BetPTC.com Analysis – Saturday, September 3, 2022
by: Ed Meyer
Race #10 – The G2 Flower Bowl – 1 3/8 miles on the turf – 5:09 pm
BetPTC.com Analysis / #4 – War Like Goddess / #6 – Temple City Terror / #3 – Virginia Joy
#4 War Like Goddess hails from the Bill Mott barn with Joel Rosario in the irons. 2nd time off the layoff where the barn wins 22% on this move and this daughter of English Channel is 3 for 3 at Saratoga. She is 4 for 4 ITM at the distance and seeks her third straight win. Rosario will have her tracking the pace and looks to be a push button runner who can move easily. She is regally bred for the turf and the one to beat. #6 Temple City Terror is a late runner for Brendan Walsh with Luis Saez in the saddle. She ran a strong runner up against the top pick and should put together a nice effort turning for home. Her dam It Takes Two has 4 starters, 4 winners, and 3 turf winners to her credit. #3 Virginia Joy is a stalker from the Chad Brown barn with Irad Ortiz aboard. She made a strong willing move last out against the top pair, and they square off again today. She cuts back in distance and can be a danger with tactical ability in the hands of Ortiz who wins 23% with his turf stalkers. Her dam Virginia Sun (GER) has 2 starters, 2 winners, and 2 turf winners.
Race #11 – The G1 Jockey Club Gold Cup – 1 1/4 miles dirt – 5:45 pm
BetPTC.com Analysis / #2 – Olympiad / #8 – Dynamic One / #6 – First Captain
#2 Olympiad is a stalker for Bill Mott and Junior Alvarado. Mott is loaded this weekend as he makes his third start off the layoff. He is 3 for 4 ITM at Saratoga and should be closer to the lead getting more distance. Alvarado is an excellent judge of pace and he’ll keep him out of trouble waiting to turn her loose. #8 Dynamic One is a closer from the Todd Pletcher barn with Irad Ortiz in the irons. Ortiz is one of the best finishing riders in the game and wins 31% with his route closers. He bested First Captain in the Suburban and has some solid works with a bullet in the morning. #6 First Captain is a late runner for Shug McGaughey with Luis Saez in the saddle. He ran a tough 2nd in the G2 Suburban and comes off a 56 day break where He’ll be fresh and ready with a bullet work under his belt.
Race #9 – The G2 Del Mar Derby – 1 1/8 on the turf – 8:10 pm
BetPTC.com Analysis / #5 – Dandy Warhol / #7 – Mackinnon / #9 – Balnikkov
#5 Dandy Warhol goes to post for Mark Glatt with Flavien Prat in the saddle. Lightly raced and has a strong late kick. Rispoli takes off and Prat picks up the call and coming off a sour start and still managed to circle the field and get up in the shadow of the wire. Prat wins 24% with his turf closers and should be in an excellent spot turning for home. #7 Mackinnon hails from the Doug O’Neill barn with J. J. Hernadez in the irons. He is 3 for 4 ITM at DM and sports a sharp work coming into the race. Hernadez wins 23% with his late running turf runners and should have him in top gear turning for home. Toss the last race where this son of American Pharoah was forced to steady late in the lane. #9 Balnikkov is a closer who exits a perfect prep win in the Oceanside at Del Mar. He goes to post for Phil D’Amato and Umberto Rispoli in the driver’s seat. He has some tactical closing ability where he can move earlier if necessary. Rispoli has been one of the top dogs on the turf since Prat shifted his tack and today, they square off. Rispoli wins 28% for D’Amato and will be a major player today.
Race #10 – The G1 Pacific Classic – 1 1/4 miles dirt – 8:50 pm
BetPTC.com Analysis / #5 – Flightline /#2 – Country Grammar / #4 – Express Train
#5 Flightline is a perfect four straight for John Sadler and Flavien Prat aboard. This son of Tapit should break sharp and control the pace under Prat. He comes off a two month break and won impressively at Belmont in the G1 Metropolitan Handicap. He is the one to beat and won his last four races by a combined 42 lengths. He may be looking to keep sharp for a big effort coming soon in the fall season. #2 Country Grammar hails from the Bob Baffert barn with John Velasquez making the trip. This is his 2nd off the layoff effort and his last race was excellent in keeping him moving forward. Two back he was the winner of the Dubai World Cup and sometimes the 2nd time out has them feeling back to their old ways again. #4 Express Train is a stalker for John Sheriffs and Victor Espinoza. He’ll have to bring his top game but should not be left out of exotics. He is 4 for 5 ITM over the course and Espinoza knows how to get it done in the big races. The price is very attractive today.