BetPTC.com Analysis – Saturday, October 29, 2022
by: Ed Meyer
Belmont at Aqueduct
Race #5 – The G2 Kelso – 1 mile – 2:44 pm
BetPTC.com Analysis / #2 – Empty Tomb / #6 – Baby Yoda /#3 – Morello /
#2 Empty Tomb makes his 2nd start off the layoff since January for Robert Falcone and Irad Ortiz in the saddle. This son of Speightstown has tactical speed and 5 for 5 ITM over the course. He moves up in class today and Falcone wins 21% off a last race win. Ortiz wins 30% with route runners and is 75% working with the trainer ITM. #6 Baby Yoda hails from the Bill Mott barn with Javier Castellano in the irons. He sports early speed and has a win in his only start over the course. Last race winners yield a 24% win clip for Mott and looks the one to beat. My only knock is that Lasix is back off and his best races have come on the medication. #3 Morello is a stalker for Steve Asmussen with Dylan Davis aboard. The son of Classic Empire ships in from Laurel and had a nice prep win moving back into bigger company. He is 3 for 4 over the course with wins and is eligible to improve 2nd off the layoff.
Race #9 – The G2 Hagyard Fayette – 1 1/8 – 5:16 pm
BetPTC.com Analysis / #4 – First Captain / #5 – King Fury / #3 – Fulsome
#4 First Captain is a late running son of Curlin for Shug McGaughey and Luis Saez. He comes off a 56 day break at Saratoga and finished a game 3rd in the G1 Jockey Club Gold Cup last out. He cuts back in distance and should fare better going 9f. Rider and trainer are 29% ITM as a team and should get a very good ride by the ultra talented Saez. #5 King Fury hails from the Ken McPeek barn with B.J. Hernandez in the saddle. 2nd time off the shelf and is 2 for 4 ITM over the course. Look for a solid late run from this son of Curlin. #3 Fulsome goes to post for Brad Cox and Florent Geroux. 2nd off the layoff and sports a bullet work in preparation. Add in he is 1 for 1 over the course and should not be overlooked.
Race #7 – The G2 Twilight Derby – 1 1/8 on the turf – 7:06 pm
BetPTC.com Analysis / #4 – Handy Dandy / #9 – War at Sea / #5 – Cabo Spirit
#4 Handy Dandy is a late runner from the Peter Miller barn with Umberto Rispoli aboard. He’s been off for 54 days and comes off a late race win and some solid running lines. He is 4 for 5 ITM over the course and Peter Miller wins 21% off a last race win. #9 War at Sea is a tactical son of War Front for Ron Ellis and Mike Smith in the irons. He is 5 for 5 ITM over the surface and should be right off the pace poised to pounce. Smith wins 19% on the turf. #5 Cabo Spirit is a late running son of Pioneer of the Nile in the hands of Joe Bravo. He’s a late runner and comes off a 56 day break. Bravo wins 26% on the turf and look for a late run as he is 44% when riding turf closers.