Top Horses to Bet on Today – March 11 Analysis – Saturday, March 11, 2023

by: Ed Meyer


Tampa Bay Downs

Race #10 – The G3 Florida Oaks – 1 1/16 on the turf – 4:45 pm Analysis / #10 -Free Look / #3 – Alpha Bella / #1 – Mission of Joy

#10 Free Look is a stalking daughter of Tapit for the Chad Brown barn with Irad Ortiz in the saddle. She’s been off four months and gets first time Lasix where the barn wins 23%. She has a solid late punch after tracking the speed and should do well in the capable hands of Ortiz. #3 Alpha Bella hails from the Todd Pletcher barn with Luis Saez in the irons. Ever since switching to the turf she has shown a new dimension. First time Lasix for this daughter of Justify and the Todd Squad wins 25% on the medication move. #1 Mission of Joy is looking to make it three in a row for Graham Motion and Antonio Gallardo. This daughter of Kitten’s Joy gets the rail post and is 2 for 2 at TBD.

Race #11 – The G3 Tampa Bay Derby – 1 1/16 – 5:15 pm Analysis / #3 – Classic Legacy / #6 – Tapit Trice / #9 – Shesterkin

#3 Classic Legacy is a late runner from the Bill Mott barn with Irad Ortiz in the saddle. 2nd time off the layoff where the barn wins 24%. He has a solid late run and should be a factor in the hands of Irad Ortiz who wins 28% with late runners. #6 Tapit Trice is a son of Tapit for Todd Pletcher and Luis Saez in the irons. He is looking for three straight and 2nd off the layoff. Pletcher comes back to score 24% off a last race win. #9  Shesterkin is a speedy son of Violence for Todd Pletcher and Edgard Zayas in the driver’s seat. First time blinkers and he has plenty of speed.

Santa Anita

Race #8 – The G1 Beholder Mile – 1 mile – 7:00 pm Analysis / #8 – Fun to Dream / #7 – Desert Dawn / #4 – Midnight Memories

#8 Fun to Dream hails from the Bob Baffert barn under J.J. Hernadez. She is a perfect 4 for 4 at SA and looks to keep it rolling seeking her 5th straight victory. The versatile sort who can grab the lead or lay in mid flight waiting for her opportunity. #7 Desert Dawn is a late runner for the Phil D’Amato barn with Umberto Rispoli in the saddle. She comes off a 6 month layoff and a bullet work. She is 3 for 4 ITM at SA and can fire right off the bench. #4 Midnight Memories is a stalker from the Baffert barn in the hands of Ramon Vazquez. She is 3 for 4 ITM at SA and was a beaten favorite in the G1 La Brea last out looking to turn the tables.


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