BetPTC.com Analysis – Saturday, December 11, 2021
by: Ed Meyer
Race#10 – The G3 Mr. Prospector – 7f – 4:32 pm
BetPTC.com Analysis / #4 – Endorsed / #5 – Dennis’ Moment / #2 – Wind of Change
#4 Endorsed is 3 for 3 ITM at GP for Mike Maker and Tyler Gaffalione in the irons. He is a late runner who exits a solid prep at CD and comes into the race in top form. Tyler G is winning 27% with Maker, and he is 2 for 3 ITM at the distance. He ships in from Louisville and Maker wins 18% with new surroundings. #5 Dennis’ Moment is a son of Tiznow for Dale Romans and Corey Lanerie. He comes off a 51 day break and has solid works, his last race was a sparkling effort to build upon moving forward. He is 2 for 3 ITM at the distance and moves up in class from his last start. #2 Wind of Change goes to post Saffie Joseph who is winning 24% at the meet with Edgard Zayas in the saddle. This son of Forestry was a beaten favorite last out and wins 31% off this move. He makes the synthetic to dirt change and sports some bullet works under his belt.
Race#9 – The $75,000 Bear Fan – 6f – 6:45 pm
BetPTC.com Analysis / #3 – Reblation / #10 – Nardini / #2 – Daffadoil Sweet
#3 Reblation is a strong late runner making the turf to synthetic switch for Tim McCanna and Frank Alvarado. She is 7 for 8 ITM at GG and was beaten chalk last out. She is 2 for 3 ITM at the distance and should come calling around the turn for home. #10 Nardini has a late kick for the Andy Mathis barn with Assael Espinoza in the saddle. Ships in from DM on the turn back in distance and switches back from the turf. She is a perfect 2 for 2 at the distance and trainer Mathis is winning 24% at the meet and 4 for 7 ITM the past few weeks. Rider and trainer win 24% as a team and look for a solid late run when the tempo quickens. #2 Daffadoil Sweet is a stalking type making her third off the layoff effort. Trainer Tim McCanna should have her close to the front if not on the lead. She is 4 for 6 ITM at the distance.
Race#9 – The G2 Los Alamitos Futurity – 1 1/16 – 4:58 pm
BetPTC.com Analysis / #3 – Messier / #4 – Barossa / #5 – Slow Down Andy
#3 Messier is a stalker hailing from the Baffert barn adding blinkers today with Flavien Prat. 3rd off the layoff and this son of Empire Maker has rolled off two straight impressively. Blinkers back on yields a 33% win clip and should be right near the front with added distance. Prat and Baffert are winning 53% together and sport a bullet work in preparation. #4 Barrosa is a Baffert entry mate with J.J. Hernandez in the irons. 3rd time off the layoff and shows solid works coming into the race. Hernandez wins 30% with Baffert and 20% with early speed style runners. #5 Slow Down Andy should be on or near the lead for Dong O’Neill and Mario Gutierrez. This son of Nyquist was beaten chalk in a Cal bred event last out, and sports a sharp work coming into the event and may improve at the longer distance.