Tag Archives: Valid Point

BetPTC.com Graded Stakes Preview – Oct. 4-5th

BetPTC.com / Weekend Stakes Preview / Fall Stars Weekend 

by: Ed Meyer

Keeneland / Friday

Race #8 – The G2 Phoenix – 6f – 4:57 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #3 – Whitmore / #6 – Hog Creek Hustle / #7 – Promises Fulfilled

#3 Whitmore is from the Ron Moquette barn with Joel Rosario in the saddle. Been off for three months and has an affinity for Keeneland, being 2 for 2 ITM. He lost by a nose in last year’s edition and sports some sharp works to prepare. This closer has real upsides as he fires very strong off the layoff. #6 Hog Creek Hustle is a son of Overanalyze for Vickie Foley. Corey Lanerie in the irons and he fits this deep closer like a glove. I’ve been watching this guy since February in the G2 Risen Star. He is maturing very nicely. #7 Promises Fulfilled is a son of Shackleford for Dale Romans and Luis Saez has the mount. A speedy colt who will ensure an honest pace. Add in he is 2 for 2 at Kee and he’s hard to dismiss.

Race #9 – The G1 Alcibiades – 1 1/16 – 5:30 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #7 – Perfect Alibi / #4 – Alandra / #9 – Sequin

#7 Perfect Alibi comes from the Mark Casse barn and Jose Ortiz is the pilot. A daughter of Sky Mesa who is 3rd off the layoff seeking her 3rd in a row.  She exits the G1 Spinaway, exchanging bumps but drawing away late. She should be a bit closer and pounce on the far turn with a quick turn of foot. Ortiz wins 21% with closing type runners. #4 Alandra is a daughter of Blame for Shug McGaughey and Joel Rosario. A speedy filly who won her only start. The distance should be no problem and her dam Altesse is a perfect 3 for 3 with her progeny. #9 Sequin is making the turf to dirt switch coming from Kyd for trainer Wesley Ward. Tyler Gaffalione has the call and has two very good place efforts. Ward spots his runners well and to drop a maiden in here could get you a square price. Both efforts were beaten chalk attempts and Ward can bring them ready.

 

Keeneland / Saturday

Race #7 – The G2 Thoroughbred Club of America – 6f – 4:29 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #8 – Chalon / #3 – Spiced Perfection / #4 – Danuska’ My Girl

#8 Chalon is a daughter of Dialed In for Arnaud Delacour and Paco Lopez. 3rd time off the layoff and she is 3 for 3 ITM over the course. She missed by a nose last year in this race and should get a perfect stalking trip looking for payback. #3 Spiced Perfection comes from the barn of Peter Miller with Javier Castellano aboard. She’s been off 5 months working solid clips in the morning. The trainer wins 22% with sprinters and cuts back in distance to come calling late in the lane. #4 Danuska’s My Girl is a daughter of Shackleford for Jerry Hollendorfer and the turf master Flavien Prat winning 24% on the sod. She’s a speedy gal shipping in from the left coast. Prat taking the mount makes her dangerous on the lead.

Keeneland offer at BetPTC

Race #8 – The G1 First Lady Stakes – 1 mile on the turf – 5:04 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #6 – Vasilika / #7 – Indian Blessing / #11 – Rushing Fall

#6 Vasilika comes from the Hollendorfer barn with Flavien Prat in the irons. She cuts back to a mile and can give plenty of grey hairs watching her come flying in the shadow of the wire. Her late kick is ultra impressive and the barn wins 21% making a 3rd off the layoff move. Prat will have her high gear turning for home. #7 Indian Blessing comes from the Ed Walker yard with Jamie Spencer in the saddle. Two back they shipped over from Germany and then came rolling late to be bested by a dirty nose in the G-2 Ballston Spa. Look for her silks in the final yards down the lane. #11 Rushing Fall is a speedy gal for Chad Brown and Javier Castellano teaming up. She’s been off for two months and been working a regular morning clip. Castellano wins 21% with speedsters and he’ll drop over from the outside post to find a comfy position to save some ground. If she can grab the lead around the far turn she could be very dangerous.

 

Race #9 – The G1 Breeders’ Futurity – 1 1/16 – 5:39 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #10 – Gouverneur Morris / #1 – Tapit It to Win / #2 – By Your Side

#10  Gouverneur Morris is a son of Constitution who wins 24% of his firsters. They won by nine handily at Saratoga and have been working lights out. He’s a stalking sort and look for Castellano to have him in the catbird seat by the halfway point. I’m looking for a strong late punch and a trip to the Breeders’ Cup. #1 Tapit It to Win is a son of Tapit for Mark Casse and Tyler Gaffalione. They switched from turf to dirt and he won like a good thing. His bullet work shows promise that all systems are go as they get added ground going two turns. #2 By Your Side is a son of Constituition for trainer Eddie Kennealy and Corey Lanerie. He was 2 for 2 and then caught a sloppy track in the G-1 Hopeful. Toss that race and you’ll see a colt give a game effort.

 

Race #10 – The G1 Shadwell Turfwell Mile – 1 mile on the turf – 6:15 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #12- Suedois / #6 – Admission Office / #4 – Valid Point.

#12 Suedois comes from the David O’Meara yard with Jamie Spencer aboard. He is 1 for 1 at Kee and took home $600k from that score in Lexington. This son of Le Harve (IRE) gets Lasix as he’ll be looking for his spot mid pack by the first turn. He’s game and Spencer is a world class rider. #6 Admission Office is a son of Point of Entry for Bryan Lynch and Jose Ortiz. He’s been off for 3 months and is a strong closer. He had a solid allowance win over the track and today is his test making another step up the class ladder. He was a beaten favorite last out and the barn comes back to score 22% looking to turn the tables. #4 Valid Point is a son of Scat Daddy for Chad Brown and Javier Castellano. Been away from the races 56 days and was ultra impressive winning the G-1 Secretariat.

BetPTC.com Arlington Million Preview – Aug 10th

BetPTC.com / Weekend Stakes Preview / Ed Meyer

Arlington Park

Race #9 – The G1 Beverly D – 1 3/16 on the turf – 5:53 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #7 – Sistercharlie / #1 – Fleeting / #6 – Magic Wand

#7 Sistercharlie comes in for Chad Brown with John Velasquez in the irons. Her 2nd off move gets the barn a 24% win clip as she rolls in with an impressive win in the G1 Diana. She is 1 for 1 at AP and looks for a repeat in this race. She’s a long range closer with solid work tabs. #1 Fleeting is a daughter of Zoffany (IRE) from the Aidan O’Brien yard. Ryan Moore makes the trip and finished a game 2nd in the Gr2 Ribblesdale Stakes at Ascot. She is 6 for 8 ITM lifetime and adds Lasix drawing the rail. #6 Magic Wand is a daughter of Galileo from the Aidan O’Brien yard with Wayne Lordan in the irons. She had a dismal outing in the Gr1 King George & Queen Elizabeth and adds Lasix for her rebound. O’Brien wouldn’t send her if he felt she wasn’t ready.

 

Race #10 – The G1 Secretariat – 1 mile on the turf – 6:28 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #9- Crafty Dandy / #6 – Fog of War / #7 – Valid Point

#9 Crafty Dandy is a son of Scat Daddy for Brad Cox and Florent Geroux in the saddle. He was rolling in the G3 American Derby for a trip over the track and a sharp work following his last race. #6 Fog of War is a son of War Front for Chad Brown and Irad Ortiz. He steps up the class ladder off a beaten favorite effort at Belmont. A rider change from Castellano to Irad Ortiz who excels with fast closing runners. 3rd off the layoff and has sharp morning works to make him a player. #7 Valid Point is a son of Scat Daddy for Chad Brown with Javier Castellano in the driver’s seat. He’s a perfect 2 for 2 coming off a two month layoff. He’s moving up in class and Brown spots his runners very well when they are ready to step up.

FINALS DAYS!

Race #11 – The G1 Arlington Million – 1 1/4 on the turf – 7:12 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #3- Bricks and Mortar / #1 – Robert Bruce / #8 – Captivating Moon

#3 Bricks and Mortar is a son of Giant’s Causeway for Chad Brown and Irad Ortiz in the irons. Ortiz won this race last year on his birthday aboard Robert Bruce. They are looking for his 6th straight win and beat Robert Bruce in the G1 Manhattan last out. He is 2 for 2 at the distance and comes off a two month layoff. Ortiz wins 21% with late runners and this guy is something special. #1 Robert Bruce is a Chad Brown trainee with Javier Castellano in the saddle. Game effort in the G1 Manhattan which is the same race he used last year to prep for the Million. Castellano wins 24% with Chad Brown and they are 1 for 1 at AP. Look for a solid pace from Hunting Horn and the top two will come calling late in the lane. #8 Captivating Moon is a son of Mailbu Moon for trainer Chris Block. He’s a long range closer and Jose Valdivia is 51% ITM on the turf. He will be a player at a square price to complete your exotics.

Saratoga

Race #9 – The G1 Fourstardave – 1 mile on the turf – 5:46 pm EDT

BetPTC.com Selections / #4 – Raging Bull / #8 – Hembree / #3 – Uni

#4 Raging Bull is a son of Dark Angel (IRE) for Chad Brown and Jose Ortiz. Exits the G1 Manhattan finishing 3rd against the top two selections in the G1 Arlington Million. This colt loves the Spa going 2 for 2 off a two month layoff. There are solid morning works and Ortiz picks up the mount winning 18% on the turf. Look for this colt to launch a strong late bid. #8 Hembree comes from the barn of Mike Maker with Luis Saez aboard. 3rd off the layoff and 4 for 5 ITM at the Spa. Steps up a notch on the class ladder and Saez wins 31% for Mike Maker. He’ll be running quickly late in the lane. #3 Uni is a daughter of More Than Ready for Chad Brown and Joel Rosario. She always comes running and is 2 for 2 ITM at the Spa. 2nd off the shelf and Brown wins 24% on this move. She seeks her 6th straight win.