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BetPTC.com Graded Stakes Preview – July 27th

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BetPTC.com / Weekend Stakes Preview / Ed Meyer

Saratoga

Race #9 – The G1 Alfred G. Vanderbilt – 6f – 5:44 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #2 – Strike Power / #1 – Mitole / #4 – Firenze Fire

#2 Strike Power comes from the barn of Mark Hennig with John Velasquez in the saddle. Been away from the races for 50 days and two for two ITM this year. Cutting back in distance today and that could play right into his plans. He is a son of Speightstown who has plenty of speed. Johnny V wins 26% with early runners so he fits this one perfectly. #1 Mitole is a son of Eskendreya for trainer Steve Asmussen and Ricardo Santana. They are seeking their 8th straight win and he is a perfect 4 for 4 this year. Cutting back from the 1 mile distance winning the G1 Met at Belmont. Santana wins 20% with early speedrunners and 49% ITM teaming up with Asmussen. This is the best sprinter/miler in the country and clearly the one to beat. #4 Firenze Fire hails from the Jason Servis barn with Irad Ortiz in the saddle. He is 2 for 3 ITM at the Spa and been off for 49 days. He is 4 for 4 ITM sprinting and cuts back from the one mile G1 Met. He’s a closer and Ortiz wins 22% with late runners.

 

Race #10 – The G2 Bowling Green – 1 3/8 on the turf – 6:18 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #3 – Ya Primo / #12 – Focus Group / #1 – Arklow

#3 Ya Primo is a son of Mastercraftsman (IRE) for Chad Brown with Jose Ortiz aboard. He’s been off four months after winning the Gr1 Latinoamericano in his native country. The Chilean-bred is 6 for 9 ITM on the turf and working well over the Saratoga surface. First time in the states where Brown wins 21% with fresh faces to his barn. He is bred to relish the green and Jose Ortiz wins 25% with Team Brown. #12 Focus Group is a son of Kitten’s Joy for Chad Brown with Irad Ortiz in the driver’s seat. He loves Saratoga going 4 for 5 ITM over the greensward. He’s a deep closer and that fits Irad Ortiz where he wins 21% with late runners. His last race was the G1 United Nations showing great promise. #1 Arklow is a son of Arch for trainer Brad Cox with Florent Geroux in the saddle. Been off for 50 days and was a beaten favorite in the G2 Belmont Gold Cup. Cuts back from two miles and should come flying late in the lane. Geroux wins 30% with Brad Cox and wins 20% with his turf mounts.

 

Race #11 – The G2 Jim Dandy – 1 1/8 – 6:51 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #5 – Tacitus / #6 – War of Will / #2 – Tax

#5 Tacitus is a son of Tapit for trainer Bill Mott and Jose Ortiz. Beaten favorite in the Belmont and is a very strong closer. He is lightly raced coming off a 49 day vacation. He cuts back in distance and Ortiz fits like a glove. #6 War of Will is a son of War Front for Mark Casse and Tyler Gaffalione. Casse is winning 21% at the meet and they’ve been off for 49 days. He takes a drop in class and Gaffalione fits well as he has four wins this year. Tyler G should get a perfect stalking trip in this compact field of six. #2 Tax is a son of Arch for Danny Gargan. Irad Ortiz has the call and he’ll press the early pace or take over and lead the pack. He exits the G1 Belmont as well and owns a bullet work to prepare for this event. He is 5 for 7 lifetime and Gargan is winning 27% at the meet.

Del Mar

Race #8 – The G1 Bing Crosby – 6f – 8:30 pm EDT

BetPTC.com / #3- Cistron / #7 – Recruiting Ready / #8 – Jalen Journey

#3 Cistron comes from the John Sadler barn for Hronis Racing. Victor Espinoza has the mount and this was a speedy turf horse until he tried the grass. Once hitting the new surface he ran even better. He cuts back from 7f and has blistering speed. Been off 2 months and sports a bullet work coming into the race. Look for a top notch effort. #7 Recruiting Ready hails from the Stanley Hough barn with Flavien Prat in the saddle. They’ve been off 50 days and this stalker should be right on the heels of Cistron. Add in a bullet work and Hough may add to his 24% clip for the year. #8 Jalen Journey is a son of With Distinction for trainer Peter Miller who is winning 38% at the meet. 3rd off the layoff and ships in from GP. He has strong early speed and steps up in class under the guidance of Mike Smith where he wins with 39% of his sprinters.

 

BetPTC.com Graded Stakes Preview / 4/6/19

BetPTC.com / Weekend Stakes Preview / Ed Meyer

Aqueduct

Race #10 – The G2 Wood Memorial – 1 1/8 – 6:00 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #1 – Tax / #4 – Haikal / #2 – Tacitus

#1 Tax is a son of Arch for the Danny Gargan barn with Junior Alvarado in the irons. This gelded son of Arch should be up close and settle nicely. His victory in the G3 Withers was better than appeared as he stumbled and still hung in to win. Alvarado is rolling to the winner’s circle at a 24% clip at Aqueduct. #4 Haikal comes from the barn of Kiaran McLaughlin with Rajiv Maragh in the driver’s seat. He is looking for his 4th straight win and 3rd off the layoff for this stone cold closer. He may be maturing at the right time and I’m looking for a strong effort. #2 Tacitus is a son of Tapit for Bill Mott. He’s a perfect stalker and should enjoy the added ground. 2nd start of the year and 2nd time Lasix where Mott wins 20% on the medication change.

Keeneland

Race #10 – The G2 Bluegrass – 1 1/8 – 6:23 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #2 – Vekoma / #8 – Win Win Win / #11 – So Alive

#2 Vekoma exits the G2 Fountain of Youth off a less than ideal trip. They switch riders from Manny Franco to Javier Castellano and he is the new ‘money man.’ 2nd time Lasix for this son of Candy Ride for George Weaver and he should get a perfect stalking trip. He is lightly raced and deserves serious consideration before making a wager. The barn wins 25% on the medication move and the rider change is a positive sign. #8 Win Win Win is a son of Hat Trick for the Mike Trombetta barn. He was a beaten favorite in the Tampa Bay Derby rolling 5 wide and shows a red hot work. Irad Ortiz back in the saddle and that moves his chances up greatly. #11 So Alive is a son of Super Saver and is a bit of an outside shooter. He is lightly raced and has the services of Luis Saez in the saddle. He can easily pick up his head and come rolling for minor awards today.

Santa Anita

Race #8 – The G1 Santa Anita Derby – 1 1/8 – 6:30 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #6 – Game Winner / #5 – Instagrand / #3 – Nolo Contesto

#6 Game Winner is a monster son of Candy Ride. Joel Rosario has the call for Bob Baffert and they were getting to them late in the G2 Rebel getting beat a dirty nose. Overall, he didn’t have to win the race and use all his gas, but he looked terrific just picking them up late in the lane. I think he is a good looking colt and it looks like Team Baffert is loaded again. His race to lose at Santa Anita. #5 Instagrand is a speedy son of Into Mischief and Flavien Prat will be calling the shots. He is lightly raced and owns some sparkling works at Los Al in preparation for this big race. If he gets loose and can go the distance he may play a perfect role of the spoiler. #3 Nolo Contesto is a perfect stalker who had an eventful trip last out. He’s gonna need his A game against this compact field as Joe Talamo picks up the action in the saddle. The added ground won’t hurt and Talamo has sprung his fair share of upsets.