Top Horses to Bet on Today – October 1 Analysis – Saturday, October 1, 2022 

by: Ed Meyer

Belmont at the “Big A” 

Race #7 – The G1 Woodward – 1 1/8 – 4:07 pm Analysis / #1 – Life is Good / #4 – Keepmeinmind / #3 – Thomas Shelby

#1 Life is Good is a speedy son of Into Mischief for Todd Pletcher and Irad Ortiz in the saddle. He is shooting for his third straight win and Ortiz wins 30% with his route speed style runners. The Todd Squad wins 23% with runners coming off a last race win and go back three races in Dubai he made the long trip and faced some tough players. He’s back in the states and is a perfect two for two at the distance and will be the one to be with the rail draw today. #4 Keepmeinmind is a strong late closer for Todd Pletcher and Joel Rosario. They make a 3rd off the layoff move where they win 23% as a team. Rosario is 9 for 11 ITM the past week and is cutting back in distance today. He is a great late runner rider winning 22% with his route closers and withy a race filled with early speed can be the one who goes to the winner’s circle. #3 Thomas Shelby is a speedy son of Curlin and named after a character in Peaky Blinkers. He has tons of early foot, and this may have him in the running for minor awards under Dylan Davis.

Race #8 – The G2 Miss Grillo – 1 1/16 on the turf – 4:39 pm Analysis / #2 – Free Look / #3 – Pleasant Passage / #6 – Be Your Best

#2 Free Look is a daughter of Tapit for Chad Brown with Flavien Prat in the saddle. They exit off a great maiden break on the weeds getting bumped around at the break and being wide. I usually sit one out after a maiden win, but this was a solid performance that caught my eye. She is moving up in class like the majority of the runners, but she has the turf master Prat aboard who wins 24% with his turf closers and 23% teaming up with Chad Brown. #3 Pleasant Passage hails from the Shug McGaughey barn with Irad Ortiz in the irons. She closed to win her maiden over the sod and was a big price that day. She looks solid and is bred to relish the turf. Ortiz wins 26% with his turf closers. #6 Be Your Best goes to post for Horacio De Paz and Jose Ortiz. She is a late runner who exits a win in the $150k P.G. Johnson at Saratoga. She is a prefect two for two and has the services of one of the best in the game. Rider and trainer are winning 23% and she should be more of a mid pack stalker than out of the clouds closer.

Race #10 – The G1 Champagne – 1 mile – 5:45 pm Analysis / #6 – Gulfport / #5 – Blazing Sevens / #2 – Top Recruit

#6 Gulfport hails from the Steve Asmussen barn with Jose Ortiz in the saddle. A son of Uncle Mo and exits the G1 Hopeful as the beaten favorite. He has great early foot and tries a route for the first time. This could be the acid test to decide if he’s a talented sprinter or a top flight contender moving forward. Ortiz wins 22% with his early runners and Asmussen comes back to turn the tables at 25% looking to reward his backers off a bad beat. #5 Blazing Sevens is a late runner from the Chad Brown barn with Flavien Prat in the driver’s seat. He was closing to come up way short of gunning down Gulfport last out and finished 3rd. Maybe he didn’t take to the track, or it just wasn’t his day. But the added distance and rider switch from Manny Franco to Prat signals good things to come. #2 Top Recruit is a solid early  runner from the Mike Maker barn with Irad Ortiz. He has done well in the non graded ranks and steps it a couple notches. Maker tends to spot his runners well and moves them up quickly. He is moving up in class but has a top shelf conditioner and one of the best riders in the sport.


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