with Asmussen. This is the best sprinter/miler in the country and clearly the one to beat. #4 Firenze Fire hails from the Jason Servis barn with Irad Ortiz in the saddle. He is 2 for 3 ITM at the Spa and been off for 49 days. He is 4 for 4 ITM sprinting and cuts back from the one mile G1 Met. He’s a closer and Ortiz wins 22% with late runners.

 

Race #10 – The G2 Bowling Green – 1 3/8 on the turf – 6:18 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #3 – Ya Primo / #12 – Focus Group / #1 – Arklow

#3 Ya Primo is a son of Mastercraftsman (IRE) for Chad Brown with Jose Ortiz aboard. He’s been off four months after winning the Gr1 Latinoamericano in his native country. The Chilean-bred is 6 for 9 ITM on the turf and working well over the Saratoga surface. First time in the states where Brown wins 21% with fresh faces to his barn. He is bred to relish the green and Jose Ortiz wins 25% with Team Brown. #12 Focus Group is a son of Kitten’s Joy for Chad Brown with Irad Ortiz in the driver’s seat. He loves Saratoga going 4 for 5 ITM over the greensward. He’s a deep closer and that fits Irad Ortiz where he wins 21% with late runners. His last race was the G1 United Nations showing great promise. #1 Arklow is a son of Arch for trainer Brad Cox with Florent Geroux in the saddle. Been off for 50 days and was a beaten favorite in the G2 Belmont Gold Cup. Cuts back from two miles and should come flying late in the lane. Geroux wins 30% with Brad Cox and wins 20% with his turf mounts.

 

Race #11 – The G2 Jim Dandy – 1 1/8 – 6:51 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #5 – Tacitus / #6 – War of Will / #2 – Tax

#5 Tacitus is a son of Tapit for trainer Bill Mott and Jose Ortiz. Beaten favorite in the Belmont and is a very strong closer. He is lightly raced coming off a 49 day vacation. He cuts back in distance and Ortiz fits like a glove. #6 War of Will is a son of War Front for Mark Casse and Tyler Gaffalione. Casse is winning 21% at the meet and they’ve been off for 49 days. He takes a drop in class and Gaffalione fits well as he has four wins this year. Tyler G should get a perfect stalking trip in this compact field of six. #2 Tax is a son of Arch for Danny Gargan. Irad Ortiz has the call and he’ll press the early pace or take over and lead the pack. He exits the G1 Belmont as well and owns a bullet work to prepare for this event. He is 5 for 7 lifetime and Gargan is winning 27% at the meet.

Del Mar

Race #8 – The G1 Bing Crosby – 6f – 8:30 pm EDT

BetPTC.com / #3- Cistron / #7 – Recruiting Ready / #8 – Jalen Journey

#3 Cistron comes from the John Sadler barn for Hronis Racing. Victor Espinoza has the mount and this was a speedy turf horse until he tried the grass. Once hitting the new surface he ran even better. He cuts back from 7f and has blistering speed. Been off 2 months and sports a bullet work coming into the race. Look for a top notch effort. #7 Recruiting Ready hails from the Stanley Hough barn with Flavien Prat in the saddle. They’ve been off 50 days and this stalker should be right on the heels of Cistron. Add in a bullet work and Hough may add to his 24% clip for the year. #8 Jalen Journey is a son of With Distinction for trainer Peter Miller who is winning 38% at the meet. 3rd off the layoff and ships in from GP. He has strong early speed and steps up in class under the guidance of Mike Smith where he wins with 39% of his sprinters.

 

BetPTC.com Stakes Preview – June 8th Belmont Stakes

BetPTC.com / Weekend Stakes Preview / Ed Meyer

Belmont Park Race #8 – The G1 Woody Stephens – 7f – 4:04 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #4 – Complexity / #1 – Honest Mischief / #8 – Hog Creek Hustle

#4 Complexity comes from the barn of Chad Brown with Jose Ortiz in the irons. They are winning 26% together as a team. He’s been off for 7 months since the BC Juvenile where he was bumped soundly. He’s been training over the Oklahoma Training Course at Saratoga and cuts back in distance. This colt looks to benefit from a quick early pace stalking in mid pack. #1 Honest Mischief is a Chad Brown trainee with Javier Castellano in the saddle. He’s been off for two months after an impressive maiden win at Keeneland. He owns a sharp work as they team up to win 35%. He’s a closer and should get a piece of the pie. #8 Hog Creek Hustle is a son of Overanalyze for trainer Vickie Foley. Corey Lanerie always makes a run with him, and this colt should come flying late to light up your exotic payoffs.

Bangor ates

Race #9 – The G1 Metropolitan – 1 mile – 4:46 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #7 – Firenze Fire / #3 – Mitole / #2 – McKenzie

#7 Firenze Fire comes from the barn of Jason Servis with Irad Ortiz in the driver’s seat. 3rd off the layoff with an impressive win in the Runhappy at Belmont. He is 3 for 3 with wins and should appreciate the added ground and strong finishing Ortiz in the saddle. #3 Mitole is a speedy son of Eskendreya looking for his 7th straight victory. His win in the G1 Churchill Downs was solid and Steve Asmussen brings his go to rider in Ricardo Santana looking to wire the field. #2 McKenzie is a son of Street Sense with Mike Smith in the irons for Bob Baffert. His 3rd off the layoff move yields a 26% win clip. He is a perfect stalking type cutting back to a one turn mile.

Race #10 – G1 Manhattan – 1 1/4 on the turf – 5:36 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #8 – Bricks and Mortar / #10 Channel Maker / #4 Qurbaan

#8 Bricks and Mortar is a son of Giant’s Causeway for trainer Chad Brown. 3rd off the layoff looking for his 5th straight win. When he won the G1 Pegasus World Cup Turf he found another gear that day. He is 3 for 3 ITM at Belmont and 1 for 1 at the distance. Look for a late rush in the lane. #10 Channel Maker from the barn of Bill Mott with Joel Rosario in the irons. This is his 2nd off the layoff and should be right on the pace. Winning the G1 Man O’ War shows he is in great form and should be right in the mix turning for home. #4 Qurbaan comes from the barn of Kiaran McLaughlin with Mike Smith. 3rd off for the son of Speightstown who ran a game second to the favorite. He should be a little closer with one of the best riders in the business.

Race #11 – The 151st Belmont Stakes – 1 1/2 – 6:37 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #10 – Tacitus / #8 – Intrepid Heart / #6 – Spinoff

#10 Tacitus is a son of Tapit for Bill Mott and Jose Ortiz. He’s as honest as they come and is always knocking on the door. He should be able to run the distance and the outside post will allow him to drop over and settle. He has a nice late punch and a bullet work to show readiness. #8 Intrepid Heart comes from the Pletcher barn with John Velasquez in the irons. 3rd off the layoff and adds blinkers where they win 20% on this equipment change. He stumbled at the start in the G3 Peter Pan as the post time chalk. He’ll stalk the pace and wait for his cue to take off in high gear. #6 Spinoff is a son of Hard Spun for Todd Pletcher. Javier Castellano is aboard and I would toss out his Derby trip. He should be closer than normal and Castellano wins 20% with early runners. I’m looking for an up close trip navigating the sweeping turn for home.

 

 

 

 

BetPTC.com Graded Stakes Preview / 4/6/19

BetPTC.com / Weekend Stakes Preview / Ed Meyer

Aqueduct

Race #10 – The G2 Wood Memorial – 1 1/8 – 6:00 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #1 – Tax / #4 – Haikal / #2 – Tacitus

#1 Tax is a son of Arch for the Danny Gargan barn with Junior Alvarado in the irons. This gelded son of Arch should be up close and settle nicely. His victory in the G3 Withers was better than appeared as he stumbled and still hung in to win. Alvarado is rolling to the winner’s circle at a 24% clip at Aqueduct. #4 Haikal comes from the barn of Kiaran McLaughlin with Rajiv Maragh in the driver’s seat. He is looking for his 4th straight win and 3rd off the layoff for this stone cold closer. He may be maturing at the right time and I’m looking for a strong effort. #2 Tacitus is a son of Tapit for Bill Mott. He’s a perfect stalker and should enjoy the added ground. 2nd start of the year and 2nd time Lasix where Mott wins 20% on the medication change.

Keeneland

Race #10 – The G2 Bluegrass – 1 1/8 – 6:23 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #2 – Vekoma / #8 – Win Win Win / #11 – So Alive

#2 Vekoma exits the G2 Fountain of Youth off a less than ideal trip. They switch riders from Manny Franco to Javier Castellano and he is the new ‘money man.’ 2nd time Lasix for this son of Candy Ride for George Weaver and he should get a perfect stalking trip. He is lightly raced and deserves serious consideration before making a wager. The barn wins 25% on the medication move and the rider change is a positive sign. #8 Win Win Win is a son of Hat Trick for the Mike Trombetta barn. He was a beaten favorite in the Tampa Bay Derby rolling 5 wide and shows a red hot work. Irad Ortiz back in the saddle and that moves his chances up greatly. #11 So Alive is a son of Super Saver and is a bit of an outside shooter. He is lightly raced and has the services of Luis Saez in the saddle. He can easily pick up his head and come rolling for minor awards today.

Santa Anita

Race #8 – The G1 Santa Anita Derby – 1 1/8 – 6:30 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #6 – Game Winner / #5 – Instagrand / #3 – Nolo Contesto

#6 Game Winner is a monster son of Candy Ride. Joel Rosario has the call for Bob Baffert and they were getting to them late in the G2 Rebel getting beat a dirty nose. Overall, he didn’t have to win the race and use all his gas, but he looked terrific just picking them up late in the lane. I think he is a good looking colt and it looks like Team Baffert is loaded again. His race to lose at Santa Anita. #5 Instagrand is a speedy son of Into Mischief and Flavien Prat will be calling the shots. He is lightly raced and owns some sparkling works at Los Al in preparation for this big race. If he gets loose and can go the distance he may play a perfect role of the spoiler. #3 Nolo Contesto is a perfect stalker who had an eventful trip last out. He’s gonna need his A game against this compact field as Joe Talamo picks up the action in the saddle. The added ground won’t hurt and Talamo has sprung his fair share of upsets.