BetPTC.com Analysis – Saturday, November 20, 2021
by: Ed Meyer
Race#8 – The G3 Native Diver – 1 1/8 miles dirt – 7:00 pm
BetPTC.com Analysis / #5 – Azul Coast / #6 – Eight Rings / #7 – Ax Man
#5 Azul Coast is a son of Super Saver exiting a 49 day break from the races for Bob Baffert. Flavien Prat in the saddle for this stalker who takes a drop in class from the G1 Awesome Again. Rider and trainer are winning 53% as a team the past few months, and in the last 14 days they are 5 wins from 7 starts. Look for a well timed ride just off the pace in the patient hands of Prat making the winning move around the far turn. Solid works, and 2 for 2 ITM at Del Mar. #6 Eight Rings hails from the Baffert barn under J.J. Hernandez. Should be a closer into the pace stalking the speed; drops in class from the G1 BC Dirt Mile. This son of Empire Maker has a bullet work off his last race and appears to fit into this field much better. #7 Ax Man also enters for Bob Baffert and exits the G3 Kona Gold showing speed. Mike Smith is the new reinsman and should break sharply and grab the lead. Smith wins 26% with route runners and may be the danger in here.
Race #6 – The First Lady – 6f – 2:34 pm
BetPTC.com Analysis / #2- Amadevil / #5 – Twerk / #1 – Esplanande
#2 Amadevil comes in with a perfect record and seeks her 6th straight win. This daughter of Dominus has blistering early speed under Chelsey Keiser. She ships in from Cleveland and will be breaking quickly from the start. Look for a well timed wire to wire effort in this event. Keiser is a 6 for 6 with this filly. #5 Twerk is a closing daughter of Speightstown for Jeff Radosevich, and J.A. Bracho in the irons. She jumps back into Ohio company and has a swift late turn of foot. She’ll come calling as the speed starts to unravel during the course of the race. She is a perfect 2 for 2 over the course. #1 Esplanande has speed from the rail draw for Tim Hamm and Malcolm Franklin. She has three 2nd place efforts over the track from three attempts, and been knocking heads with Amadevil and Twerk in her past races. Player who deserves respect.
Race #7 – The Cardinal – 6f – 3:02 pm
BetPTC.com Analysis / #4 – Altissimo / #7 – Liberate / #5 – Diamond Dust
#4 Altissimo is seeking his 4th straight win and this Ohio millionaire is 10 for 16 ITM over the course for Richard Zielinski and Erik Barbaran who are winning 25% as team this year. Late runner who’ll come rolling as the speed starts to back up a bit. His last race closing four wide is what I’m looking for more of today. #7 Liberate has wicked speed and was the beaten chalk facing Altissimo last out. He hails from the Tim Hamm barn and was DQ’ed last out after sporting speed on a track that was playing to closers. Could turn the tables today with Malcolm Franklin in the driver’s seat. #5 Diamond Dust is a speedy sort from the Radosevich barn and caught that closing bias track last out. J.A. Bracho in the irons, and is 6 for 8 ITM over the Mahoning course. This son of Paynter will vie for the lead and if need be or just stalk closely waiting for the right move.