BetPTC.com Stakes Analysis – for Del Mar on September 4, 2021
by: Ed Meyer
Race #6 – The $100k – I’m Smokin – 6f – 7:00 pm
BetPTC.com Analysis / #5 – Rock N Rye / #7 – Thirsty Always / #1 – Zuboshi
#5 Rock N Rye is a son of Stay Thirsty and hails from the Walter Solis barn. Umbert Rispoli gets the call as this colt is a solid stalker type. Rispoli is an excellent judge of pace and wins 21% with off the pace runners. He just came off a three month break and came home a winner in the $100k Graduation Stakes. I’m looking for more of the same as the barn wins 20% with nongraded stakes and the rider is a strong finisher. #7 Thirsty Always goes to post for the Solis barn as well. J. J. Hernadez in the irons, and drops down in class from the G2 Best Pal. He seems to fit much better in this spot and sports a sharp work to prepare. Look for an up close stalking trip. #1 Zuboshi is a speedy sort from the Peter Miller barn. Kyle Frey is in the saddle and the barn wins 23% with nongraded stakes. He won on the turf last out and was impressive. Back in today with California company, and gets the rail draw. The turf to dirt switch yields a 23% win clip for Team Miller.
Race#9 – The G2 John C. Mabee – 1 1/8 on the turf – 8:30 pm
BetPTC.com Analysis / #3 – Dogtag / #8- Going to Vegas / #6 – Bodhicitta
#3 Dogtag is a daughter of War Front for the Dick Mandella barn. Umberto Rispoli is in the saddle and she’s a late runner who is looking for her perfect distance. She has been the bridesmaid her last three efforts and looks to come calling late in the lane. She is regally bred and should give a good account of herself today. #8 Going to Vegas goes to post for Richard Baltas with Flavien Prat aboard. She is 5 for 6 ITM lifetime and should get a patient close up trip under Part who wins 28% with this style of runner. She’s been off for 50 days and should fire fresh off the bench. #6 Bodhicitta is a deep closing daughter of Showcasing (GB) for Richard Baltas and Kent Desormeaux has the call. 2nd time off the layoff yields a 19% win clip for the barn and Kent D should give a strong late run as they turn for home.
Race #11 – The G2 Del Mar Derby – 1 1/8 on the turf – 9:30 pm
BetPTC.com Analysis / #1 – Hudson Ridge / #9 – Zoffarelli / #13 – Sword Zorro
#1 Hudson Ridge hails from the Bob Baffert barn and makes a 2nd off the layoff move today. This son of American Pharoah is a stalker and has the services of turf specialist Flavien Prat. The rider and trainer team up to win 44% the past few months with limited attempts and the switch to Prat may make all the difference when the field cuts the corner at the quarter pole. #9 Zoffarelli is a closer from the Jeff Mullins barn with Drayden Van Dyke in the saddle. His one start coming over from (GB) was a big effort and had to overcome a nasty trip where he was put up in a DQ. He is 1 for 1 over the DM course and should enjoy the added ground down the lane. #13 – Sword Zorro hails from the John Sadler barn with Umberto Rispoli aboard. Sadler is winning 21% for the meet and came off a 3 month break to win the G3 La Jolla. Rispoli wins 23% on the turf, and 19% with closers. Don’t dismiss from your wagers.